Bracketology and Team Resumes

[RaceToTheTop]

24 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Big West-UC-San Diego 

MVC- Drake 

AAC-Memphis 

WCC-Zags or St Mary’s 

MWC- New Mexico, Utah St, San Diego St 

might be more but I would have to check.  These are the teams you would want to win the tourneys.  If anyone besides these teams win then some bids could be stolen.   

Boise State is also kind of bubblish, aren't they or do you think they need to win the MWC tourney to make it?

Anyway, Lunardi has IU as one of the last four byes as of this morning, ahead of five teams (Ohio State, Georgia, Arkansas, Nebraska, and Oklahoma....he has Boise State, Xavier, UNC, Texas, Wake Forest, SMU, Cincinnati, and Villanova as first eight out).

[RaceToTheTop]

17 hours ago, RaceToTheTop said:

IU up to 47 on Pom.  Believe they were at 50 after their last game.  Move up three spots on Torvik as well to 55.

Indiana should move ahead of Nebraska in NET now.  Nebraska was at 54 and just took a Q3 home loss to Minnesota while IU had a road Q2 win.

A couple of positive developments:   after all the evening games finished, IU moved even further.  Now 44 on Pom and 52 on Torvik.

[Uspshoosier]

3 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Boise State is also kind of bubblish, aren't they or do you think they need to win the MWC tourney to make it?

Yeah they are definitely right on the bubble.  They have to beat some of the other top MWC teams in their tourney and avoid a bad loss.  Almost lost last night 

[Hoosierfan1901]

ASUN Tournament starts tonight, should be fun in the ASUN

[Shooter]

With (at least) three games left to play, how are people feeling about our chances?

Win 3 or more games - definitely in, and not in the First Four.

Win 2 more games in any combination - we are in. Probably safe from the First Four in Dayton, unless both of those wins are in the BTT.

Win 1 game - if that win is at Oregon or vs Ohio State, probably in. First Four is a possibility. If the only win is in BTT (would be quad 2 in this scenario), we're right on the edge of the bubble.

Zero more wins - probably out.

[Demo]

https://x.com/DelphiBrackets/status/1896609851285164427
 

Delphi’s latest. IU an 11 but not in Dayton. Go ahead and put a beating on Oregon and put an end to the suspense.

[Hoosierfan1901]

35 minutes ago, Demo said:

https://x.com/DelphiBrackets/status/1896609851285164427
 

Delphi’s latest. IU an 11 but not in Dayton. Go ahead and put a beating on Oregon and put an end to the suspense.

Feels like a win against either OSU/Oregon + a win in the BTT puts us safely in. 20 wins is the magic number.

[HoosierHoopster]

I think we're on the bubble but maybe in with 19 W's (with heartburn) but 20 W's should get us in, 11-13 range or so. I'll trust in @Uspshoosier's estimation on that though

[OliviaPope40]

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/page/bracketology/ncaa-bracketology-2025-march-madness-men-field-predictions

If the tournament started today here's the hypothetical bracket.

[tkbbn]

1 hour ago, OliviaPope40 said:

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/page/bracketology/ncaa-bracketology-2025-march-madness-men-field-predictions

If the tournament started today here's the hypothetical bracket.

I know it's hypothetical but if we would win our first game we could face kentucky in the 2nd round. They always find a way for us to meet. 

[Uspshoosier]

22 hours ago, HoosierHoopster said:

I think we're on the bubble but maybe in with 19 W's (with heartburn) but 20 W's should get us in, 11-13 range or so. I'll trust in @Uspshoosier's estimation on that though

10-12 range.  You don’t see at-large teams worse than a 12 anymore.   

[HoosierHoopster]

10 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

10-12 range.  You don’t see at-large teams worse than a 12 anymore.   

Seems ripe for an IU 12-5 matchup....

[HinnyHoosier]

Andy Katz has IU in the 10/7 matchup with...

Ole Miss.

And the 2/15 below that is none other than 2 seed Iowa St. Lol

[OliviaPope40]

20 minutes ago, HinnyHoosier said:

Andy Katz has IU in the 10/7 matchup with...

Ole Miss.

And the 2/15 below that is none other than 2 seed Iowa St. Lol

Talk about interviewing for the job.

[Uspshoosier]

IU loss won’t knock them out of the tourney however they had a chance to lock up an at-large tonight.   If they win Saturday that should be enough if they were to lose in the B1G tourney.   Would definitely have to worry about a bunch of bid stealers though.   

[HoosierHoopster]

Figured this game for a L. Really should win the next one. The lineup change is now better scouted though, that’s starting to show

[RaceToTheTop]

Pom dropped from 47 from 44, Torvik went from 52 to 53.

[str8baller]

7 hours ago, HoosierHoopster said:

Figured this game for a L. Really should win the next one. The lineup change is now better scouted though, that’s starting to show

It is. Before when we played two bigs, couldn’t get out to shooters, and one ball reversal led to a rotation breakdown, teams got easy shots and didn’t need to hunt our weaker defenders. Now that we play small and gallows and leal play more, our team defense seems shored up quite a bit. That seems to be leading to coaches hunting Goode and Mbako more. I’d expect a bunch of ball screens until osu gets Thornton gets isolated versus those two or one of their bigger guys can push Goode to the post. 
 

Not an easy game. Have to wonder if we still have a path if we lose to OSU.

[RaceToTheTop]

Against Washington, Ballo and Reneau were never on the court together.

Against Oregon yesterday, they played 17 minutes together.

[Dave from Dayton]

1 hour ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Against Washington, Ballo and Reneau were never on the court together.

Against Oregon yesterday, they played 17 minutes together.

Yeah.  Noticed that.  Mixed results on both offense and defense.  Trying to get some rebounds.  Ballo got his.  Some got away from him.

Actually, thought there were a few minutes in the middle of the 2nd half against Washington...IU momentum dropped and we lost six points, maybe 8 point run by Washington.  Thought that started with our two bigs in the middle for 3 minutes or so.

I'm probably misremembering.

Last night, too many long rebounds went to Oregon.

The fouling was because Oregon was quicker and we were desperate to stop them.

I was surprised the whole game...thought Oregon would break it open the whole time.  The end game was...uh...not good.

And who gives the propaganda about Woody to the announcers?  Woody's stare has improved in four years.