IUFB vs Michigan State - Saturday, 10.18.25 @ 3:30 on Peacock

[Class of '66 Old Fart 94,154]

Our UNDEFEATED Indiana Hoosiers host the Spartans (3-3) (0-3) next Saturday afternoon.

[Class of '66 Old Fart 94,154]

Josh Pos -

Peacock will have Dan Hicks (play-by-play), Jason Garrett (analyst), Zora Stephenson (sideline) on the call for #iufb-Michigan State. Kick off from Merchants Bank Field at Memorial Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. EST.

[Hovadipo 62,806]

Looking like it's going to be a wet one.

[rcbowla 8,377]

15 minutes ago, Hovadipo said:

Looking like it's going to be a wet one.

Advantage MSU. Shouldn't be enough of an advantage though. IU needs to break them in the 1st half.

[Pagoda 6,007]

Yea, chance of showers goes up quite a bit by early afternoon.  Hopefully that front pushes out and the forecast improves over the next few days.

Line opened at -24.5 and is now around -26.5 to -27.5.  As always, hope the smart $ is right.

[Brass Cannon 26,024]

Get a big lead and then let’s see what little Mendoza can do.  

[Hovadipo 62,806]

52 minutes ago, rcbowla said:

Advantage MSU. Shouldn't be enough of an advantage though. IU needs to break them in the 1st half.

Advantage them in the sense that they may be able to keep it a bit closer if we aren’t airing it out, but otherwise being forced to run against this Indiana team is extremely bad news.

[8bucks 7,655]

52 minutes ago, Pagoda said:

Yea, chance of showers goes up quite a bit by early afternoon.  Hopefully that front pushes out and the forecast improves over the next few days.

Line opened at -24.5 and is now around -26.5 to -27.5.  As always, hope the smart $ is right.

what was the Oregon line? I would agree however, that money is getting smarter with regards to IU

[Pagoda 6,007]

Just now, 8bucks said:

what was the Oregon line? I would agree however, that money is getting smarter with regards to IU

Opened at +10.5, was +7.5 at kick-off.

In all our conference games the money came in on IU as the games approached, and so far only Iowa was wrong.  I don't know much about the mechanics of when the sharps or the public is moving a betting line, so I just hope it's the sharps.

[Stuhoo 91,667]

1 hour ago, Pagoda said:

Yea, chance of showers goes up quite a bit by early afternoon.  Hopefully that front pushes out and the forecast improves over the next few days.

Line opened at -24.5 and is now around -26.5 to -27.5.  As always, hope the smart $ is right.

Getting a weather forecast correct within a few hours five days out is a very inexact proposition. 

[Rico 3,779]

19 minutes ago, Stuhoo said:

Getting a weather forecast correct within a few hours five days out is a very inexact proposition. 

[Lebowski 4,049]

We are the hunted. Every team we face will be juiced and every game is going to get their best from the opponent. 

We should be good if we just continue to be who we are. Run game and solid D. No blown coverages from our safeties in Cover 3. No mental mistakes.

[cthomas 6,773]

As good as Cig is at keeping the team focused, human nature tells me there will be a let down. The last three games have been marked and talked about as season defining games. We won all three. It's only natural to relax a little bit after what was an incredible accomplishment. I expect a slow start but think they will eventually get back to game mode. The weather may be a bit of an issue but will be a factor for both teams. If we play to our ability, we should win going away. As much as I enjoy the offense, our defense will determine how far we go.

[Stuhoo 91,667]

53 minutes ago, Lebowski said:

We are the hunted. Every team we face will be juiced and every game is going to get their best from the opponent. 

We should be good if we just continue to be who we are. Run game and solid D. No blown coverages from our safeties in Cover 3. No mental mistakes.

 

21 minutes ago, cthomas said:

As good as Cig is at keeping the team focused, human nature tells me there will be a let down. The last three games have been marked and talked about as season defining games. We won all three. It's only natural to relax a little bit after what was an incredible accomplishment. I expect a slow start but think they will eventually get back to game mode. The weather may be a bit of an issue but will be a factor for both teams. If we play to our ability, we should win going away. As much as I enjoy the offense, our defense will determine how far we go.

Indiana Football seems to currently be defying human nature. I am trying to identify the "letdown" game in the Cignetti era. Anyone?

In addition:

• Michigan State's offensive line really sucks.
• Last year at full strength MSU's line gave up 15 TFLs and seven sacks against us.
• This year, their O-line was already down two starters, and against UCLA they lost another starter and their starting tight end.
• Chiles was 8-17 last week before leaving injured for the second straight game. He is questionable for this week.
• Michigan State's backup QB is a redshirt freshman who took his first game reps the last two weeks (and it did not go well). 
• The counterbalance to "getting everyone's best" is that in the back of their mind MSU reads a ton about how we are better. When a team knows that and adversity hits, maybe early in the game, things can go south in a hurry.

 

•  

[Hovadipo 62,806]

3 minutes ago, Stuhoo said:

The counterbalance to "getting everyone's best" is that in the back of their mind MSU reads a ton about how we are better. When a team knows that and adversity hits, maybe early in the game, things can go south in a hurry.

Not to mention Michigan State's best, which we certainly won't get, still sucks quite a bit of butt. There's plenty to worry about with the upcoming UCLA, PSU, Maryland games. I'm not shaking in my boots over these guys.

[Stuhoo 91,667]

1 hour ago, Hovadipo said:

Not to mention Michigan State's best, which we certainly won't get, still sucks quite a bit of butt. There's plenty to worry about with the upcoming UCLA, PSU, Maryland games. I'm not shaking in my boots over these guys.

Remaining games ranked order of teams likelihood of beating us if their stars align:

1. PSU
2. Maryland
3. UCLA
4. Purdump
5. MSU
6. Wisconsin
7. Purdooooo sux, and so does... O-hi-ya-State!

[Brass Cannon 26,024]

1 hour ago, Stuhoo said:

Remaining games ranked order of teams likelihood of beating us if their stars align:

1. PSU
2. Maryland
3. UCLA
4. Purdump
5. Wisconsin
6. Purdooooo sux, and so does... O-hi-ya-State!

Is #4 supposed to be MSU Correctional Institution 

[Brass Cannon 26,024]

If we go 12-0 gotta think Cig is coach of the year again.  Ryan Day is doing what his talent is supposed to do.  Cig is getting OSU results on a Boston College budget 

[Stuhoo 91,667]

QB Chiles is questionable for MSU - left two straight games after taking a big hit - in concussion protocol. He looked good against us last year for a quarter or so.

If Chile can't go, MSU will start redshirt freshman Alessio Milivojevic, who has been a reasonably effective game manager replacing Chiles in the past two games, though against UCLA he came in with the game already out of hand. Against Nebraska he came in with MSU up seven in the second half and MSU went scoreless until they were down 17 - garbage time td at the end for MSU.

If Chiles is out, Milivojevich would be backed up by Ryland Jessee, a redshirt freshman that has never taken a game snap.

[Hovadipo 62,806]

If Chiles is out, their offense will really struggle to move the ball. 

If Chiles plays, their offense will really struggle to move the ball.