Bracketology and Team Resumes

[Jeff Flabjohns]

2 hours ago, go iu bb said:

IU has won as many basketball titles as anyone else in the B1G in the last 25 years. It's not just IU which in a title drought.

Sure, but plenty of other B1G teams have made E8, FFs and several to the title game itself over that time. 

[Uspshoosier]

With IU having no path left I hope there is total chaos for the rest of champ week.   Miami (oh) losing to Akron in the MAC finals to get 2 bid MAC, MWC and A-10 all get multiple bids.  

[Uspshoosier]

 

[IU Prof]

It's crazy to think that if IU could have just beaten stinking Northwestern twice (and maybe even once!), we'd probably be dancing given the state of the bubble..

[Jeff Flabjohns]

Yeah. Weakest bubble of my lifetime and they still played their way off it

[Hoosierfan1901]

39 minutes ago, Jeff Flabjohns said:

Yeah. Weakest bubble of my lifetime and they still played their way off it

Unfortunately that’s how it’s been since 2000. 

[str8baller]

No bid stealers, rest of the bubble teams lose, Devries cashes in his IOU from last year, Wilkerson buys someone on the committee a cadillac and I think we’re dancing. 

[AKHoosier]

No way Miami (OH) gets in right?

Since they won't get an autobid they now have to stack up against 36 other teams to get an at large. 

Seems like quite an uphill battle with that resume even in an extraordinarily weak bubble year.

[Dave from Dayton]

Cheering for Wright State.  

At least they got in.

 

[LIHoosier]

15 minutes ago, AKHoosier said:

No way Miami (OH) gets in right?

Since they won't get an autobid they now have to stack up against 36 other teams to get an at large. 

Seems like quite an uphill battle with that resume even in an extraordinarily weak bubble year.

WAB (Wins Above Bubble) is the committee's latest metric du jour and Miami Szczerbiak is 33 going into today which in theory makes them pretty safe. IU for comparison is 51 though IU is much better than Miami in NET, KenPom, Torvik, etc.
My personal theory is that its also easier to explain away a team with 13-16 losses being out than 28-1 in D1 games; Bubba last year notwithstanding.

[Uspshoosier]

18 minutes ago, LIHoosier said:

WAB (Wins Above Bubble) is the committee's latest metric du jour and Miami Szczerbiak is 33 going into today which in theory makes them pretty safe

Yeah what to watch is to see where the number ends up tomorrow.  It was 33 with only playing 1 team in the top 60 without any losses to the others teams.  Add a loss to 210 + team and that WAB is going to take a hit.   IU lost 4 spots losing to a team in the 60s NET.   Very interesting to see the update tomorrow morning.   If it’s still under 42 I will feel good they will get in however if that number falls further down closer to IU then they might not get in 

[IU Prof]

1 hour ago, Uspshoosier said:

Yeah what to watch is to see where the number ends up tomorrow.  It was 33 with only playing 1 team in the top 60 without any losses to the others teams.  Add a loss to 210 + team and that WAB is going to take a hit.   IU lost 4 spots losing to a team in the 60s NET.   Very interesting to see the update tomorrow morning.   If it’s still under 42 I will feel good they will get in however if that number falls further down closer to IU then they might not get in 

Do you think there's any plausible shot IU sneaks in at this point?

[Uspshoosier]

1 minute ago, IU Prof said:

Do you think there's any plausible shot IU sneaks in at this point?

I do not but last year i didn’t think West Virginia was even on the bubble and they got left out.  Never know when it’s in the hands of a 12 person committee 

[Uspshoosier]

Nova with a 24-8 record has 1 win against the projected field.  Wisky in OT

what they do have is 7 road wins in conference to teams between 80-102 in the NET and a seton hall road win 53.   

[LIHoosier]

15 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

Yeah what to watch is to see where the number ends up tomorrow.  It was 33 with only playing 1 team in the top 60 without any losses to the others teams.  Add a loss to 210 + team and that WAB is going to take a hit.   IU lost 4 spots losing to a team in the 60s NET.   Very interesting to see the update tomorrow morning.   If it’s still under 42 I will feel good they will get in however if that number falls further down closer to IU then they might not get in 

Miami Ohio only fell to 37 in WAB.

[Uspshoosier]

4 minutes ago, LIHoosier said:

Miami Ohio only fell to 37 in WAB.

I would be confident in saying they will make it then 

[JF87]

12 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

I would be confident in saying they will make it then 

I want Miami (Ohio) in.  My fear is since the NCAA President wants to expand the Tournament, they leave Miami out and claim they would have made it if the Tournament was expanded.  

[Uspshoosier]

 

[LIHoosier]

27 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

 

Curious if VCU and SDSU are already locked in or if they still have to play their way in. If either or both are part of the 36 locks, it adds another spot or two for those stuck in the bubble from hell.

[IUHoosierJoe]

14 hours ago, JF87 said:

I want Miami (Ohio) in.  My fear is since the NCAA President wants to expand the Tournament, they leave Miami out and claim they would have made it if the Tournament was expanded.  

They're #38 in the WAB as of this morning. There are 37 at-large teams, but there will also be 5 to 7 automatic qualifiers ranked above #38 the WAB, so they will need to go down to the mid-40s WAB teams for at-large selections. For as much as they've talked up the WAB metric this year, it would be a pretty bad look to bypass Miami at #38 and go all the way down to the #45 or #46 teams for selection of at-large teams.