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Analysis: Plenty of blame to go around in most recent debacle


IndyHutch
  • Just when you think you've seen it all with Indiana football, Rutgers happened on Saturday. A 25-point lead just over 20 minutes to play is squandered and another Indiana football season is in jeopardy of heading south. Here is my take on the 55-52 setback.

My first thought following Indiana’s gift-wrapped, come-from-ahead, 55-52 loss to Rutgers at home Saturday was that with Indiana football there have always been a couple of hard and fast truths.

 

1. It’s never easy.
2. No lead is ever safe.
3. Always expect the unexpected.

 

They all came into play Saturday in Bloomington.

 

Indiana had a 25-point lead with 5:25 to play in the third quarter after the Hoosiers opened the half scoring 28 unanswered points and took a 52-27 lead.

 

At most college football programs, it’s game over. Warm up the Rutgers busses, put in some guys that normally don’t get to play and watch the individual statistics soar.

 

But we all know another truth about Indiana football: IU is not most college football programs.

 

Just when you think you’ve seen it all with the Hoosiers, something like this happens. You can blame Kevin Wilson (and many will). You can blame some poor decisions by Nate Sudfeld late in the game (and many will). You can blame a defense that in key situations simply can’t get out of its own way (and many will).

 

You can blame an inopportune bad snap on a punt that resulted in a touchdown. You can blame lack of recognition on a Rutgers fake punt in the first half. You can blame not getting enough consistent pressure on the quarterback throughout the game.

 

There was plenty of blame to go around. But the reality here is that this game should never have had a chance to get to where Rutgers could come back and win. Good teams and good programs just do not allow that to happen. But once again Indiana football proved that when it comes to those two areas IU is 0-for-2.

 

So who deserves the most blame for this debacle?

 

Wilson? If you are one of those people in the camp that the fifth-year head coach needed to find a way to win this season and if not could potentially be shown the door, then you’d have to think a loss like this could provide the straw that broke the camel’s back. No question about it. This was an epic loss. This was one that should have been in the books and yet you let it slip away. Indiana should be 5-2 right now with five games to play and needing just one win to get bowl eligible.

 

Instead, IU will likely have to beat both Maryland and Purdue on the road to get to a bowl game. While a possibility, that’s far from a sure thing.

 

But back to Wilson. I remember thinking back in 2010 after IU got ripped on the road at Wisconsin 83-20 that that one embarrassment was going to be tough for Lynch to overcome. And he was let go after the season. But I really felt that went IU left Madison that day that Lynch was a dead coach walking.

 

If Indiana fails to win six games this year, when people look back at Saturday’s debacle will they think about it in the same way? It’s very possible. The other one was inexcusable for different reasons. This was simply a game that once you got ahead 52-27 you simply could not afford to lose. And when the Hoosiers did … well, draw your own conclusions.

 

After IU took that big lead, Rutgers came back and scored pretty quickly to make it 52-33. But that should still be a lead, with 17 minutes to play in the game that should be safe.

 

The next time IU got the ball I thought the Hoosiers got a little conservative. Mike Majette, running the ball for the first time in a game this season on Saturday, got the call on running plays on both first and second down. One went for minus-1 and the other for no gain. Now, you’re in third and long and you get an 8-yard completion. On the first play of the fourth quarter, after deciding to punt from the Rutgers 46, there was a high snap over the head of Erich Toth and the senior didn’t have his finest moment on the play. He tried to pick it up but instead the ball was knocked away and eventually returned the other way for a touchdown. Now it was 52-39.

 

When IU got the ball back the next time, it looked as the Hoosiers were going to be aggressive again. Ricky Jones caught passes of 13 and 23 yards to get the ball to the Rutgers 40. But then Sudfeld had an incomplete pass, Devine Redding had a 1 yard gain, and on third down Sudfeld threw a pick. On this play, the defender made a nice break on the ball and made an acrobatic grab. Still, Rutgers got the ball back and scored on the next possession to make it 52-46.

 

This is when I thought Sudfeld really made his most questionable throw of the game. On first down at the IU 25, leading by six points with just under 10 minutes to play, Sudfeld threw a pass in the direction of Mitchell Paige deep down the left sideline. But there were three Rutgers defenders in the area and one of them came up with a pick.

 

Rutgers needed five plays to go 63 yards and the game was tied. Indiana blocked another extra point to keep it at 52-all. But it was only delaying the inevitable.

 

Indiana had a three and out and never saw the ball again.

 

Indiana had a ton of superlative performances. Sudfeld had a career-high passing, the Hoosiers may have found another solid running back with the play of Majette, and three IU receivers had more than 100 yards receiving.

 

But none of it matters because of the ‘L’. That’s the only statistic you could take out of this game.

 

And ultimately it could be the only statistic in 2015 that separates Indiana from going to a bowl game.

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Exactly. Critical thinking requires recognizing both the positive and the negatives. To be completely positive, or completely negative is always going to be annoying. We had 30 minutes of decent football Saturday, followed by about 10 minutes of great football, followed by 20 minutes of absolute crap. That meant for about 40 minutes there was something positive going on. Too bad some people never have anything to say until the SHTF moments.

The team was good for part of the day, but the part that was absolute crap was embarrassing even by the already low standards of IU football.  Even for us a 25 point lead against Rutgers should be safe.

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The team was good for part of the day, but the part that was absolute crap was embarrassing even by the already low standards of IU football.  Even for us a 25 point lead against Rutgers should be safe.

Oh, I agree. I already only vaguely remember that great ten minutes of football. The next 20 just cut any enjoyment I got out of it.

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Oh, I agree. I already only vaguely remember that great ten minutes of football. The next 20 just cut any enjoyment I got out of it.

A buttfumble, ala Mark Sanchez, is about the only thing that could make those 20 minutes more embarrassing.

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3 days. Still pissed as hell


I was backing away from the cliff until I had a conversation with a coworker at lunch. :(

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Oh yeah. Griffen had that kickoff that bounced off the pylon and went out of bounds.

 

I was incorrect previously when I said he deserved no blame.

 

Still, I'd rather have him punt it than Toth. Granted, I'd rather have Jordan Howard punt it with a busted ankle than Toth.

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3 days. Still pissed as hell

 

I was backing away from the cliff until I had a conversation with a coworker at lunch. :(

 

Really? I'm surprised to hear fans care this much about our football program, it's a sign we must have really been doing good things to have such lofty expectations. I think the loss brings to light serious problems in the culture of our team, coaching staff, and fans. But, I also don't see us ever properly addressing these problems. CKW will end up OC at PSU and we'll find some other coach to help us be the historically worst team in the FBS. It's all a self-perpetuating cycle where I can't picture anyone involved stepping out and breaking it.

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Oh yeah. Griffen had that kickoff that bounced off the pylon and went out of bounds.

I was incorrect previously when I said he deserved no blame.

Still, I'd rather have him punt it than Toth. Granted, I'd rather have Jordan Howard punt it with a busted ankle than Toth.


I did some quick research after that and couldn't find anywhere that said hitting the pylon is a flag. I couldn't really find anything concrete otherwise but the stuff I read considered the pylon behind the goal line, thus hitting it would mean a touchback and not an illegal kick out of bounds.

Someone feel free to prove me otherwise here.

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I did some quick research after that and couldn't find anywhere that said hitting the pylon is a flag. I couldn't really find anything concrete otherwise but the stuff I read considered the pylon behind the goal line, thus hitting it would mean a touchback and not an illegal kick out of bounds.

Someone feel free to prove me otherwise here.

Since you already did the research, is it still an illegal kick out of bounds if it goes out of the side of the end zone? It should be treated like that. 

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Since you already did the research, is it still an illegal kick out of bounds if it goes out of the side of the end zone? It should be treated like that.


I already knew that one, and it is not illegal for the ball to go out of bounds in the endzone. I'm pretty certain they got that flag wrong.

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The ruling on the field was that the ball hit inbounds just before it hit the pylon. I never saw a good replay of it and Wilson never challenged it. But then again I find myself doubting Wilson too often these days.

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Really? I'm surprised to hear fans care this much about our football program, it's a sign we must have really been doing good things to have such lofty expectations.

 My expectations for this program are not anywhere close to lofty. But your sarcasm is duly noted.

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 My expectations for this program are not anywhere close to lofty. But your sarcasm is duly noted.

No sarcasm at all. Expecting IU football to win Big Ten games and be in a bowl is certainly lofty when compared with our history. We have been to 9 bowls in 120 years and won 6 Big Ten games in CKW's tenure. So, expecting a bowl season when 92.5% of our seasons have not been bowl seasons and expecting a Big Ten win when 81% of our Big Ten games have been losses (or 70% over our entire history) is pretty lofty.

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I already knew that one, and it is not illegal for the ball to go out of bounds in the endzone. I'm pretty certain they got that flag wrong.

Thanks. I thought that was the case, but worried there may be a difference between NFL and CFB and didn't want to look stupid.

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Really? I'm surprised to hear fans care this much about our football program, it's a sign we must have really been doing good things to have such lofty expectations. I think the loss brings to light serious problems in the culture of our team, coaching staff, and fans. But, I also don't see us ever properly addressing these problems. CKW will end up OC at PSU and we'll find some other coach to help us be the historically worst team in the FBS. It's all a self-perpetuating cycle where I can't picture anyone involved stepping out and breaking it.


$$$ talks. Bring in a winner like Bo Pelini and he'll get this program to 7-8 wins a year very quickly. Of course, paying Pelini and his level of assistants is going to come at a cost IU has never paid for football. In the B1G East the cost of even 6-8 wins, with no potential of anything more, is going to be enormous. Otherwise, we will hire a MAC coach and it will be a crapshoot whether we will get any better. And if we do get better, that coaching prospect will leave for a better job in three years. Think CKW as a top coordinator took this job with the intention of being here long-term? He probably planned on getting us to 7-8 wins and coaching in Texas or an SEC school by now.

High school recruits are fickle. Recruiting is all momentum and excitement. This program had a lot of momentum after a 4-0 start and the OSU game. The loss to Rutgers hurts so much because we had a real chance to build positive momentum.

Creating excitement on the recruiting trail is hard in your fifth year as a coach with no more than four wins to show. Five years in we shouldn't have a defense full of under class-men and being fed the same excuse of being inexperienced.

Our recruiting classes are lagging behind even Rutgers and UMD, and pretty much on par with Purdue. We have a poor presence instate and in Ohio, and a pretty poor recruiting strategy of trying to make inroads on a picked over Chicago-area. The recruits are not going to get any better after five years of losing.

If CKW cannot get to six wins and win a bowl game, we have to make a change or risk setting back the program another two years because of poor recruiting.

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$$$ talks. Bring in a winner like Bo Pelini and he'll get this program to 7-8 wins a year very quickly. Of course, paying Pelini and his level of assistants is going to come at a cost IU has never paid for football. In the B1G East the cost of even 6-8 wins, with no potential of anything more, is going to be enormous. Otherwise, we will hire a MAC coach and it will be a crapshoot whether we will get any better. And if we do get better, that coaching prospect will leave for a better job in three years. Think CKW as a top coordinator took this job with the intention of being here long-term? He probably planned on getting us to 7-8 wins and coaching in Texas or an SEC school by now.

High school recruits are fickle. Recruiting is all momentum and excitement. This program had a lot of momentum after a 4-0 start and the OSU game. The loss to Rutgers hurts so much because we had a real chance to build positive momentum.

Creating excitement on the recruiting trail is hard in your fifth year as a coach with no more than four wins to show. Five years in we shouldn't have a defense full of under class-men and being fed the same excuse of being inexperienced.

Our recruiting classes are lagging behind even Rutgers and UMD, and pretty much on par with Purdue. We have a poor presence instate and in Ohio, and a pretty poor recruiting strategy of trying to make inroads on a picked over Chicago-area. The recruits are not going to get any better after five years of losing.

If CKW cannot get to six wins and win a bowl game, we have to make a change or risk setting back the program another two years because of poor recruiting.

I agree with your assessment. But the institutional unwillingness to pay top dollar for a coach is one of the perpetuators of the cycle. This pressure also comes from alums who would whine if we had a football coach make more than a basketball coach because "we aren't good anyway" and "we're a basketball school".

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