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Hovadipo

College Football Thread

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57 minutes ago, JerryYeagley23 said:

They’ve definitely signaled they wouldn’t punish a team for losing their conference championship, but I still think that only applies to getting in/not and not necessarily seeding. I think the way you lose is going to be a factor. If Georgia loses 38-7 to Texas, sure they stay in the field as a 3-loss team, but feel like they probably go from a 5 or 6 seed and hosting, to maybe a 9 or 10 seed on the road. It’s still another data point. No reason for them to ignore the result completely. 

Correct -- they basically stated that if a team was in before the conference championships, they wouldn't fall out for losing a championship game.  But I fully expect that there would be some moves after championship games.

Only way that IU wouldn't get in is if the committee kept Miami ahead of IU in this week's poll and then Clemson beat SMU in the ACC title game......simply put, I don't see it happening.  

13 'experts' on ESPN have posted their projected seedings.  They have the following matchups predicted for IU ( I am throwing one predictor out because they have a ludicrous model -- Ohio State at #12, IU at #7

  • 10 seed IU at 7 seed Penn State (1 prediction)
  • 9 seed IU at 8 seed Tennessee (2 predictions)
  • 10 seed IU at 7 seed Georgia (6 predictions)
  • 10 seed IU at 7 seed Ohio State (1 prediction)
  • 10 seed IU at 7 seed Notre Dame (2 predictions)

So the prevailing thought is IU as the 10 seed playing at Georgia.  However, there will be some shuffling, especially if Georgia beats Texas in the SEC title game.

Every bracket agrees on 11 teams that get in:  from the Big Ten:  Oregon, Ohio State, Penn State, Indiana;  from the SEC, Texas, Georgia, and Tennesse;  SMU from the ACC, Arizona State (or Iowa State/Colorado should Arizona State lose the Big 12 title game),  Boise State, and Notre Dame.  

The following teams are listed as being the last at large team in -- which means they would not make the bracket if Clemson wins the ACC:

  • Alabama (1)
  • Miami (5)
  • South Carolina (6)

Another possibility is that Boise State loses the MWC title game.  In that case, it's likely that if UNLV beats Boise State in the title game that they will the fifth highest ranked conference champion and they would get the auto bid.

What will get interesting is if Clemson wins the ACC title game and UNLV wins the MWC title game.  In that case, one of the at large teams above is out and Boise State might be out as well.

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I wouldn’t take anything the committee says at face value. They’ve never once elucidated a coherent criteria that didn’t change from year to year to get the teams and matchups they want.  
 

Hopefully IU is ranked 9th or 10th and that gives them the opportunity to have teams like SMU or Georgia possibly fall below them. A home playoff game would be cool. 

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43 minutes ago, Hovadipo said:

What am I missing with Miami? They’ve beaten NOBODY and have TWO unranked losses. Their ceiling should be 15 in the next rankings. 

I understand that — but they were at 6 before with their schedule and one loss.  
 

I do think the last at large spot is between them, South Carolina, and Alabama.

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1 hour ago, RaceToTheTop said:

I understand that — but they were at 6 before with their schedule and one loss.

Yeah, which was also a joke. 

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20 minutes ago, OliviaPope40 said:

Yeah, don't get his comments......sounds like something that would have come from an OSU home announcer.

Going back, I tried to figure out if he had any reason to be anti-Michigan (or pro Ohio State).  Did find he was born and raised in Detroit and played four years of baseball at Howard University.  I don't know.....maybe holds a grudge that Michigan didn't recruit him in baseball?  I don't know.

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I’m not sure Purdue can be competitive enough in NIL to be anything better than “not very good”. That job looks really, really unattractive unless they have a well-hidden war chest. 

Their rebuttal will be “WELL INDIANA WASNT ATTRACTIVE EITHER”, but it was to anyone that was paying attention and knew that the financial potential was there. To my knowledge, that potential is not there at Purdue. 

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Top twenty-five rankings out — IU 9th in both.  Miami all the way down to 14 in both polls.  CFP polls usually aren’t far from those, so would think that IU will be 9 in CFP and due to auto bids, 10 in the bracket on Tuesday set to play Georgia at 7.

since Georgia plays in the SEC title game, I would expect that could change the final matchup.  If Georgia wins they are the auto bid and I would expect IU to be at either IU or ND

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7 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Top twenty-five rankings out — IU 9th in both.  Miami all the way down to 14 in both polls.  CFP polls usually aren’t far from those, so would think that IU will be 9 in CFP and due to auto bids, 10 in the bracket on Tuesday set to play Georgia at 7.

since Georgia plays in the SEC title game, I would expect that could change the final matchup.  If Georgia wins they are the auto bid and I would expect IU to be at either IU or ND

Yesterday I wanted Georgia to lose to Georgia Tech.

Today….I wanted Georgia to win the SEC so that we do not open against them. I’ve probably just been sucked into the brand name vortex but GA is one of the places I least want to travel too.

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11 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Top twenty-five rankings out — IU 9th in both.  Miami all the way down to 14 in both polls.  CFP polls usually aren’t far from those, so would think that IU will be 9 in CFP and due to auto bids, 10 in the bracket on Tuesday set to play Georgia at 7.

since Georgia plays in the SEC title game, I would expect that could change the final matchup.  If Georgia wins they are the auto bid and I would expect IU to be at either IU or ND

I won’t be surprised to see us going to Austin in the final bracket. I’ll believe Texas can beat Georgia when I see it, but doubt they’d drop behind us with a loss.  

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28 minutes ago, Hovadipo said:

I won’t be surprised to see us going to Austin in the final bracket. I’ll believe Texas can beat Georgia when I see it, but doubt they’d drop behind us with a loss.  

I also won’t be surprised if we end up in Austin.  One thing for sure is that in the Georgia-Texas game one team will be rewarded for a quality win and the other team will be rewarded for a quality loss.

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