Bracketology and Team Resumes

[Uspshoosier]

5 minutes ago, WayneFleekHoosier said:

5-5 in the remaining puts us at 19-12.  Hope that’s good enough.  Might need a win in the B1G at that record. 

Would depend on who the 5 wins are against.  Some of those 5 would have to be tourney teams.  also depends on what committee feels is important this year.  With no marquee non con wins I would think that some of those 5 would need to be the higher end B1G teams.  

[Brass Cannon]

Just now, Uspshoosier said:

Would depend on who the 5 wins are against.  Some of those 5 would have to be tourney teams.  also depends on what committee feels is important this year.  With no marquee non con wins I would think that some of those 5 would need to be the higher end B1G teams.  

Torvik is projecting us as 20-9. You think that gets us in. Or do we need a BTT win to ice it 

[Stuhoo]

Just now, Brass Cannon said:

Torvik is projecting us as 20-9. You think that gets us in. Or do we need a BTT win to ice it 

100% in if we win 20 with a B1G schedule and no bad losses.

No guarantees we’ll get there and I’m not a bracketologist, but that seems like a pretty sure thing.

[Uspshoosier]

21 minutes ago, Brass Cannon said:

Torvik is projecting us as 20-9. You think that gets us in. Or do we need a BTT win to ice it 

Would all depend on who the wins are against.  20-9 doesn’t sound right.  They are 14-7 now 

[Uspshoosier]

20 minutes ago, Stuhoo said:

100% in if we win 20 with a B1G schedule and no bad losses.

I wouldn’t 100 on it because the committee is so unpredictable.  Last year North Carolina finds its way in with 1-11 in Q1 games and left out a team with 20+ wins and 6-11 in Q1 games.  I would think 20 should do it but you never know 

[Brass Cannon]

4 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Would all depend on who the wins are against.  20-9 doesn’t sound right.  They are 14-7 now 

You’re right my bad that would 20-11.

[str8baller]

26 minutes ago, Brass Cannon said:

Torvik is projecting us as 20-9. You think that gets us in. Or do we need a BTT win to ice it 

 

4 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Would all depend on who the wins are against.  20-9 doesn’t sound right.  They are 14-7 now 

Torviks system has been much higher on us than our actual results have been 

[Brass Cannon]

1 minute ago, str8baller said:

 

Torviks system has been much higher on us than our actual results have been 

Everytime i have looked at it it’s been between 9-12 conference games. 

[Uspshoosier]

5 minutes ago, str8baller said:

 

Torviks system has been much higher on us than our actual results have been 

All the predictive metrics are higher on IU.   Results based systems are lower.  Massive results base result tonight should help 

[RaceToTheTop]

IU after Purdue

NET 33

POM 31

Torvik 22

Q1 1-6, Q2 1-1, Q3 5-0, Q4 7-0

Away 2-4, Nuetral 1-1

[Shooter]

10-10 in conference seems like it'd probably be enough. 11-9 nearly a lock.

Home games vs Oregon, Northwestern, and Minnesota need to be Ws. The path outside of those:

- Get one on LA road trip this weekend.

- Beat Wisconsin at home.

That would make 10. And then in the final week of season you'd still have Michigan St at home, and Ohio St away as chances to wrap it up.

[HoosierHoopster]

23 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

I wouldn’t 100 on it because the committee is so unpredictable.  Last year North Carolina finds its way in with 1-11 in Q1 games and left out a team with 20+ wins and 6-11 in Q1 games.  I would think 20 should do it but you never know 

Helped NC had a guy on committee? I’m not a conspiracy guy but NC had no business being in last year, that was a complete hose job and a crock

[HoosierHoopster]

8 hours ago, Shooter said:

10-10 in conference seems like it'd probably be enough. 11-9 nearly a lock.

Home games vs Oregon, Northwestern, and Minnesota need to be Ws. The path outside of those:

- Get one on LA road trip this weekend.

- Beat Wisconsin at home.

That would make 10. And then in the final week of season you'd still have Michigan St at home, and Ohio St away as chances to wrap it up.

That’s a good path imo. But also imo seems like the most predictable one doesn’t happen, they lose 1 they should win and win one they probably shouldn’t….

[HoosierHoopster]

9 hours ago, RaceToTheTop said:

IU after Purdue

NET 33

POM 31

Torvik 22

Q1 1-6, Q2 1-1, Q3 5-0, Q4 7-0

Away 2-4, Nuetral 1-1

That looks like a tournament team to me (I’m no expert just my opinion). Better is 2-0 Q2 but still. 

[Uspshoosier]

20 minutes ago, HoosierHoopster said:

Helped NC had a guy on committee?

Yeah their AD was committee chair. lol 

[Class of '66 Old Fart]

FWIW from Delphi Bracketology

Indiana is in our last 4 in but need some more work to stay in the bracket.

IN

1. Indiana
2. New Mexico
3. Virginia Tech
4. Miami Fla

First 4 Out

1. Texas
2. Missouri
3. Stanford
4. Seton Hall

[Pagoda]

FWIW per the betting markets right now IU is -290 to make it and +215 to miss.

I’m not going to try to adjust for the juice, but this implies we have about a 75% chance to make it right now.

A long way to go, but those aren’t the worst odds at the moment.

[str8baller]

2 hours ago, Pagoda said:

FWIW per the betting markets right now IU is -290 to make it and +215 to miss.

I’m not going to try to adjust for the juice, but this implies we have about a 75% chance to make it right now.

A long way to go, but those aren’t the worst odds at the moment.

I hate to be a hater but I’d put us closer to a coin flip. Pretty good odds on the “don’t make it” side. 

[Pagoda]

5 minutes ago, str8baller said:

I hate to be a hater but I’d put us closer to a coin flip. Pretty good odds on the “don’t make it” side. 

My unscientific read on the fanbase is most would have a more negative view on our tourney odds than the actual current odds.  I was a little surprised on the optimism in the betting markets, though it was nice to see.

Tbd…

[Stuhoo]

FWIW, Lunardi (i know, i know) has us as the 11th B1G team in, and the 68th (last team) to get in the field currently.

That's about as straight-up coin flippy as it gets.