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Posted

Imo this was the worst case scenario. Wouldn't be shocked if SMU stays in ahead of IU pushing IU to the last at large bid vs Alabama. The committee is not above doing whatever they feel like in the 11th hour. 

Posted
1 minute ago, rcbowla said:

Imo this was the worst case scenario. Wouldn't be shocked if SMU stays in ahead of IU pushing IU to the last at large bid vs Alabama. The committee is not above doing whatever they feel like in the 11th hour. 

Per the committee chair, nothing will change amongst teams that didn’t play. So Bama theoretically has no path to jump us, nor Miami over them. Well see if SMU drops a spot behind us or not…but they deserve to be in over Bama.

 

Posted

My prediction for Tuesday's CFP rankings:

  1. Oregon
  2. Georgia
  3. Texas
  4. Notre Dame
  5. Penn State
  6. Ohio State
  7. Tennessee
  8. Boise State
  9. Indiana
  10. SMU
  11. Alabama
  12. Arizona State
  13. Miami
  14. Ole Miss
  15. South Carolina
  16. Clemson
  17. BYU
  18. Iowa State
  19. Missouri
  20. Illinois
  21. Army
  22. Illinois
  23. Syracuse
  24. Colorado
  25. Memphis

 

That would make the seeding:

  1. Oregon
  2. Georgia
  3. Boise State
  4. Arizona State
  5. Texas
  6. Notre Dame
  7. Penn State
  8. Ohio State
  9. Tennessee
  10. Indiana
  11. SMU
  12. Clemson

That would make the first round matchups:

12 Clemson at 5 Texas

11 SMU at 6 Notre Dame

10 Indiana at 7 Penn State

9 Tennessee at 8 Ohio State

Winner of Clemson/Texas plays at Arizona State

WInner of Notre Dame/SMU plays at Boise State

Winner of Indiana/Penn State plays at Georgia

Winner of Ohio State/ Tennessee play at Oregon

 

 

Posted
6 minutes ago, rcbowla said:

Imo this was the worst case scenario. Wouldn't be shocked if SMU stays in ahead of IU pushing IU to the last at large bid vs Alabama. The committee is not above doing whatever they feel like in the 11th hour. 

The committee has flat out said that idle teams have no additional data points and would not exchange positions with each other.   I'm not sure why you keep being concerned about IU being in.

Posted
4 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

My prediction for Tuesday's CFP rankings:

  1. Oregon
  2. Georgia
  3. Texas
  4. Notre Dame
  5. Penn State
  6. Ohio State
  7. Tennessee
  8. Boise State
  9. Indiana
  10. SMU
  11. Alabama
  12. Arizona State
  13. Miami
  14. Ole Miss
  15. South Carolina
  16. Clemson
  17. BYU
  18. Iowa State
  19. Missouri
  20. Illinois
  21. Army
  22. Illinois
  23. Syracuse
  24. Colorado
  25. Memphis

 

That would make the seeding:

  1. Oregon
  2. Georgia
  3. Boise State
  4. Arizona State
  5. Texas
  6. Notre Dame
  7. Penn State
  8. Ohio State
  9. Tennessee
  10. Indiana
  11. SMU
  12. Clemson

That would make the first round matchups:

12 Clemson at 5 Texas

11 SMU at 6 Notre Dame

10 Indiana at 7 Penn State

9 Tennessee at 8 Ohio State

Winner of Clemson/Texas plays at Arizona State

WInner of Notre Dame/SMU plays at Boise State

Winner of Indiana/Penn State plays at Georgia

Winner of Ohio State/ Tennessee play at Oregon

 

 

My guess is they would flip Penn State with  and Texas/Notre Dame here to avoid a 1st round all B1G match up. At least I'm guessing that's that what the B1G contigent in the room would push for. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, Hoosierfan2017 said:

So what are the odds they have Alabama jump us so they can get Alabama in without bumping SMU?

They stated any teams not playing this week are set in that order and they won't jump anybody.  So IU is safe... if they stick to their word. 

Posted
1 minute ago, tyappleg said:

My guess is they would flip Penn State with  and Texas/Notre Dame here to avoid a 1st round all B1G match up. At least I'm guessing that's that what the B1G contigent in the room would push for. 

Some talking heads that I have heard seem to theorize the opposite -- the committee doesn't mind having conference teams eliminate each other.  Makes for good TV.  

 

Posted
1 minute ago, RaceToTheTop said:

The committee has flat out said that idle teams have no additional data points and would not exchange positions with each other.   I'm not sure why you keep being concerned about IU being in.

You're taking them for their word. I am not. I realize I'm pretty much the only one which makes me feel confident but I won't be 100% until the final ranking. 

Posted

Warde Manuel said that idle teams won’t move in relation to each other Tuesday. Rece asked him again on Gameday today and he re-iterated the point.

The committee does some goofy stuff, but I don’t believe they’ve ever outright lied on air about their process. 

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