Bracketology and Team Resumes

[RaceToTheTop]

USPS — would Rutgers have been better off being the 5 seed instead of the 4?  

[Uspshoosier]

3 minutes ago, brumdog45 said:

USPS — would Rutgers have been better off being the 5 seed instead of the 4?  

If they could of beaten Northwestern for another Q2 win maybe.  If they were a 5 then that would of been another opportunity for a worse loss though.   
 

Rutgers is going to be sweating on Sunday 

[RaceToTheTop]

1 hour ago, Uspshoosier said:

If they could of beaten Northwestern for another Q2 win maybe.  If they were a 5 then that would of been another opportunity for a worse loss though.   
 

Rutgers is going to be sweating on Sunday 

I just don’t see them.  Yeah, I get the quad 1 wins.  But they are an 18-13 team with 2 quad 3 losses, a quad 4 loss, a NET likely around 80 and POM if 75.  
Just my opinion, but their conference play needed great conference play to carry them in.  That had good conference play but not great.

[RaceToTheTop]

USPS — in your experience, which do you see more often:

a team left out that shocks you or

a team that gets in that shocks you?

My inexperienced view is the second one happens more often.

[RaceToTheTop]

1 hour ago, Uspshoosier said:

If they could of beaten Northwestern for another Q2 win maybe.  If they were a 5 then that would of been another opportunity for a worse loss though.   
 

Rutgers is going to be sweating on Sunday 

Probably all depends on how you view their resume pre tournament I guess.  If you think they were relatively safe, 4 seed would be better because they didn’t need another win.  If not, probably 5 seed because it was an easier win to get.

[Uspshoosier]

11 minutes ago, brumdog45 said:

USPS — in your experience, which do you see more often:

a team left out that shocks you or

a team that gets in that shocks you?

My inexperienced view is the second one happens more often.

I think they go hand in hand and changes each year.  Last year I was just as shocked Wichita St got in as I was Louisville got left out.    Can’t remember the year but when Air Force got an at-large I was shocked.  Tulsa a couple years ago surprised everyone.  There wasn’t as many projections back then but 0 had them in the field 

[HoosierX]

3 hours ago, 94Bulldog said:

Our defense would destroy LSU’s undisciplined play imo 

They don’t even have notre dame in their first four out. Makes sense because their resume is terrible.

Whoops, meant to quote the Delphi bracket post.

[Gnet550]

2 hours ago, ALASKA HOOSIER said:

Iowa scares me

I might eat my words but they don’t scare me…we usually play them tough. They don’t play good defense either. Have to score well, but definitely beatable.

[RaceToTheTop]

How about a 6 v 11 matchup of LSU v IU?

and after LSU blows a big lead, Woodson says “I thought we were in trouble and then I saw Wade on the other sideline.”

[BtownStrength]

So is a 10 seed out of the question if we lose tomorrow?

[Five Prime]

11 minutes ago, BtownStrength said:

So is a 10 seed out of the question if we lose tomorrow?

Our NET appears to be on track for around a 10 seed currently so not out of the question, though I'm no expert.  I'd rather stay on the 11 line honestly.  7 vs 6 not much difference but 2 vs 3 is bigger imo. 

[Southside]

Can any of you stat heads tell me how our Offense has ranked lately compared to early season?

[Hoosier1984]

If we get a 10 seed I already see how this will play out. We are 10 vs some random 7 and then the 2 seed we will play next will be Kentucky. They love putting us two together whenever possible. 

[str8baller]

1 hour ago, brumdog45 said:

How about a 6 v 11 matchup of LSU v IU?

and after LSU blows a big lead, Woodson says “I thought we were in trouble and then I saw Wade on the other sideline.”

I want to live in this timeline. 

[lillurk]

59 minutes ago, Southside said:

Can any of you stat heads tell me how our Offense has ranked lately compared to early season?

One way of splitting it: through the MSU game, adjusted efficiency of 1.06 points/possession, good for 92nd best in the country during that period, per Torvik.

Since then, 1.11 adjusted ppp, up to 63rd during the span.

Perhaps most crucially, scored more than 1/possession adjusted each game since then.

[Southside]

11 minutes ago, lillurk said:

One way of splitting it: through the MSU game, adjusted efficiency of 1.06 points/possession, good for 92nd best in the country during that period, per Torvik.

Since then, 1.11 adjusted ppp, up to 63rd during the span.

Perhaps most crucially, scored more than 1/possession adjusted each game since then.

Thanks my friend! You rock. I just wanted to confirm we indeed were seeing some improvement in the second half chunk. 

I found the last 3 efficiency which was not that great.

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/offensive-efficiency

[vemmeistars]

Hopefully out of first 4 in Dayton. Would prefer Virginia Tech, SMU, and Texas A&M to lose tomorrow just to help avoid that possibility. Obviously none of this is relevant, if IU takes care of business.

[Hoosierfan1901]

Wyoming (apparently in front of us) falls to Boise State

[Uspshoosier]

IU moved up to 38 in the NET 

[johnsoniu]

IU moved up to 38 in the NET 

Good to see you up and at em on the short turnaround lol. Enjoy your kids games, I’m going to take a nap until the Ivy League tips off


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