FWIW, and it's just my useless opinion, I think Duke is on another level. They're the highest funding in CBB, with deep recruiting ties including with Nike, a sterling brand with big exposure, and a track record of being really good every year. UM we're closer to, but they outspent us pretty good last year and this year we're closer, but still short. After a natty they'll get whatever they ask for.
I think CDD made a huge mistake with the lack of multi-year guys in season one. We had all these one year dudes and the multi-year guys were not developed/retained (Trent a little). So we had another total rebuild, which personally I found very disappointing. Okay, our W/L in season one was not great, but at least develop some pieces for season two! C'mon, think long term here.
I don't think it's possible to build a conf title winner/F4 team entirely scratch in one portal. Even if we had $25M. With no roster continuity, it's so hard to get 10 new guys to gel such that they can win really big. Just my opinion.
I agree with pretty much all the concerns people voice on this board. We need more front court depth. We have question mark players CDD/Carr/staff better be right on... though this pretty normal every year.
Best case I can see is we hit on almost all the new guys, they improve as the year goes on, and we get like a 5 seed or better and make the S16. Then return most of the roster, which is possible with all our multi-year guys (nice work!), and go into a portal needing only a few players. We'd be selling an attractive situation -- a S16 team on the rise. IUBB is back baby! Bring in a few high end portal players and then season three of CDD we're thinking conference title and F4.
Is this likely? It's IUBB. Be optimistic at your own peril. I could type out a downside scenario, but we all know what that would look like...
I've got to say I'm surprised we spent so much money. The thinking was $13-14M, now it's closer to $20M. This rachets up the expectations this season... which is good. Big pressure on CDD this year. This season is now much more interesting than I thought it was going to be. I'm looking forward to games in Peru now.