2017-2018 Basketball Schedule

[VO5]

16 minutes ago, LIHoosier said:

So hell week is Duke, at Michigan, Iowa, at Clear Heels from Nov 29 - Dec 9

Yup. Brutal stretch of games besides Iowa. 

We get a few cupcakes and then another rough stretch of games with @Wisconsin, @Minnesota, Penn State,Northwestern, @Michigan State, and Maryland. Definitely a rough beginning to BIG. The good news is the back half of our schedule is a little more light and hopefully we get more rest that way before heading into the tourney.

Is it basketball season yet??

[hoosierpap]

3 minutes ago, VO5 said:

Yup. Brutal stretch of games besides Iowa. 

We get a few cupcakes and then another rough stretch of games with @Wisconsin, @Minnesota, Penn State,Northwestern, @Michigan State, and Maryland. Definitely a rough beginning to BIG. The good news is the back half of our schedule is a little more light and hopefully we get more rest that way before heading into the tourney.

Is it basketball season yet??

Not saying these games are not difficult, but I do think we can do a bit of a reset on teams like wisky, @ PSU, etc where we just knew IU was going to struggle with FCTC

[goonaha]

Did a quick spread sheet to do gut predictions. Have us going 22-8. Losses are against Seton Hall, Duke, Michigan, Louisville, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan State (x2). Probably optimistic but I don't think it's a hugely unreasonable record. 

[VO5]

9 minutes ago, hoosierpap said:

Not saying these games are not difficult, but I do think we can do a bit of a reset on teams like wisky, @ PSU, etc where we just knew IU was going to struggle with FCTC

Really good point. But a team like Northwestern isn't someone to overlook anymore. They'll be solid this year. I think a team like Maryland is on par with us too. Minnesota will be good. 

Not saying we won't win those games, just saying they'll be tough. Also, the Kohl center officiating is always interesting to say the least. I'm never confident going there.

[hoosierpap]

Just now, VO5 said:

Really good point. But a team like Northwestern isn't someone to overlook anymore. They'll be solid this year. I think a team like Maryland is on par with us too. Minnesota will be good. 

Not saying we won't win those games, just saying they'll be tough. Also, the Kohl center officiating is always interesting to say the least. I'm never confident going there.

Very true on all accounts. One nightmare you just brought to mind was that Nigel Hayes game. He shot like 20+ foul shots to IU's 18.

[VO5]

Just now, hoosierpap said:

Very true on all accounts. One nightmare you just brought to mind was that Nigel Hayes game. He shot like 20+ foul shots to IU's 18.

Not to get off topic, but that game was the closest I've ever come to throwing a remote through the TV.

[WayneFleekHoosier]

You know one thing that'll be nice about this season.

No #tankseason

I hated that half of me was rooting for losses last season. It sucked all the joy out of winning.


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[Hoosier Guy]

I like 30 games. I hated the concept of 31 games. It didn't even out. I like that about the schedule. Very winnable first two B1G games against Michigan and Iowa. I say IU goes 3-2 in that stretch with an outside shot at 4-1

[OliviaPope40]

At Michigan isn't going to be easy who knows what will happen in Clear Hills. Minnesota in the barn won't be easy either.

[Uspshoosier]

Per last year's KenPom, IU will face three top 50 non-con teams, one ranked 50-100, four ranked 100-200, three ranked 200-300, one sub-300


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[FortWayneHoosier]

3 hours ago, WayneFleekHoosier said:

Love the IPFW game!! IPFW is playing IU and U.K. Both on the road. Great for them.


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Better get some revenge from last year, I had to be escorted out of the bar because of that game 

[Hoosier Guy]

14 minutes ago, FortWayneHoosier said:

Better get some revenge from last year, I had to be escorted out of the bar because of that game 

That game drove me to drink hard that night. It was disgraceful. I guarantee that IU will get revenge this season

[Hoosier Guy]

These new reaction options are funny

[Hoosier Guy]

Thanks, haha, confused and sad. Wow that's something

[Feathery]

On 8/16/2017 at 4:09 PM, goonaha said:

Did a quick spread sheet to do gut predictions. Have us going 22-8. Losses are against Seton Hall, Duke, Michigan, Louisville, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan State (x2). Probably optimistic but I don't think it's a hugely unreasonable record. 

I had us at 22 wins as well. Some different losses though. 

[WayneFleekHoosier]

I'm thinking 18-12 or 19-11.  

[Stuhoo]

33 minutes ago, WayneFleekHoosier said:

I'm thinking 18-12 or 19-11.  

Either of which would put us in the tourney.

 

 

[VO5]

33 minutes ago, Stuhoo said:

Either of which would put us in the tourney.

 

 

Yup. Thanks to (finally!) a grueling OOC schedule. 

[HoosierAloha]

Speaking of a better schedule...

FCTC spoke a lot of wanting to get opponents on the schedule but unable to work it out.  The SOS has been a topic of debate under FCTC for awhile.  Typically, I make an initial judgement on a specific subject but to really take a side I need research (numbers, analysis).  When individual opponents were being released I thought our schedule would be better than it has for awhile.  After running the numbers, on paper from opponent's previous years KenPom/RPI, we have a better schedule than any single year under FCTC.

The numbers (averages): 

• (2017-2018)  KenPom - 158, RPI - 164
• (2016-2017)  KenPom - 202, RPI - 185
• (2015-2016)  KenPom - 171, RPI - 179
• (2014-2015)  KenPom - 195, RPI - 248
• (2013-2014)  KenPom - 167, RPI - 168
• (2012-2013)  KenPom - 189, RPI - 200
• (2011-2012)  KenPom - 202, RPI - 190

I feel pretty confident that our noncon SOS will only get better with time under CAM too. 

 

[LIHoosier]

8 hours ago, HoosierAloha said:

Speaking of a better schedule...

FCTC spoke a lot of wanting to get opponents on the schedule but unable to work it out.  The SOS has been a topic of debate under FCTC for awhile.  Typically, I make an initial judgement on a specific subject but to really take a side I need research (numbers, analysis).  When individual opponents were being released I thought our schedule would be better than it has for awhile.  After running the numbers, on paper from opponent's previous years KenPom/RPI, we have a better schedule than any single year under FCTC.

The numbers (averages): 

• (2017-2018)  KenPom - 158, RPI - 164
• (2016-2017)  KenPom - 202, RPI - 185
• (2015-2016)  KenPom - 171, RPI - 179
• (2014-2015)  KenPom - 195, RPI - 248
• (2013-2014)  KenPom - 167, RPI - 168
• (2012-2013)  KenPom - 189, RPI - 200
• (2011-2012)  KenPom - 202, RPI - 190

I feel pretty confident that our noncon SOS will only get better with time under CAM too. 

 

When I get a chance, I'll try to look up the medians of each year. The averages look for a couple years look really close, but the issue was the amount of glut. For instance, last year the marquee games pushed the averages down of the super cupcakes. Our RPI/KP list probably looked like this: 2,6,9,18,150,250,275,280,290,300,310,320,330.