College Football Thread

[realTomCrean]

https://x.com/zachosterman/status/1861079249957900518?s=46&t=KBMjZuJJTG50JspPvw-4aA
 

 

[Brass Cannon]

7 minutes ago, realTomCrean said:

https://x.com/zachosterman/status/1861079249957900518?s=46&t=KBMjZuJJTG50JspPvw-4aA
 

 

He’s going to get another new contract this offseason. 

[realTomCrean]

4 minutes ago, Brass Cannon said:

He’s going to get another new contract this offseason. 

Deservedly 

[Brass Cannon]

Just now, realTomCrean said:

Deservedly 

100% 

This is quite possibly the greatest turnaround in college football history.  

[Brass Cannon]

Checking out what’s out there in the ether.  Franklin is 100% done if they lose at Iowa.  

[Pagoda]

Yesterday was a net positive for us, probably mostly driven by the PSU loss.  Our playoff odds went from +132 (43%) going into week six to -115 (53%) today.

Sweet.

[Dave from Dayton]

33 minutes ago, Pagoda said:

Yesterday was a net positive for us, probably mostly driven by the PSU loss.  Our playoff odds went from +132 (43%) going into week six to -115 (53%) today.

Sweet.

I see why our playoff odds went up.  I do not understand why IU would not have better odds.  We did give Illinois their only loss so far and they were ranked #9.  We also beat a tough Iowa team on the road.

Unless the ratings are by ESPN who will rank Miami as #1 and some SEC team with losses ahead of Indiana, IU will move up to displace Penn State with 2 losses.  Ranked a possible #8.

   When IU goes to Oregon on Oct. 11 the Hoosiers could win one of the biggest contests in the country.   Oregon does not play any other top-ranked teams this regular season.  

 This program could, well...just win, team!

[Pagoda]

2 hours ago, Dave from Dayton said:

I see why our playoff odds went up.  I do not understand why IU would not have better odds.  We did give Illinois their only loss so far and they were ranked #9.  We also beat a tough Iowa team on the road.

Not sure, it's probably just because it's early and all the smaller risks over the next seven games sort of add up.  Just a guess.

Here is the the broader conference playoff odds picture right now (Fan Duel):

OSU -3500 / 97%
Oregon -1800 / 95%
IU -115 / 53%
UM +245 / 29%
PSU +470 / 17%
USC +680 / 13%
UW +790 / 11%

Regardless, I really like how the above looks after six weeks of games.  We started the season at 14%.

[Brass Cannon]

We go 10-2 and I think we are in for sure. We beat Oregon and we basically are in as well.  
 

It would be a crazy set of circumstances for their to be large grouping of 10-2 big ten teams. 

[RoadRage]

Until IU wins one of these big games, like against Oregon in Eugene, they will always have their detractors that will push other teams over them in the rankings and the CFP. Honestly, they have a point, our program has come a long way quicker than I ever thought possible, but we still lose these big games against Ohio State, Notre Dame, and possibly Oregon....until that changes making the CFP is going to be an uphill battle.

[Jeff Flabjohns]

17 minutes ago, RoadRage said:

Until IU wins one of these big games, like against Oregon in Eugene, they will always have their detractors that will push other teams over them in the rankings and the CFP. Honestly, they have a point, our program has come a long way quicker than I ever thought possible, but we still lose these big games against Ohio State, Notre Dame, and possibly Oregon....until that changes making the CFP is going to be an uphill battle.

Yup. I said it earlier but if the last spots come down to a 2 loss IU vs. PSU w/ 3 losses but has the head-to-head…it could get hairy. 
 

Keeping it close in Eugene and Happy Valley and winning the rest might no longer be enough. But regardless, can’t do anything if you don’t win the games you’re supposed to. Hopefully it should all work itself out come end of season 

[Brass Cannon]

25 minutes ago, RoadRage said:

Until IU wins one of these big games, like against Oregon in Eugene, they will always have their detractors that will push other teams over them in the rankings and the CFP. Honestly, they have a point, our program has come a long way quicker than I ever thought possible, but we still lose these big games against Ohio State, Notre Dame, and possibly Oregon....until that changes making the CFP is going to be an uphill battle.

You are right and what’s so frustrating is Penn State every year gets the benefit of the doubt despite never winning the big games.  Even when they are at home. When we beat a top 10 team at home they discount opponent instead of giving us credit. 
 

Oregon may very well be our last ranked team of the year.  We gotta at least go toe to toe with them.  
 

That being said I think 10-2 gets us in the CFP but we are probably playing a sec team on the road instead of hosting. 

[Jeff Flabjohns]

I’m overlooking that 3 loss PSU isn’t getting in regardless with that debacle yesterday. We just need to keep it competitive in Happy Valley. They’ve got as much talent as anybody

[Pagoda]

22 minutes ago, Brass Cannon said:

You are right and what’s so frustrating is Penn State every year gets the benefit of the doubt despite never winning the big games.  Even when they are at home. When we beat a top 10 team at home they discount opponent instead of giving us credit. 

Oregon may very well be our last ranked team of the year.  We gotta at least go toe to toe with them.  

That being said I think 10-2 gets us in the CFP but we are probably playing a sec team on the road instead of hosting. 

Yea.  The standard some people apply of we need to beat a #1 or #2 team on the road to “prove” ourselves is indeed annoying and ridiculous.  Almost no teams do this.  Per an AI search a #1 or #2 losing at home has only happened four times since 2010.  

Agree 10-2 is probably enough assuming we are competitive in the losses.  The 53% betting odds suggests that is the case.

Personally, I just want to see us play closer to our potential on the road and trade blows with Oregon.  It’s the next step for us, and it’s really a pretty typical next step for a program looking to level up.

Anyways, at the end of the day this is all good stuff.  

[Hovadipo]

James Franklin blamed travel on his team’s performance yesterday. Makes you wonder how a team like Indiana would handle the long trip out to the Rose Bowl. 

[Brass Cannon]

8 minutes ago, Hovadipo said:

James Franklin blamed travel on his team’s performance yesterday. Makes you wonder how a team like Indiana would handle the long trip out to the Rose Bowl. 

That’s one of his go to excuses. A friend was telling me in the past he had blamed the long ride to the airport 

[TTT]

Penn State will probably lose another game or two.

[Stuhoo]

Based on this post-game picture of their new offensive coordinator being carried off of the field, apparently UCLA does not miss Tino Sunsieri:

[Hovadipo]

Makes you wonder how Kennesaw State would fare against a team like Indiana. 

[Magnanimous]

2 hours ago, Brass Cannon said:

We go 10-2 and I think we are in for sure. We beat Oregon and we basically are in as well.  
 

It would be a crazy set of circumstances for their to be large grouping of 10-2 big ten teams. 

We still need to create a buffer if we’re 10-2. Michigan and Notre Dame are very likely to also be 10-2, and there will be a slew of SEC teams in that range as well. They’ll all have more ranked wins than us because over half the SEC is currently ranked.

Right now our three best friends are USC, Illinois, and Duke. USC has upcoming games against both Michigan and Notre Dame, and Illinois going 10-2 would be huge for us. Duke gets both Georgia Tech and Virginia at home and can really help ensure the ACC only gets one bid (assuming Miami wins the ACC championship game).