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Posted
7 hours ago, Hoosierfan2017 said:

The SEC is overrated. They have quite a few good teams but no one elite this season. Not like in years past.

Michigan is on the level of Oklahoma and Auburn….both of which just beat SEC contenders.  Yet IU was given no credit for that win.

Anyway, three mocks that I have seen after week 13:  two had IU at 11 (behind both SMU and Tennessee and ahead of the Big 12 champ) and the other had IU at 9 ahead of both SMU and Tennessee.  My prediction is IU will be at #10 Tuesday, behind Tennessee but ahead of SMU.  
 

Future prediction:  next week, South Carolina beats Clemson and Syracuse beats Miami.  This puts Clemson and SMU in the ACC title game where Clemson destroys SMU,  Clemson then is in as the 12, Big 12 champ is the 11.  No at large teams for either league.  Texas bests A&M and other SEC teams with two or three losses win.  10 spot comes down to Alabama, South Carolina and Ole Miss — and on the strength of their win against Clemson, South Carolina moves up to 10.  IU ends at 9 and plays 8 seed Tennessee.

Posted
37 minutes ago, Stuhoo said:

Not only is our only loss on the road to Ohio State, but Nebraska, Washington, and Michigan are now all above .500 and bowl eligible. Hell; Michigan might be able to hang with Ohio State.

Beat Purdue via comfortable margin and we are in. If we can’t accomplish that then I fully understand why we won’t be in.

Yep,

Lose to PU and I wouldn’t waste 2 words defending our inclusion in the playoff. They are terrible, will want to ruin our season but we need a 20-30+ win for the committee and for our offense to get back to actually doing things like protecting the QB, getting separation and completing passes.

Posted
59 minutes ago, Stuhoo said:

Not only is our only loss on the road to Ohio State, but Nebraska, Washington, and Michigan are now all above .500 and bowl eligible. Hell; Michigan might be able to hang with Ohio State.

Beat Purdue via comfortable margin and we are in. If we can’t accomplish that then I fully understand why we won’t be in.

I still think Michigan is a well-above average football team. 5 losses-- 3 Top 10 teams-- @Washington and @Top 25 ILL 

Posted

ESPN posted 13 'expert's' picks for what the picks will be post week 13.  11 had IU in;  the only one that didn't was a ridiculous one that had three (SMU, Miami, and Clemson) in and put Penn State at #10, behind two ACC teams and two two-loss SEC teams, so I would wouldn't take that 'prediction' seriously.

Of the 11 seedings, IU was:  5 at #9, 3 at #10, and 4 at #11.

What is important to note is that some IU is ahead of SMU in 5 of the 12 -- some have placed SMU as the ACC representative, some have placed Miami.  SMU has guaranteed their place in the ACC title game.  Their opponent in the championship game will either be Miami or Clemson, whom both have dangerous regular season games left (Miami at 8-3 Syracuse, Clemson plays 8-3 South Carolina).   If Miami is in the title game, they will only have one loss.  Clemson will have AT LEAST two losses.  The winner of the title game is in and then you would have to ask if the committee would put in the loser -- but IMO I don't see a scenario where a two loss Miami, a two loss SMU, or a three or more loss Clemson team gets in over a one loss Big Ten team or even a three loss SEC team.  So even if you are looking at two ACC teams in right now, I don't see how that would stick.  

But even if two ACC teams get in, there would need to be either three ACC teams OR a three loss SEC team getting in for IU not to (assuming they don't lose to ACC).  The worst case scenario IMO would be Clemson, MIami, and SMU all winning their regular season games and then SMU beating Miami in the ACC title game.  They'd all have two losses....but then I look at Clemson and see they lost to Georgia in a worse fashion than IU lost to Ohio State plus Clemson lost to Louisville at home by two scores in a game that wasn't as close as that.

 

Posted
9 minutes ago, Certified Sunshine Pumper said:

I still think Michigan is a well-above average football team. 5 losses-- 3 Top 10 teams-- @Washington and @Top 25 ILL 

The whole 'IU has the 106th ranked schedule'......I have no idea where that is coming from.  Sagarin had it at 77 entering yesterday, so that is going to get bumped up quite a bit.  Entering yesterday, SMU was at 64, Miami 59, and Clemson 51.  Given each team's opponents in Saturday, IU's schedule is right there with all of those and they have looked more dominant than any of them (with maybe the exception of Miami)

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