Bracketology and Team Resumes

[LIHoosier]

2 minutes ago, brumdog45 said:

Question:  if Dayton gets an at large bid, the committee wouldn't move them out of the first four because it's in Dayton, would they?

iirc, Archie coached a Dayton game when he coached Dayton

edit: 2015, Dayton beat Boise St 56-55 in Dayton

[Papacap]

Just now, HoosierAloha said:

I believe he's saying we're not a 10. We're likely an 11 or 12.

Oops, misread that

[vemmeistars]

I think we can relax first 4 if Memphis and Duke win today.

[RaceToTheTop]

17 minutes ago, vemmeistars said:

I think we can relax first 4 if Memphis and Duke win today.

Root for Duke?  Yuck.

[rcbowla]

So what's up? We in for sure or is there a need to sweat it out tomorrow?

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk

[Hoosierfan1901]

I have a feeling we will be in Dayton tomorrow 

[MikeRoberts]

2 minutes ago, Hooserfan1901 said:

I have a feeling we will be in Dayton tomorrow 

If we are, then that likely means UM and Rutgers are out as most have us a hair ahead of them

[Uspshoosier]

5 minutes ago, MikeRoberts said:

If we are, then that likely means UM and Rutgers are out as most have us a hair ahead of them

You can still have 3  or even 4 teams from the same conference play in the first 4.  If the bracket feel that way they would place them in there.   Highly unlikely that would ever happen but it’s allowed 

[Bowhunter]

I’d rather play Kentucky then be in play in game.

[Banksyrules]

Does anyone know when the selection show is. Lately around this time I’m in the fetal position, crying while listening to Barbara Streisand….. this is a welcome change. 

[Uspshoosier]

3 minutes ago, Banksyrules said:

Does anyone know when the selection show is. Lately around this time I’m in the fetal position, crying while listening to Barbara Streisand….. this is a welcome change. 

6 pm.  Right after the B1G tournament 

[tkbbn]

Been an IU fan for a long time, witnessed 3 National Championships. I don't ever remember the committee doing us any favors. Seems like we have been seated worse or stuck in a terrible draw more times than not. Is my memory accurate on this? It all makes me a little nervous actually. 

[RaceToTheTop]

7 minutes ago, tkbbn said:

Been an IU fan for a long time, witnessed 3 National Championships. I don't ever remember the committee doing us any favors. Seems like we have been seated worse or stuck in a terrible draw more times than not. Is my memory accurate on this? It all makes me a little nervous actually. 

I think most fan bases feel that way.....we tend to feel our teams deserve better seeds than they are.  

I think the prevailing thought is we are somewhere on the last bye four.  

Teams we should be rooting for -- not to really effect IF we are in, but making sure we keep the bye:

1.  Davidson over Richmond.

2.  Duke over Va Tech

3.  Tennessee over Texas A&M

4.  Memphis over SMU

Richmond winning would put them into a non-first four auto bid and Davidson likely still in a bye position, pushing one bye team down.

Va. Tech and/or Texas A&M might currently be in the tournament as an at large but the most likely spot would be an at large -- a win would put them in as an auto bid and and move the bye list down a spot.

SMU is very squarely on the bubble.  A win over Memphis could potential guarantee them in and potentially put them in the bye range.

 

If your feeling is that IU is on the 11 bye range, then where they are on the S curve in the 11 seed is important.  Top of the bye is basically statistically safe to stay a bye;  second from top realistically safe.  The other two are a little more shaky and the bottom bye definitely could easily move down.

[Josh]

I'm not as worried about our seed as I am our scheduling.  I have Thursday off next week but not Friday.  I need a Thursday game so bad

[hoosiersoxfan]

1 hour ago, Bowhunter said:

I’d rather play Kentucky then be in play in game.

Looks like Kentucky could be a 2 seed which would mean we would somehow have to be moved up to a 10 seed for a possible second wrong matchup with them. Could definitely see the committee doing that. The plus side is that would most likely mean playing the first two rounds in Indy. 

[Uspshoosier]

Keep in mind that a team can be seeded in the true seed line but have to be moved down a seed or up a seed to fit the bracket through the bracketing principles.  It will happen with some teams this year it always does.   Their never is a true S-Curve.   Things I will be looking forward to seeing tomorrow.  The true s-curve to see where IU is slotted.  What they do with Michigan and Rutgers.   I’m going to try my best to figure out if IU would of made it if they had lost to Illinois that won’t matter to anyone else but for my own piece of mind I really want to know that answer.   The bracket will be completed tonight with a couple of contingency brackets in place.  
 

Hopefully my projections will be done tomorrow morning after looking over it tonight some.  Life gets in the way of me doing a true deep scrubbing of the bracket like I would like to do but I’m just glad I can do it here and people actually look at it 

[tkbbn]

Always appreciate the insight from you as well as a lot of the other guys here. Thank You.

[cbp4iu]

In other news Lunardi dropped Iu below ND…. Interesting 

[Hoosierfan1901]

Just now, cbp4iu said:

In other news Lunardi dropped Iu below ND…. Interesting 

It’s Lunardi, what do you expect lol

[RaceToTheTop]

13 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Keep in mind that a team can be seeded in the true seed line but have to be moved down a seed or up a seed to fit the bracket through the bracketing principles.  It will happen with some teams this year it always does.   Their never is a true S-Curve.   Things I will be looking forward to seeing tomorrow.  The true s-curve to see where IU is slotted.  What they do with Michigan and Rutgers.   I’m going to try my best to figure out if IU would of made it if they had lost to Illinois that won’t matter to anyone else but for my own piece of mind I really want to know that answer.   The bracket will be completed tonight with a couple of contingency brackets in place.  
 

Hopefully my projections will be done tomorrow morning after looking over it tonight some.  Life gets in the way of me doing a true deep scrubbing of the bracket like I would like to do but I’m just glad I can do it here and people actually look at it 

I’m going to put mine together as well…first real attempt.  Know it won’t be as accurate as USPS but will offer a second look.  My focus is going to be on four factors — 

1.  The running total I’ve been using on  wins necessary v schedule

2.  NET

3..  POM 

4.  Quad 1 and 2 wins and 3 and 4 losses.

USPS — are you listing all 68 or just through at large?  My plan is all 68.