Bracketology and Team Resumes

[vemmeistars 202]

I’m guessing these are the somewhat potential bid stealers for IU:

ACC Virginia and Virginia Tech

B12 Oklahoma

American: SMU

Atlantic 10 VCU and Dayton

Pac 12: Colorado could get by an injured Arizona and get lucky in title game

BIG: None imo

bIg east: none

maybe a non north Texas winner in cusa

 

Edited March 11, 2022 by vemmeistars

[Uspshoosier 45,684]

10 minutes ago, vemmeistars said:

I’m guessing these are the somewhat potential bid stealers for IU:

ACC Virginia and Virginia Tech

B12 Oklahoma

American: SMU

Atlantic 10 VCU and Dayton

Pac 12: Colorado could get by an injured Arizona and get lucky in title game

BIG: None imo

bIg east: none

maybe a non north Texas winner in cusa

 

a couple more 

MWC- Utah St, Fresno St

A-10- any team not named Davidson 

Pac 12- Washington st 

 

[vemmeistars 202]

So best outcomes to these are:

acc: unc winning 2 in a row

b12: Texas tech winning vs ou

american: smu losing before conference final

atlantic 10: luck probably 2 bid league

pac 12: usc or UCLA win out

mwc: chalk (think one of they’re 4 bids will win it

[HoosierHoops1 5,024]

11 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

Definitely.  I said it many times people probably get sick of hearing it but that year set the program back because a program that has struggled finally had a position to change that perception and it gets taking away.    That was a big blow for fans as well. 

That's the thing, everyone wants to call it a missed (failed) tournament year for IU, but it never seems to get counted as a missed year for other teams. 

[Stuhoo 80,846]

Stick a fork in Virginia. They are getting annihilated by UNC.

Who woulda thought Gallo would have more success and potential than Armaan Franklin.

[HoosierHoops1 5,024]

8 hours ago, HoosierHoopster said:

^^ I think this W is enough to get us in -- and I do think it should -- but a W tomorrow would seal the deal -- let's go!

A W tomorrow would likely take us out of the play in games.

[Stuhoo 80,846]

I guess Iowa State projects as in, but they’re not doing themselves any favors tonight 

 

[Uspshoosier 45,684]

8 minutes ago, HoosierHoops1 said:

That's the thing, everyone wants to call it a missed (failed) tournament year for IU, but it never seems to get counted as a missed year for other teams. 

Dayton had a once in a lifetime team that was going to be a 2 seed at worst.  Penn st was going to break a huge drought and Stevens was going to break the all time scoring record until everything shut down. Just brutal all around.  I felt so bad for everyone involved.  

[Uspshoosier 45,684]

1 hour ago, Stuhoo said:

I guess Iowa State projects as in, but they’re not doing themselves any favors tonight 

 

They are in unless the committee switched to the  LCS then in that case they would be out 

[Uspshoosier 45,684]

Penn st up 4 with 3 min to go 

[Uspshoosier 45,684]

Vandy up 3 on Bama with 2:12 to go 

[Stuhoo 80,846]

Colo St holds on

[RaceToTheTop 25,824]

2 hours ago, vemmeistars said:

I’m guessing these are the somewhat potential bid stealers for IU:

ACC Virginia and Virginia Tech

B12 Oklahoma

American: SMU

Atlantic 10 VCU and Dayton

Pac 12: Colorado could get by an injured Arizona and get lucky in title game

BIG: None imo

bIg east: none

maybe a non north Texas winner in cusa

 

At this point North Texas getting an at large IMO would be far fetched.  They've only played 2 quad 1 games all year and won one.  They've got more quad three losses than quad one wins.  Any loss they have from here out in their conference tournament would be quad 2 or quad 3 -- unless UAB moved up from 53 to top 50.  That one quad one win sticks out like a sore thumb, though....and it was UAB on the road (who they lost to at home).

[vemmeistars 202]

They have a strong net/ken Pom (low 40s), 6 q1/q2 wins,  only 2 q3 losses, and top 100 schedule/decent non conference schedule. I would hope iu get judged ahead of them but they are a risk of being a surprise at large. Would rather they just win cusa tournament, so it’s a moot point.

[RaceToTheTop 25,824]

So basically the Michigan win only nets us a quad 2 win, right?  Notre Dame should drop below 50 after their VaTech loss, so that's a quad 1 moving to quad 2.  The quad 1 gets replaced by today's win over Michigan.

Will be interesting to see where we end up on NET tomorrow  I think we may move ahead of:

-- Marquette;  they were at 37 but lost by 11 to Creighton

-- long shot at passing Michigan State....they were at 38 but we likely put up better efficiency numbers today

-- Iowa State who will take a big efficiency hit (they were at 39)

-- Xavier (idol, were at 40)

Won't move past North Texas or Oklahoma;  Oklahoma with a quad 1 and North Texas with good efficiency

Possible we get passed by TCU, who was at 46 and beat Texas by 12.

My prediction:  we are at 40.

 

[RaceToTheTop 25,824]

6 minutes ago, vemmeistars said:

They have a strong net/ken Pom (low 40s), 6 q1/q2 wins,  only 2 q3 losses, and top 100 schedule/decent non conference schedule. I would hope iu get judged ahead of them but they are a risk of being a surprise at large. Would rather they just win cusa tournament, so it’s a moot point.

It is worth noting that their non-conference schedule only consisted of 8 games since the NCAA won't really 'count' their two wins against division 2 teams.  Ultimately, I think a team with their type of schedule has to have a Murray State like record to make it.  If they were to lose in their conference title, I don't see them getting in with 6 losses.

[Southside 1,914]

8 minutes ago, brumdog45 said:

So basically the Michigan win only nets us a quad 2 win, right?  Notre Dame should drop below 50 after their VaTech loss, so that's a quad 1 moving to quad 2.  The quad 1 gets replaced by today's win over Michigan.

Will be interesting to see where we end up on NET tomorrow  I think we may move ahead of:

-- Marquette;  they were at 37 but lost by 11 to Creighton

-- long shot at passing Michigan State....they were at 38 but we likely put up better efficiency numbers today

-- Iowa State who will take a big efficiency hit (they were at 39)

-- Xavier (idol, were at 40)

Won't move past North Texas or Oklahoma;  Oklahoma with a quad 1 and North Texas with good efficiency

Possible we get passed by TCU, who was at 46 and beat Texas by 12.

My prediction:  we are at 40.

 

Michigan would have to drop 20ish spots. Not sure they drop that much.

ND definitely drops out of the top 50

I agree, 40ish is a good guess. 

[RaceToTheTop 25,824]

5 minutes ago, Southside said:

Michigan would have to drop 20ish spots. Not sure they drop that much.

ND definitely drops out of the top 50

I agree, 40ish is a good guess. 

I wasn't saying that Michigan was going to drop 20 spots -- what I was saying was that we added a quad 2 win to the resume today because the Notre Dame one will move to quad 2.

Prior to today:  We had a quad 1 win against Notre Dame.

After today:  we have a quad 1 win against Michigan and a quad 2 win against  Notre Dame.

So since the Notre Dame one dropped, it was basically adding on a quad 2 win.

[Five Prime 1,093]

Moved up to 41 in NET.  

[RaceToTheTop 25,824]

26 minutes ago, Five Prime said:

Moved up to 41 in NET.  

I was really hoping we would pass Xavier, but they are at 40.

If you want a laugh, check out Jerry Palm's bracketology.  He finally moved up IU to the first four out.....as the fourth team out.  Three spots below Florida.