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Uspshoosier

Bracketology and Team Resumes

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4 minutes ago, hoopsta007 said:

Would a loss at Purdue but a win against Mich/MSU in the B1G tournament be enough to get in?

Possibly but IU would be close enough to the cut line that they would have to worry about bid stealers and put it in the committees hands.    IU would be sweating it on Sunday.  

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32 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

IU decided to take the hard route for the split.   Bold strategy 

Since they took the hard route smart on their part to lose at home to Rutgers to give Rutgers a road win boost to move them up in NET to make them a Q2 loss.   I see what your doing IU.  Lol 

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In seriousness in a never ending crappy situation for IU around this time of year 

beat Purdue on Saturday and that gives you a sweep of a top 3 seed which is probably enough to get you in 

lose that and first game in tourney and your NIT bound 

lose that and win 1 and your going to be around the first 4 area and at the mercy of the committee and bid stealers 

lose that and win 2 or more and your in 

win the B1G tourney (lol) and your in 

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13 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Since they took the hard route smart on their part to lose at home to Rutgers to give Rutgers a road win boost to move them up in NET to make them a Q2 loss.   I see what your doing IU.  Lol 

That's where it is! Big 1.o should start liking us for allowing Rutger to get that road win!

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14 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

In seriousness in a never ending crappy situation for IU around this time of year 

beat Purdue on Saturday and that gives you a sweep of a top 3 seed which is probably enough to get you in 

lose that and first game in tourney and your NIT bound 

lose that and win 1 and your going to be around the first 4 area and at the mercy of the committee and bid stealers 

lose that and win 2 or more and your in 

win the B1G tourney (lol) and your in 

Unfortunately the highest probability scenario is #2. Second highest probability is #3. So, extremely high probability that we fall somewhere between sweating it out and just out. 

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Cherry on top of the pile of doo doo we left on the floor last night....ND falls to a Q2 win. St. John's only moves up 1 spot still barely hanging on to being a Q2 win, and Rutgers moved up to the very last spot to be a Q2 loss. So it's not crazy that Rutgers could sneak into the field but drop a spot or 2 giving is a quad 3 loss on our way down the crapper. It's just the way it is for this program. 

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8 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Culture 

I count 6 games on that list that we had no business losing after the 2nd half under-4 timeout. How different would this season be if we had even one player that had the wisdom of winning a single meaningful game beyond 12th grade?

 

 

 

 

 

We're gonna beat Purdue again though. Happy to discuss in another thread!

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15 minutes ago, IU_FanClub said:

Image

Fwiw we still have something to play for. Gonna be tough to get there but I would say we're a lock with a win on Saturday. Also just based on what he says here does a Memphis loss tonight move us back in?

The last four in are always in danger of getting knocked off by auto bid upsets.

BTW.....Loyola is one to watch.  The conference is currently listed as a two bid league because Loyola didn't win the conference tournament.  But I think if they win their conference tournament, no one else is close to being an at large;  if they lose the conference tournament, likely Loyola doesn't get an at large.  Think there is a bid loss there.

Anyway, have to win games.  Only thing you can control to move up.

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13 minutes ago, brumdog45 said:

The last four in are always in danger of getting knocked off by auto bid upsets.

BTW.....Loyola is one to watch.  The conference is currently listed as a two bid league because Loyola didn't win the conference tournament.  But I think if they win their conference tournament, no one else is close to being an at large;  if they lose the conference tournament, likely Loyola doesn't get an at large.  Think there is a bid loss there.

Anyway, have to win games.  Only thing you can control to move up.

Just nice to see that even though we all acted like the world was ending last night and into this morning (rightfully so at this point)  that we at least still have something to cheer for and at least have a chance to make something happen even if it is unlikely we win at Purdue on Saturday

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My numbers after yesterday's game (similar method to KPI):
 

1 seeds:  Baylor +9.07,   Auburn +8.51, Wisconsin +8.12, Kansas +8.01

2 seeds:  Arizona +7.55, Providence +6.86, Duke +6.54, Purdue +6.4

3 seeds: Kentucky +6.27, Tennessee +6.05, Villanova +6.02, Texas Tech +6

4 seeds: Gonzaga +5.62, Arkansas +5.1, Houston +4.92, USC +4.76

5 seeds:  UCLA +4.7, Colorado St +4.66, Illinois +4.53,  St. Mary's +4.51

6 seeds: Alabama +3.79, Texas +3.79, Boise St +3.75, UConn +3.12

7 seeds: Davidson +3.05, Michigan St +3.02, UNC +2.98, Murray St +2.96

8 seeds: TCU +2.9, Ohio St +2.78, LSU +2.67, Iowa St +2.64

9 seeds: Creighton +2.5, Wyoming +2.48, Iowa +2.32, San Diego St +2.31

10 seeds: Seton Hall +2.26, VCU +2.14, North Texas +2.12, San Fran +1.99

11 seeds: Miami (F) +1.92, Wake Forest +1.74, Notre Dame +1.73, South Dakota St +1.45

12 seeds: Marquette +1.33, SMU +1.31, BYU +1.24, Loyola  +1.15, Michigan +1.08, Belmont +0.55

First 12 out:  St. Bonaventure +0.37, Xavier +0.3, Florida +0.22, South Carolina +0.18, Memphis +0.15, Oklahoma -0.11, Rutgers -0.23, Texas A&M -0.24, Indiana -0.27, Colorado -0.29, Oregon -0.34, UAB -0.77

 

 

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