Bracketology and Team Resumes

[IU Scott]

Just now, Uspshoosier said:

14 plays 11 and 12 plays 13 on the first day 

My bad, I thought there were 3 games on the first day.  I have no clue what I was thinking.

[IUFAN1976]

2 hours ago, brumdog45 said:

You are incorrect on your statement that they are out of most Bracketologists Brackets.  Of the last 74 posted on bracketmatrix, IU was in 63 of them.  Of the brackets from those who are ranked in the top ten who have posted each of the last five years:

Delphi:  hasn't posted since Feb 18;  IU was a 12 seed then.  Would probably have IU first four out after OSU game

Harkins:  posted today, IU in first four out

Pulsifer:  posted today, IU 10 seed

OMC:  hasn't posted since Feb 18;  IU 10 seed.  Would still have IU in after OSU game.

1-3-1:  posted today, IU 11 seed

Bracketville:  posted today, IU 12 seed.

Lunardi's current rating is very much in line with what other more accurate bracketologists have.   That said, three wins probably gets IU in.  We tend to only look at what IU is doing, but the last week was not a very favorable one for teams that were previously below us on the list.  Very few teams like Rutgers making charges;  more teams like Oregon going the wrong way.

 

Thanks for correcting me, I know the ones I’ve seen have them in the 1st four out

[IU_FanClub]

Arkansas and Florida coming down to the wire. Come on Hogs.

[IU_FanClub]

Down goes Florida. Huge.

[IU_FanClub]

Oklahoma getting blown out. Also good.

[IU_FanClub]

https://barttorvik.com/bubble-guide.php?team=Indiana
2/2 so far in tonight’s high leverage games for us need Kansas to beat Kansas state as well

[johnsoniu]

Bama keeps giving Vandy open looks and Oats is about to lose his ish


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[johnsoniu]

Meanwhile Boise St with an offensive explosion, dropping 30 on San Diego St in first half. Their game a month ago was 42-37.


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[johnsoniu]

Dammit, wrong thread, my bad.


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[lillurk]

1 hour ago, IU_FanClub said:

https://barttorvik.com/bubble-guide.php?team=Indiana
2/2 so far in tonight’s high leverage games for us need Kansas to beat Kansas state as well

Kansas up 22 with 6 left. Lately the best nights for IU’s bubble chances are the ones they’re not playing

[IU_FanClub]

11 minutes ago, lillurk said:

Kansas up 22 with 6 left. Lately the best nights for IU’s bubble chances are the ones they’re not playing

I wish you were wrong lol

[IU_FanClub]

Games go our way tomorrow night and we snag a win on Thursday should give us at least some slight breathing room for the moment 

[IU_FanClub]

Been waiting on a Lunardi bubble update all day lol the next few weeks of work are gonna be tough

[IU Scott]

24 minutes ago, IU_FanClub said:

Been waiting on a Lunardi bubble update all day lol the next few weeks of work are gonna be tough

He was on DD yesterday and had us in the play in game. He said he thought we would be in with 3 more wins no matter when or who they are against.

[RaceToTheTop]

On 2/22/2022 at 9:48 PM, lillurk said:

Kansas up 22 with 6 left. Lately the best nights for IU’s bubble chances are the ones they’re not playing

Yeah, I think we were at 47 after the Wisky loss.  Lost one since but we are at 43 right now.

Rutgers fell to 83 after their loss at Michigan.  USPS, can you help me out -- has any team at 83 or worse gotten an at large bid?  I know you mentioned Michigan State last year at 76, but even then NET was a little wonky because of the lack of non-con games.

[RaceToTheTop]

1-3-1 (decent bracketologist just posted there list.  IU as a 12 seed, last 4 in, 2 teams behind team being Memphis and Rutgers.

First four out are SMU, VCU, BYU, and Belmont.  I've been a little surprised to see the number of bracketologists that have Memphis over SMU especially after SMU just beat them easily.

[Uspshoosier]

I know I sound like a broken record but the margin between tourney lock and completely out is so slim.   IU was basically closing out Ohio St on the road from being projected as a lock in most bracket projections. But they didn’t and they are basically on every projections bubble.  Being a B1G bubble team can be a blessing and a curse.  Blessing because you are going to get way more opportunities to get big wins.   A curse because you have way more chances to lose to the top teams that can cause a slide.  With a team that isn’t in the top tier that can snowball which we have all seen before.   B1G bubble teams have to take advantage of their schedule when the opportunity comes up and that’s where IU is at 

maryland-92

Mind-101 

Rutgers-81 

These are the games IU always had to have regardless of losing to the top teams.  This was always IU’s chance to make a move.   Not sure if IU can  change the narrative that has followed the program the last couple years but they now have a manageable schedule to make a run.  
 

 This is probably the closest the transfers  have ever been to making the tournament. Hopefully they will realize that and leave it all out on floor and that’s basically all we can ask for as fans.  

[Southside]

10 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

I know I sound like a broken record but the margin between tourney lock and completely out is so slim.   IU was basically closing out Ohio St on the road from being projected as a lock in most bracket projections. But they didn’t and they are basically on every projections bubble.  Being a B1G bubble team can be a blessing and a curse.  Blessing because you are going to get way more opportunities to get big wins.   A curse because you have way more chances to lose to the top teams that can cause a slide.  With a team that isn’t in the top tier that can snowball which we have all seen before.   B1G bubble teams have to take advantage of their schedule when the opportunity comes up and that’s where IU is at 

maryland-92

Mind-101 

Rutgers-81 

These are the games IU always had to have regardless of losing to the top teams.  This was always IU’s chance to make a move.   Not sure if IU can change the narrative that has followed the program the last couple years but they now have a manageable schedule to make a run.  
 

 This is probably the closest the transfers  have ever been to making the tournament. Hopefully they will realize that and leave it all out on floor and that’s basically all we can ask for as fans.  

Great post. 

That said, I don't have any illusions of winning a natty or anything, but would be nice to sneak in and extend the season. If we win the next two and lose to PU, I think we're still right there on the edge. Performance in the B10T likely would be the factor. IMO if we win the next two, and win the first game in the B10T, good chance we're in depending on some others. Lose either of the next two, then we'll need a run in the B10T. 

I've thought the same on the transfers. And not just them, guys like TJD and Race too. Culture is hard to overcome in one year when you really don't have "your guys", but hope the guys find a second gear. Like I said, no delusions of us being great, but would love to at minimum play role of spoiler in the Big Dance. Just something to build on in addition to the win over PU after the drought. 

By the way, Woody is on Connie Barta's cheat list. 

[Hovadipo]

-The Athletic

[IUc2016]

1 minute ago, Hovadipo said:

-The Athletic

That would be fun