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Posted
24 minutes ago, Hoosierfan1901 said:

Either playing at Tennessee or Texas

Not so fast, my friend.

My guess is Texas doesn't fall below 5 (6 if Oregon loses to Penn State).  IU looks locked in at the 10 (with either Alabama and Arizona State or Clemson and SMU or Clemson and Alabama behind them).   I don't see a scenario where IU is anything but the 10 seed, which means playing the 7.  

As of now, would say the seeds are:

  1. Oregon
  2. Georgia
  3. SMU (although they are getting skull drug in the first four minutes against Clemson)
  4. Boise State
  5. Texas
  6. Penn State
  7. Notre Dame
  8. Ohio State
  9. Tennessee
  10. Indiana
  11. Alabama
  12. Arizona State

That would have us at Notre Dame.

If Clemson beats SMU, I would expect Clemson to be at 12 and Arizona State to move to 4 as the auto bye and Boise State to move to 3.  At that point it depends on what the committee does with SMU -- but I think the decision isn't whether they stay ahead of IU but rather if they are in over Alabama.  In that case, just put SMU at 11, Alabama out, and Clemson at 12.

The Penn State/Oregon game I expect not to have any ripple effect beyond the first 8 seeds.  If Penn State wins, they would be the 1 seed, Oregon would probably be the 5, Texas the 6.  If Oregon wins, I would expect Penn State to fall to 7 and Notre Dame to move to 6.

So my two cents:  IU at Notre Dame if Penn State beats Oregon, IU at Penn State if Penn State loses to Oregon.

Posted
4 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Not so fast, my friend.

My guess is Texas doesn't fall below 5 (6 if Oregon loses to Penn State).  IU looks locked in at the 10 (with either Alabama and Arizona State or Clemson and SMU or Clemson and Alabama behind them).   I don't see a scenario where IU is anything but the 10 seed, which means playing the 7.  

As of now, would say the seeds are:

  1. Oregon
  2. Georgia
  3. SMU (although they are getting skull drug in the first four minutes against Clemson)
  4. Boise State
  5. Texas
  6. Penn State
  7. Notre Dame
  8. Ohio State
  9. Tennessee
  10. Indiana
  11. Alabama
  12. Arizona State

That would have us at Notre Dame.

If Clemson beats SMU, I would expect Clemson to be at 12 and Arizona State to move to 4 as the auto bye and Boise State to move to 3.  At that point it depends on what the committee does with SMU -- but I think the decision isn't whether they stay ahead of IU but rather if they are in over Alabama.  In that case, just put SMU at 11, Alabama out, and Clemson at 12.

The Penn State/Oregon game I expect not to have any ripple effect beyond the first 8 seeds.  If Penn State wins, they would be the 1 seed, Oregon would probably be the 5, Texas the 6.  If Oregon wins, I would expect Penn State to fall to 7 and Notre Dame to move to 6.

So my two cents:  IU at Notre Dame if Penn State beats Oregon, IU at Penn State if Penn State loses to Oregon.

Arizona State impressed me today, Skattebo is a hard guy  to bring down!

Posted
12 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Not so fast, my friend.

My guess is Texas doesn't fall below 5 (6 if Oregon loses to Penn State).  IU looks locked in at the 10 (with either Alabama and Arizona State or Clemson and SMU or Clemson and Alabama behind them).   I don't see a scenario where IU is anything but the 10 seed, which means playing the 7.  

As of now, would say the seeds are:

  1. Oregon
  2. Georgia
  3. SMU (although they are getting skull drug in the first four minutes against Clemson)
  4. Boise State
  5. Texas
  6. Penn State
  7. Notre Dame
  8. Ohio State
  9. Tennessee
  10. Indiana
  11. Alabama
  12. Arizona State

That would have us at Notre Dame.

If Clemson beats SMU, I would expect Clemson to be at 12 and Arizona State to move to 4 as the auto bye and Boise State to move to 3.  At that point it depends on what the committee does with SMU -- but I think the decision isn't whether they stay ahead of IU but rather if they are in over Alabama.  In that case, just put SMU at 11, Alabama out, and Clemson at 12.

The Penn State/Oregon game I expect not to have any ripple effect beyond the first 8 seeds.  If Penn State wins, they would be the 1 seed, Oregon would probably be the 5, Texas the 6.  If Oregon wins, I would expect Penn State to fall to 7 and Notre Dame to move to 6.

So my two cents:  IU at Notre Dame if Penn State beats Oregon, IU at Penn State if Penn State loses to Oregon.

I don’t see any reason the losers today will stay ahead of Notre dame 

Posted
11 minutes ago, LamarCheeks said:

PSU committing some stupid penalties. Had a personal foul on a kickoff that wasn't returned. 

That's the kinda crap you can't afford while playing the No. 1 team. 

Looks familiar and giving me ptsd.

Posted

Yep feeling confirmed, definitely not indigestion! As an Oregon State alum, it pains me to say this but the ducks are going to be B1G Champs and the Ninny Lions may not score again.

Edit: Well at least part of it may still be right, lol

Posted
48 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Not so fast, my friend.

My guess is Texas doesn't fall below 5 (6 if Oregon loses to Penn State).  IU looks locked in at the 10 (with either Alabama and Arizona State or Clemson and SMU or Clemson and Alabama behind them).   I don't see a scenario where IU is anything but the 10 seed, which means playing the 7.  

As of now, would say the seeds are:

  1. Oregon
  2. Georgia
  3. SMU (although they are getting skull drug in the first four minutes against Clemson)
  4. Boise State
  5. Texas
  6. Penn State
  7. Notre Dame
  8. Ohio State
  9. Tennessee
  10. Indiana
  11. Alabama
  12. Arizona State

That would have us at Notre Dame.

If Clemson beats SMU, I would expect Clemson to be at 12 and Arizona State to move to 4 as the auto bye and Boise State to move to 3.  At that point it depends on what the committee does with SMU -- but I think the decision isn't whether they stay ahead of IU but rather if they are in over Alabama.  In that case, just put SMU at 11, Alabama out, and Clemson at 12.

The Penn State/Oregon game I expect not to have any ripple effect beyond the first 8 seeds.  If Penn State wins, they would be the 1 seed, Oregon would probably be the 5, Texas the 6.  If Oregon wins, I would expect Penn State to fall to 7 and Notre Dame to move to 6.

So my two cents:  IU at Notre Dame if Penn State beats Oregon, IU at Penn State if Penn State loses to Oregon.

I’d take either scenario.

Posted
1 hour ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Georgia Tech was one play on multiple occasions from beating Georgia....but a Georgia win over Texas in the title game would have given them a bye anyway.  

If a three loss team can get a bye, the new CFP seeding is broken.  I get allowing the top five conference champions in but you shouldn't give four of them automatic byes.  Right now being the 8 or 9 seed is really bad because the winner plays the 1 seed in round 2.

The 5 seed draw isn't bad....you host the 12 and then face the 4 seed who really isn't 4 in the CFP rankings;  it will be Boise State (who is currently 10th) or Arizona State who is somewhere around 15.

I think this will change. I think the current setup is only for this year and next, maybe even just this year (I don't remember which). A lot of people have seen the issues you posted here.

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