Bracketology and Team Resumes

[LIHoosier 26,205]

Taking team C. It seems the adj off/def numbers against the cupcakes bloat team A and B's NET ranking.

[RaceToTheTop 25,835]

IU didn't play today yet moved up four spots in Pom from yesterday.  Now up to 32.

[Uspshoosier 45,686]

IMO, Team C's SOS is a mirage and a product of the messed up system that is used for SOS.  As I've said prior, an NCAA team that plays a team ranked #1 and #360 is ranked as the same toughness as one that plays one team at #180 and one at #181.  But a team that plays the first schedule that is a bubble team is almost certain to go 1-1 while a bubble team playing the second set is most likely to go 2-0.  Team C has played 9 games in Quad 3 -- ones that should result in very rare losses for bubble teams.

Bubble teams almost always will have some Q3 losses and some will have Q 4. All bubble teams are on the bubble for a reason the ones that separate themselves are the ones that show they can wins games against tournament quality teams.
Washington’s quad 3 losses are @ California and at home to UCLA



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[LIHoosier 26,205]

Cal is 153 and UCLA is 149 so the away loss has a chance of becoming a Q2 loss in a few weeks.

[Uspshoosier 45,686]

Utah just got beat by 39 at Colorado. Kentucky’s losses to Utah and Evansville are getting worse by the day

 

 

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[HoosierAloha 30,068]

I think we’re going to see a ton of similar resumes come selection Sunday. I don’t have a feel on who would clearly be worthy of a top 4 seed, the next group, and then the bubble teams.

It seems like the entirety of college basketball could be a 1 seed in one game and miss the tourney in the next. Baffling!


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[woodenshoemanHoosierfan 6,225]

Interesting

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[JerryYeagley23 3,618]

27 minutes ago, woodenshoemanHoosierfan said:

Interesting
 

 

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That’s really interesting. So the conclusion you can draw from that then, is that the polls maybe give a team credit for simply playing more Quad 1 games even if they lose them. So basically strength of schedule. So if IU would have played in Maui or another higher profile early season tourney and gotten beat by KS or KY, say, then we might be ranked at 11-5 instead of our current situation unranked at 13-3?? Some strange logic. 

[RaceToTheTop 25,835]

34 minutes ago, JerryYeagley23 said:

That’s really interesting. So the conclusion you can draw from that then, is that the polls maybe give a team credit for simply playing more Quad 1 games even if they lose them. So basically strength of schedule. So if IU would have played in Maui or another higher profile early season tourney and gotten beat by KS or KY, say, then we might be ranked at 11-5 instead of our current situation unranked at 13-3?? Some strange logic. 

But Ohio State's SOS was 168 in non-con and Indiana's was 190, so not any kind of difference (Pom ratings).  So what explains their ranking?

[Brass Cannon 24,803]

40 minutes ago, JerryYeagley23 said:

That’s really interesting. So the conclusion you can draw from that then, is that the polls maybe give a team credit for simply playing more Quad 1 games even if they lose them. So basically strength of schedule. So if IU would have played in Maui or another higher profile early season tourney and gotten beat by KS or KY, say, then we might be ranked at 11-5 instead of our current situation unranked at 13-3?? Some strange logic. 

Probably more how they have looked in their losses and even wins in our case 

[southsidehoosier 5,027]

http:// https://www.insidethehall.com/2020/01/14/bracketology-ncaa-tournament-projection-as-of-january-14-2020/


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[MoyeNeeded 3,073]

Lunardi has us in Midwest as 8 seed against BYU. Winner to play 1 seed Butler. Would take this all day long.

[woodenshoemanHoosierfan 6,225]

Lunardi has us in Midwest as 8 seed against BYU. Winner to play 1 seed Butler. Would take this all day long.

Decourcy has us an 8 also

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[southsidehoosier 5,027]

 

A 10th seed in Katz projections

 

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[Uspshoosier 45,686]

https://bracketville.wordpress.com/bracketology/
This guy is probably the best in the business. I believe NBCsports hired him last year to do their bracket but for the past 5 years and probably longer he is the best


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[Magnanimous 4,603]

If we make the tournament we’ll be between a 6 and an 11.

[Loaded Chicken Sandwich 8,674]

If we make the tournament we’ll be between a 6 and an 11.

What 6 seed would want to play us if we got the 11 seed?


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[Uspshoosier 45,686]

B1G teams true road wins overall not just B1G games

Sparty 2-1
Maryland 0-4
Ohio St 1-3
Rutgers 1-3
Wisky- 3-2
Michigan 0-4
Iowa 3-2
Purdue 1-4
Illinois 2-3
Penn St 1-3
Minny 0-5
Indiana 0-3
Northwestern 1-4
Nebraska 0-5





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[Uspshoosier 45,686]

Indiana Non conf SOS per NCAA team sheet is ranked 43. For comparison other BIG 10 teams
Minn . 52
Illinois 241
Penn St 315
Michigan 127
Iowa 170

other notables
Baylor 180
Butler 141
Kentucky 186


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[HoosierAloha 30,068]

43 is definitely respectable especially with an absolutely brutal conference schedule.


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