IUFB Offseason Updates

[SlamaJamaSisley]

https://www.spreaker.com/user/thepeegspodcast/tom-allen 

[IUc2016]

As posted in another thread, BIG TEN FOOTBALL IS BACK!!! Starts October 23-24, and I would assume that would allow each team to play 8 games with December 19th held for the BIG championship. 

I predict 8-0 for the hoosiers :) 

[IUc2016]

looks like the teams will get a 9th game with teams finishing 2-7 in their division getting a consolation game the date of the BIG championship. 

https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/why-the-sun-belts-three-big-12-shockers-are-the-tip-of-the-upset-iceberg-this-college-football-season/

[NashvilleHoosier]

I got really excited until I read the details of the medical protocols. I'm still excited for the season to be back on. But a 21 day sit out for any player that tests positive, and a team can't play for 7 days if the team has a 5% positivity rate or higher. A quick count of our roster shows about 120 players. If 6 players test positive, we can't play that week. With no bye week built in, it seems highly unlikely a full 8 games will be completed. If a main goal was to get a team in the CFP, they may be crossing fingers that a 6-0 OSU, with no conference championship game, somehow gets in over several 9-1 teams. Can't see that happening. 

More than likely, as things progress, the rules evolve to something like the MLB where a player has to quarantine for a much shorter period and return after 2 consecutive negative tests 24 hours apart. Not sure what to think about the team positivity rate. 

[IUc2016]

19 minutes ago, NashvilleHoosier said:

I got really excited until I read the details of the medical protocols. I'm still excited for the season to be back on. But a 21 day sit out for any player that tests positive, and a team can't play for 7 days if the team has a 5% positivity rate or higher. A quick count of our roster shows about 120 players. If 6 players test positive, we can't play that week. With no bye week built in, it seems highly unlikely a full 8 games will be completed. If a main goal was to get a team in the CFP, they may be crossing fingers that a 6-0 OSU, with no conference championship game, somehow gets in over several 9-1 teams. Can't see that happening. 

More than likely, as things progress, the rules evolve to something like the MLB where a player has to quarantine for a much shorter period and return after 2 consecutive negative tests 24 hours apart. Not sure what to think about the team positivity rate. 

I believe the 5% is a rolling average for the week. Since the players are tested everyday it would have to be a positive rate of more than 5% for a whole 7 day average. That's quite a bit different than one day. Again this is how I have interpreted the protocol. 

[NashvilleHoosier]

20 minutes ago, IUc2016 said:

I believe the 5% is a rolling average for the week. Since the players are tested everyday it would have to be a positive rate of more than 5% for a whole 7 day average. That's quite a bit different than one day. Again this is how I have interpreted the protocol. 

Hmm. I haven't seen the rolling average quoted anywhere, but I could be wrong. If a team has 0 positive tests on day 1, then steadily increases to 9.5% of the team tests positive on day 7, that rolling average could fall below 5%. But, no other day really matters besides the one that 9.5% of your players test positive. On the flip side, you could start with 20% of your players testing positive and immediately shut it down. If 7 days later, you are at 2% positivity, your rolling average could still be well above 5%. But why does that matter anymore if you currently only have 2% of players testing positive. I'm not sure the rolling average would be applicable here. But maybe I'm missing something. 

[IUc2016]

13 minutes ago, NashvilleHoosier said:

Hmm. I haven't seen the rolling average quoted anywhere, but I could be wrong. If a team has 0 positive tests on day 1, then steadily increases to 9.5% of the team tests positive on day 7, that rolling average could fall below 5%. But, no other day really matters besides the one that 9.5% of your players test positive. On the flip side, you could start with 20% of your players testing positive and immediately shut it down. If 7 days later, you are at 2% positivity, your rolling average could still be well above 5%. But why does that matter anymore if you currently only have 2% of players testing positive. I'm not sure the rolling average would be applicable here. But maybe I'm missing something. 

here, straight from the BIG. 

https://bigten.org/news/2020/9/16/the-big-ten-conference-adopts-stringent-medical-protocols-football-season-to-resume-october-23-24-2020.aspx

[NashvilleHoosier]

4 hours ago, IUc2016 said:

here, straight from the BIG. 

https://bigten.org/news/2020/9/16/the-big-ten-conference-adopts-stringent-medical-protocols-football-season-to-resume-october-23-24-2020.aspx

Ah, well how about that. Unfortunately, I only had time to get my info today in bits and pieces from talking heads on the internet. Shame on me :-). I was also thinking the rolling average would apply as each day's average divided by 7. Sounds like its the total positives in that 7 day period vs. total tests in that 7 day period. Makes more sense. 

[IUc2016]

Ah, well how about that. Unfortunately, I only had time to get my info today in bits and pieces from talking heads on the internet. Shame on me :-). I was also thinking the rolling average would apply as each day's average divided by 7. Sounds like its the total positives in that 7 day period vs. total tests in that 7 day period. Makes more sense. 

You’re good man. But yeah I had your concerns when I first read the 5% positive rate as well


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[BGVille Hoosierfan]

Schedule will be released at 10 am this morning on the FOX. Has anyone else heard that IU-Purdue will be week 1???

[LIHoosier]

2020 Schedule

 

[BGVille Hoosierfan]

This B1G schedule really highlights the need for a realignment of divisions. The B1G West is a complete joke. Compare IU’s schedule to Purdue’s schedule and it’s glaring.

[cthomas]

15 minutes ago, LIHoosier said:

2020 Schedule

 

The wild card will be who is eligible to play each week. Looks to me like a 3 or 4 win season.

[BGVille Hoosierfan]

25 minutes ago, cthomas said:

The wild card will be who is eligible to play each week. Looks to me like a 3 or 4 win season.

I’m more optimistic than most years, and I actually feel good about that optimism unlike every other “optimistic” IU football year. I see us going at least 4-4 with a decent chance of 5-3. I truly believe we will beat one of Michigan/Penn State and could realistically beat both, but it’s IU football so who really knows.

[323SGrant]

This B1G schedule really highlights the need for a realignment of divisions. The B1G West is a complete joke. Compare IU’s schedule to Purdue’s schedule and it’s glaring.

It’s so unbalanced it’s really a shame.


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[WayneFleekHoosier]

2-6 or 3-5.  Tough slate.

[rcbowla]

3-5 and that would honestly be acceptable albeit disappointing

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[NashvilleHoosier]

Tough draw for sure. But I have a pretty positive outlook here. It's not unreasonable to say this is the most talented team IU football has had in quite some time. With Michigan St. in the first year after a coaching change along with losing quite a bit of production, there is no reason this shouldn't be the year we leap frog them. So I think 4-4 would be solid, but if we truly take a step forward as a program, this is the year we pick off one of the big names. So 5-3 is not unrealistic. 

Of course much will depend on player availability between injuries and positive tests. I've followed IU football long enough to know that 1-7 isn't out of the question. 

[RaceToTheTop]

With covid, teams with depth are going to be on the winning end a lot more often.  I don’t think depth wise we match up with the big boys so that makes it even tougher.

[IUc2016]

Tom Allen said that Marcelino Ball tore his ACL last week in practice. Bummer. Bryant Fitzgerald will move into starting at husky.

On a positive note, over 1200 rapid covid tests the last few weeks and only 1 positive test (non-athlete).