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Posted

Yesterday on Gameday, Pat McAfee was talking about Indiana and said don’t be surprised if Gameday ends up in Bloomington. Schedule-wise, the Nebraska and Michigan games made the most sense, as of yesterday morning, but Michigan may have a few more losses by then.

So what are the chances we get it for Nebraska in two weeks? Both teams have a bye next weekend, so the records will hold for 10/19. Before yesterday, I didn’t think we had a chance in hell given Bama-Tennessee and Georgia-Texas are also that day, but Bama and Tennessee both just lost, and Texas will play Oklahoma next weekend, and  Gameday usually is at the Red River Rivalry every year (although next weekend OSU travels to Oregon…).

IMG_5588.jpeg

Posted
19 minutes ago, Magnanimous said:

Yesterday on Gameday, Pat McAfee was talking about Indiana and said don’t be surprised if Gameday ends up in Bloomington. Schedule-wise, the Nebraska and Michigan games made the most sense, as of yesterday morning, but Michigan may have a few more losses by then.

So what are the chances we get it for Nebraska in two weeks? Both teams have a bye next weekend, so the records will hold for 10/19. Before yesterday, I didn’t think we had a chance in hell given Bama-Tennessee and Georgia-Texas are also that day, but Bama and Tennessee both just lost, and Texas will play Oklahoma next weekend, and  Gameday usually is at the Red River Rivalry every year (although next weekend OSU travels to Oregon…).

IMG_5588.jpeg

Gameday is already going to Oregon OSU. I really think it’ll be Big Noon for Nebraska then they’ll see how Michigan plays before that game. No way Gameday passes up that top 5 matchup in Austin. 

Posted
8 minutes ago, Hovadipo said:

Gameday is already going to Oregon OSU. I really think it’ll be Big Noon for Nebraska then they’ll see how Michigan plays before that game. No way Gameday passes up that top 5 matchup in Austin. 

Let’s root for OU next weekend then. 

Posted

Wow, just saw the targeting non-call in the Miami-Cal game. Not a conspiracy guy at all, but that was about as flagrant an example of a League office putting their thumb on the scale as you’ll see. Doesn’t excuse Cal blowing a huge lead. But if they make that very obvious call that game is over and the ACC’s best chance at a playoff team takes a bad L. 

Posted
12 hours ago, IUHoosier5 said:

I was thinking 14th. 

Don't see that happening.  Teams ahead of IU that lost were #1 Alabama, #4 Tennessee, #9 Missouri, #10 Michigan, #11 USC, and #22 Louisville.  Even if -- and it won't happen -- IU moved ahead of every team in front of them that lost, they will only move up 7 spots.

IU won't move ahead of Alabama or Tennessee.  Don't see them moving ahead of Missouri as it was Missouri's first loss and it was on the road at a ranked opponent.  For Michigan and USC, it was each of their second losses.....IMO, IU could move ahead of USC because there loss was to 2-3 MInnesota but I don't think IU moves ahead of Michigan.  So IMO that's three spots IU moved up but I think Texas A&M leap frogs IU because they just beat the #9 team by 31 points.

My guess is IU is at #21.

Posted
1 hour ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Don't see that happening.  Teams ahead of IU that lost were #1 Alabama, #4 Tennessee, #9 Missouri, #10 Michigan, #11 USC, and #22 Louisville.  Even if -- and it won't happen -- IU moved ahead of every team in front of them that lost, they will only move up 7 spots.

IU won't move ahead of Alabama or Tennessee.  Don't see them moving ahead of Missouri as it was Missouri's first loss and it was on the road at a ranked opponent.  For Michigan and USC, it was each of their second losses.....IMO, IU could move ahead of USC because there loss was to 2-3 MInnesota but I don't think IU moves ahead of Michigan.  So IMO that's three spots IU moved up but I think Texas A&M leap frogs IU because they just beat the #9 team by 31 points.

My guess is IU is at #21.

Close, 20th.

But we are above the defending champs.

Posted
12 hours ago, Magnanimous said:

Yesterday on Gameday, Pat McAfee was talking about Indiana and said don’t be surprised if Gameday ends up in Bloomington. Schedule-wise, the Nebraska and Michigan games made the most sense, as of yesterday morning, but Michigan may have a few more losses by then.

So what are the chances we get it for Nebraska in two weeks? Both teams have a bye next weekend, so the records will hold for 10/19. Before yesterday, I didn’t think we had a chance in hell given Bama-Tennessee and Georgia-Texas are also that day, but Bama and Tennessee both just lost, and Texas will play Oklahoma next weekend, and  Gameday usually is at the Red River Rivalry every year (although next weekend OSU travels to Oregon…).

IMG_5588.jpeg

Man, the byes certainly aren't in IU's favor. So far 2 road B1G games against teams coming off a bye week and for our bye week so does the other team so no advantage there.

Posted
22 minutes ago, Demo said:

IMG_1403.png
 

Will be curious to follow this trend. Also, real interesting to see how basketball goes.

I saw this stat and wonder if it's just matchups or is the two+ time zone travel actually an issue. I'm too lazy to look up home field advantage victories this year. I just know IUFB is undefeated. ;-)

Posted
17 minutes ago, Lebowski said:

I saw this stat and wonder if it's just matchups or is the two+ time zone travel actually an issue. I'm too lazy to look up home field advantage victories this year. I just know IUFB is undefeated. ;-)

Yeah, 3-7 against the spread may indicate there’s a travel impact, but will be interesting to see if that holds as the sample size grows.

Posted
4 hours ago, Demo said:

Yeah, 3-7 against the spread may indicate there’s a travel impact, but will be interesting to see if that holds as the sample size grows.

I completely understand what you're saying here and somewhat agree. But I'm still in the "wait and see the season play out" mode if that makes sense. The favored teams are basically winning (8-2) the games. 

This week's two+ time zone travel 
MINN (-5) at UCLA
O$U (-3) at ORE
PSU (-4) at USC
WASH (+3) at IOWA

This week all of these games minus MINN v UCLA are really good games with a lot of parity and I won't be surprised if all road teams win this week. I also won't be surprised, based on how this year has gone, that spreads won't be covered. I think this might be the week that will test the time zone travel theory because most of the road teams are favored. I think if anything, the oddsmakers aren't adjusting properly. 

Posted
19 hours ago, Demo said:

Yeah, 3-7 against the spread may indicate there’s a travel impact, but will be interesting to see if that holds as the sample size grows.

I would guess that percentage against the spread will stay close to that 70% number, with one caveat. As the board's resident degenerate gambler, I have used a similar model for NFL games for years. West coast teams traveling 2+ time zones AND playing the in the 1 o'clock games  fail to cover as a favorite about 65% of the time. That's using about 20 years of data. East coast teams traveling west don't seem to have the same results, they are closer to 50%. Something about the body being able to reset its clock easier with the added time, or some sort of physiological mish mash that I didn't pay attention to in biology class.

Posted
On 10/10/2024 at 11:28 AM, Lebowski said:

I completely understand what you're saying here and somewhat agree. But I'm still in the "wait and see the season play out" mode if that makes sense. The favored teams are basically winning (8-2) the games. 

This week's two+ time zone travel 
MINN (-5) at UCLA
O$U (-3) at ORE
PSU (-4) at USC
WASH (+3) at IOWA

This week all of these games minus MINN v UCLA are really good games with a lot of parity and I won't be surprised if all road teams win this week. I also won't be surprised, based on how this year has gone, that spreads won't be covered. I think this might be the week that will test the time zone travel theory because most of the road teams are favored. I think if anything, the oddsmakers aren't adjusting properly. 

Don't convince the mad lads to add a Mountain Time Zone program.  It was bad enough to put teams on the Pacific coast.

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