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Posted

Wish I was surprised. If Bama and Ole Miss don’t throw up all over themselves IU losing to #2 on the road would have gone from 5 to out. The committee pretty clearly is holding their nose placing IU. So the only thing you can do at this point is go out and beat Purdue by 70. That being said, man,would I be down with a bracket of Penn St and Miami.

Posted
5 minutes ago, Banksyrules said:

Am I wrong to think that the committee is just waiting to see what happens in the ACC championship game to determine who gets chosen in that conference? I don’t think we’re in trouble. 

Nope, ACC Championship will be interesting 

Posted

So in the unbelievably moronic  ESPN strength of schedule metric IU went from 106 to 51 in ONE  game.  Glad we went up but what does that say about the metric when we went up 55 spots in ONE game.  They totally ignored it and didn’t hammer SOS tonight. Wonder why?  WTF! 

Tennessee “earned” a nice bump up because they beat 2-9 UTEP at home? Really? WTF!

Clemson is now lurking because they beat Citadel last week? Really? WTF!

Georgia “proved themselves” and move up because they beat friggin UMASS and ESPN doesn’t even mention that? If that had been IU ALL of them, except Booger, would have been all over us.  WTF!
 

All that being said. Beat PU, stay in the playoff, regardless of seed, and all is good.

Posted
8 minutes ago, Banksyrules said:

Am I wrong to think that the committee is just waiting to see what happens in the ACC championship game to determine who gets chosen in that conference? I don’t think we’re in trouble. 

That’s right. They’re penalizing Indiana because they don’t like their profile, which I said this past weekend. But we’re still gonna jump an acc team and a sec team could lose too. We’re in pretty easily at this point. 

Posted

Also, I’m enjoying IU fans first real foray into watching the committee…lol. It’s all performative. Technically so is the basketball one but it is less consequential since 68 is an absurd amount of teams. 

Posted
1 minute ago, Banksyrules said:

I just want to be in.  Besides Oregon, Georgia, and Ohio State (I want to meet them again), I think we have a punchers chance against the rest. 

I’d pass on OSU again. But I agree. Down year at the top and we can play with any of the teams in the first round. 

Posted
1 minute ago, Banksyrules said:

Am I wrong to think that the committee is just waiting to see what happens in the ACC championship game to determine who gets chosen in that conference? I don’t think we’re in trouble. 

If the committee holds to saying 'teams aren't punished for losing conference championship games', then SMU is guaranteed a spot because they are already in the ACC championship.  So SMU is a win over California away from being in, which is why it was so important IMO that IU was ahead of SMU.

Think of this scenario:

this weekend SMU beats to California, Miami loses to Syracuse, and Clemson loses to South Carolina.  This would put SMU and Clemson int the title game.  Would Miami, who is currently at #6, fall by Indiana?  IMO they should but this is the CFP committee.  Clemson then beats SMU in the title game.  Clemson gets the auto bid even though they are 10-3.  SMU is 11-2 but since they were 'ahead of IU before the conference championship', they take SMU.  Now it comes down to whether the committee takes IU with one loss or Miami with two and while I think they take IU, I don't trust the committee.

Posted
5 minutes ago, str8baller said:

That’s right. They’re penalizing Indiana because they don’t like their profile, which I said this past weekend. But we’re still gonna jump an acc team and a sec team could lose too. We’re in pretty easily at this point. 

Not really 'in easily'.  All it takes is Texas A&M beating Texas and winning the SEC championship from IU falling out.

Posted
1 minute ago, RaceToTheTop said:

If the committee holds to saying 'teams aren't punished for losing conference championship games', then SMU is guaranteed a spot because they are already in the ACC championship.  So SMU is a win over California away from being in, which is why it was so important IMO that IU was ahead of SMU.

Think of this scenario:

this weekend SMU beats to California, Miami loses to Syracuse, and Clemson loses to South Carolina.  This would put SMU and Clemson int the title game.  Would Miami, who is currently at #6, fall by Indiana?  IMO they should but this is the CFP committee.  Clemson then beats SMU in the title game.  Clemson gets the auto bid even though they are 10-3.  SMU is 11-2 but since they were 'ahead of IU before the conference championship', they take SMU.  Now it comes down to whether the committee takes IU with one loss or Miami with two and while I think they take IU, I don't trust the committee.

Yes they would kick Miami out. It would expose them for being frauds.  Just my opinion though.

Posted
39 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

And funny how now they aren't talking about IU's SOS after playing Ohio State.  Hint:  it's 51, 26 spots ahead of SMU's.

But it’s gonna drop again by a bit after we play Purdue, so I don’t know why any IU fans worry about it either.  We had a fortuitous schedule, but we’re still good. 

Posted
Just now, Banksyrules said:

Yes they would kick Miami out. It would expose them for being frauds.  Just my opinion though.

Alabama still has an outside at getting in despite three losses and losing to Oklahoma by 21, so I don't know about teams getting exposed as frauds.  But I am of the same opinion that they would out.

Posted

Setting up to screw IU.  Quality losses only matter for the SEC, bad losses don’t hurt Notre Dame, and margin of victory only applies for Notre Dame and their trash schedule.  Losing by 3 touchdowns to a potentially non bowl team carries the same weight as losing by less to the number 2 team in the nation on the road.  Total clownshow

Posted

Games to root for this weekend:

IU over Turdue

Maryland over Penn State (ain't happening)

California over SMU (but only matters if SMU also loses the ACC title game)

Syracuse over Miami

South Carolina over Clemson

Vanderbilt over Tennessee

Texas over Texas A&M

hate to say it, but Notre Dame losing to USC would probably get ignored.

----------------------------------------

Order of importance IMO:

IU over Turdue

Vandy beating Tennessee would be huge as it would eliminate the Vols (but I don't think it happens)

Syracuse over Miami (think it moves them behind IU with no games left for them)

Texas over A&M to avoid A&M stealing a bid in in the SEC title game

California over SMU

 

Posted

Beat Purdue as severely as possible and wait to see what happens.  That’s all you can do.  If there’s politics involved and brand bias etc etc etc…then the committee can easily drop us and explain it without blinking.  

Posted
4 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

If the committee holds to saying 'teams aren't punished for losing conference championship games', then SMU is guaranteed a spot because they are already in the ACC championship. 

They literally just mean the SEC here. Period. 
 

IU is 99% in. (Assuming a Purdue win). I guess we could come up with scenarios but they’d all have to hit. Even an A&M SEC title —less than a 20% chance by itself—would need to find wacky scenarios that are just unlikely to happen. An ACC team will drop. 
 

It’s why I was adamant you want feel good pretenders like Army out. If they keep a two loss team in over IU it would be big names like Miami (maybe), ND, or Texas. People were dismissive when I wrote that Saturday but this really just about espn, sec, and tv ratings. 

Luckily this year nobody is really good enough that the committee will feel like embarrassing themselves to jump up a power team that doesn’t deserve it, imo. Indiana is in almost any way you slice it. (One caveat might be if rourke goes down…*knock on wood*)

Posted

Honestly I’m not too worried.  They wouldn’t allow a second ACC team. ESPN be dammed. The people who are in charge will not have anything less than 4 big ten teams and 3 (with trying to make it 4 for the SEC). Money talks and it would be dumb to kick out a school with a huge alumni fan base.  

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