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Posted
34 minutes ago, DoctorP said:

I see Trayce often drawing Edey out and trying to beat him off the dribble. I like the potential there, he's expanded that (as well as being comfortable leading the break) part this season

Yeah saw him doing a lot of that against OSU 

Posted
1 hour ago, DoctorP said:

I see Trayce often drawing Edey out and trying to beat him off the dribble. I like the potential there, he's expanded that (as well as being comfortable leading the break) part this season

For that to work, Edey has to go out on the floor with him. More than likely Purdue will be happy to let TJD have whatever he wants away from the basket. I think Painter is too smart to challenge him away from the bucket.

Posted
2 hours ago, cthomas said:

For that to work, Edey has to go out on the floor with him. More than likely Purdue will be happy to let TJD have whatever he wants away from the basket. I think Painter is too smart to challenge him away from the bucket.

Agreed. Which is why they’ll probably run a ton of pnr with JHS. If he’s on like in the Wisconsin game with his midrange game he’ll be huge. If he’s closer to the Minny game, our offense will stagnate.  They rotate well on defense and we don’t pass the ball quick enough to generate open looks by passing the ball around the perimeter.   
 

My guess is that the 15 footer is there all day long. Outside of JHS we don’t have anyone that excels there. Probably a game we miss XJ more than most. 

Posted
35 minutes ago, rcs29 said:

8 B1G teams separated by 1 game. Just can't afford to lose.

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk
 

Going to be really tough.  Conference scheduling definitely not in IU's favor.

There are six teams in the conference that have a winning record in conference play (one is Indiana)IU plays each of those two teams two times. 

The conference records of IU's last ten opponent's are a combined 64-38 in conference play.  For comparison, IU's first ten conference opponents had an in conference record of 39-52.

Pom predicting IU to go 5-5 in the remaining ten games.  They rank the games from easiest to toughest:

  • at Purdue (24% chance to win)
  • at Maryland (45%)
  • Purdue (46%)
  • at Northwestern (49%) and at Michigan State (49%)
  • at Michigan (58%)
  • Rutgers (61%)
  • Illinois (64%)
  • Iowa (69%)
  • Michigan (79%)

FWIW, Pom predicts the final conference standings to be:

  • Purdue 16-4
  • Rutgers 13-7
  • Illinois 12-8
  • Northwestern, Indiana, Michigan State, and Maryland 11-9
  • Iowa and Penn State 10-10
  • Michigan and Ohio State 9-11
  • Wisconsin 8-12
  • Nebraska 6-14
  • Minnesota 3-17
Posted
1 hour ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Going to be really tough.  Conference scheduling definitely not in IU's favor.

There are six teams in the conference that have a winning record in conference play (one is Indiana)IU plays each of those two teams two times. 

The conference records of IU's last ten opponent's are a combined 64-38 in conference play.  For comparison, IU's first ten conference opponents had an in conference record of 39-52.

Pom predicting IU to go 5-5 in the remaining ten games.  They rank the games from easiest to toughest:

  • at Purdue (24% chance to win)
  • at Maryland (45%)
  • Purdue (46%)
  • at Northwestern (49%) and at Michigan State (49%)
  • at Michigan (58%)
  • Rutgers (61%)
  • Illinois (64%)
  • Iowa (69%)
  • Michigan (79%)

FWIW, Pom predicts the final conference standings to be:

  • Purdue 16-4
  • Rutgers 13-7
  • Illinois 12-8
  • Northwestern, Indiana, Michigan State, and Maryland 11-9
  • Iowa and Penn State 10-10
  • Michigan and Ohio State 9-11
  • Wisconsin 8-12
  • Nebraska 6-14
  • Minnesota 3-17

Can I be safe in assuming any analytics that predict MSU on the road is more difficult than Puredoo at home are flawed?

Posted

Games ended early today, so I can release my Monday morning top 25 WAR early.  Looking forward to others (LCS, Joe, etc) releasing their's tomorrow for comparison.

  1. Purdue 21-1, +7.64
  2. Alabama 18-3, +6.28
  3. Kansas 17-4, +6.05
  4. Arizona 19-3, +5.6
  5. Houston 20-2, +4.83
  6. Kansas St 18-3, +4.83
  7. Texas 17-4, +4.46
  8. Tennessee 18-3, +4.36
  9. UCLA 17-4, +4.34
  10. Baylor 16-5, +4.31
  11. Xavier 17-5, +4.22
  12. Gonzaga 17-4, +4.12
  13. Marquette 17-5, +4.04
  14. Virginia 16-3, +3.80
  15. Iowa St 15-5, +3.72
  16. San Diego St 16-4, +3.30
  17. Florida Atlantic 18-1, +3.04
  18. Providence 17-5,  +2.92
  19. TCU 16-5, +2.89
  20. Connecticutt 16-6, +2.89
  21. Missouri 16-5, +2.66
  22. St. Mary's 17-5, +2.59
  23. Memphis 17-5, +2.59
  24. Auburn 16-5, +2.51
  25. USC 15-6, +2.28

Near:  New Mexico 16-3, +2.26, NC State 17-5, +2.20, Indiana 15-6, +2.15, Michigan St 14-8, +2.12, Illinois 15-6, +2.10.

Posted
5 minutes ago, Stuhoo said:

Can I be safe in assuming that the analytics that predict MSU on the road is more difficult than Puredoo at home can be flawed?

Personally, I think IU has a better chance to beat Purdue in Assembly Hall than Michigan State at Crisler.  

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