Bracketology and Team Resumes

[Uspshoosier]

12 minutes ago, HoosierHoopster said:

Where’s Wiscy now. Cracking top 30?

32 NET 

[Uspshoosier]

Looks like IU chose the hard way.  Probably gained a Q2 win with Marquettes win but are going to add a Q2 loss after tomorrow.   As usual I lay out the path that’s still in front of them but it’s a very difficult path.   Program people on this board is invested in just lost 6 straight games to Northwestern and now 4 home games in a row.   That’s as middle of the pack mediocre as you can get as a program.   Until they can beat northwestern on a regular basis I would pump the brakes on this program competing anywhere near the top.  Don’t care how much NIL you think they have.  You are invested in a mid program 

[TheWatShot]

The worst part about tonight is all the mental gymnastics we're going to perform convincing ourselves we still have a path. 

[str8baller]

23 minutes ago, TheWatShot said:

The worst part about tonight is all the mental gymnastics we're going to perform convincing ourselves we still have a path. 

We clearly do. It’s certainly possible. It is simply no longer probable.
 

In other words,  before tonight the computers had us in. Tomorrow they mostly won’t. 

[Uspshoosier]

3 minutes ago, str8baller said:

We clearly do. It’s certainly possible. It is simply no longer probable.
 

In other words,  before tonight the computers had us in. Tomorrow they mostly won’t. 

Just a harder path.  They had an easier path right in front of them and got results today from other games that would have helped them if they would have won this game.  Marquette blows out Georgetown on the road and they are going to shoot up the net  tomorrow and be within the top 100 which would be a Q2 win.   Only thing is northwestern winning will move them in the Q2 area.  Win the next 3 (not likely) and you add 2 Q1 and 1 Q2 win and that will get them in.    Every year I’m amazed this program continues to lose to Northwestern.   Not sure if their seniors have lost to IU 

[Golfman25]

18 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Just a harder path.  They had an easier path right in front of them and got results today from other games that would have helped them if they would have won this game.  Marquette blows out Georgetown on the road and they are going to shoot up the net  tomorrow and be within the top 100 which would be a Q2 win.   Only thing is northwestern winning will move them in the Q2 area.  Win the next 3 (not likely) and you add 2 Q1 and 1 Q2 win and that will get them in.    Every year I’m amazed this program continues to lose to Northwestern.   Not sure if their seniors have lost to IU 

Collins must suck as a coach.  :)  

[Uspshoosier]

Just now, Golfman25 said:

Collins must suck as a coach.  :)  

Last year  most on here turned their nose up at the thought of him coaching at Iu.    I’ve always liked him as coach.  Getting Northwestern to the tourney and winning games is a huge accomplishment.  Maybe next time IU hires him 

[Uspshoosier]

That fake win at Baylor would come in handy about right now 

[Uspshoosier]

Auburn is about to fall to 15-13 with a loss at Oklahoma.   Still projected as a tourney team by most.    They got 3 min to come back from a 10 pt deficit 

[Pagoda]

Our prediction market odds to make it went from ~80% to ~33%.

After the last three games, I'm not holding my breath for a magical three game winning streak.

Man, what a bummer.

[Class of '66 Old Fart]

Mathematically we may still have a chance but the team we're putting on the court doesn't have a chance.

[hoopsta007]

9 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

Last year  most on here turned their nose up at the thought of him coaching at Iu.    I’ve always liked him as coach.  Getting Northwestern to the tourney and winning games is a huge accomplishment.  Maybe next time IU hires him 

I’d love to see what Collin’s could do here with the ability to tap into more talent.  He’s a solid coach that is able to exploit matchup advantages wherever available and knows the rigors of B1G play.

All that aside, if we lose to MSU, does anyone thing that the two games against Minnesota and OSU, paired with two B1G tournament wins could keep us in the conversation?

[str8baller]

5 minutes ago, hoopsta007 said:

All that aside, if we lose to MSU, does anyone thing that the two games against Minnesota and OSU, paired with two B1G tournament wins could keep us in the conversation?

Yes. That would put us at 21 wins and likely add at least one more Quad 1 win. In a scenario where there are few bid stealers I think that gets us in. I think minny, osu and one btt win has us in the conversation in the above scenario. But I’m not sure we end up on the right side of the bubble with just that.

[Home Jersey]

Watch this be the year we win the BTT lol 

[Uspshoosier]

28 minutes ago, Home Jersey said:

Watch this be the year we win the BTT lol 

I’ve said that every year for the last 20 years.     lol. 

[Stuhoo]

35 minutes ago, Home Jersey said:

Watch this be the year we win the BTT lol 

I firmly believe that we could win a game, or even two in the B1G tournament.

I also firmly believe that if we played Michigan 20 times, we would lose at least 19, and probably all 20.

[Uspshoosier]

For the first time all year ius NET dropped below the 30s.  They are 40 and even worse for WAB dropped to 48.   That’s the bigger drop.    You want your WAB to be 42 or better.  Now a win against Sparty probably helps get back to the 40s but as of now they are trending down.    More teams play their way out of the tourney as those who play themselves into it.   Bottom of the bubble is always weak and with their opportunities left and the BTT chances they will still have a shot to get in however the frustrating thing for fans is all they have to do is take care of the teams they are suppose to and they would of been projected in with wiggle room.   Not now.   Earn it or try again next year 

[Uspshoosier]

IUs inability to win home games against bottom of the bracket teams and non tourney teams continues to hold them back.    Maybe one day they will figure it out 

[BGleas]

12 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

IUs inability to win home games against bottom of the bracket teams and non tourney teams continues to hold them back.    Maybe one day they will figure it out 

Yup, so frustrating. Years of losing at home to some combination of Northwestern, Rutgers, Penn State and Nebraska every season.

[Stuhoo]

I know Lunardi sux but for full disclosure, even after last night, here's what he says about IUBB currently:

• News around the bubble: New Mexico survives its loss at Nevada thanks to USC's lopsided loss at UCLA. Indiana survives its loss to Northwestern, for now, because we still need 68 teams in the field.