str8baller Posted Monday at 06:36 PM Posted Monday at 06:36 PM 19 wins and similar metrics is what we had last year and got left out, but every year is different. We have the worst Q1 record among bubble teams. OSU is second worst at 2-10 but their Q2 record is better. Win out and put an extra win in the BTT on top of it and I’d feel pretty good about sneaking in. I hate that Purdue is our only real good win. I’ll begrudgingly be rooting for them from here on out, I guess. Quote
Stuhoo Posted Monday at 06:51 PM Posted Monday at 06:51 PM 12 minutes ago, str8baller said: 19 wins and similar metrics is what we had last year and got left out, but every year is different. We have the worst Q1 record among bubble teams. OSU is second worst at 2-10 but their Q2 record is better. Win out and put an extra win in the BTT on top of it and I’d feel pretty good about sneaking in. I hate that Purdue is our only real good win. I’ll begrudgingly be rooting for them from here on out, I guess. Generally agree, but... Wisconsin is also a darn good win; by selection Sunday may be about the same as Puredoo. Win out and put a BTT tourney win with it and that's 20 wins and IMO 100% in and likely not last four in. Under any and all circumstances DO NOT root for Puredoo! IU needs to win some games. If we do the rest will take care of itsself. Quote
str8baller Posted Monday at 07:04 PM Posted Monday at 07:04 PM 4 minutes ago, Stuhoo said: Wisconsin is also a darn good win; by selection Sunday may be about the same as Puredoo. I don’t follow NET enough to understand it very well, but currently Purdue is 9th and Wisconsin is 32nd. A similar gap exists on Kenpom even though my “eye test” would have them much closer together. Ideally Wisconsin would climb to 30 and give us another Q1 win and we beat OSU adding another one. We would improve from 2-11 to 4-11 in Q1 games in that scenario. Hopefully that would be enough. Quote
Stuhoo Posted Monday at 07:11 PM Posted Monday at 07:11 PM 6 minutes ago, str8baller said: I don’t follow NET enough to understand it very well, but currently Purdue is 9th and Wisconsin is 32nd. A similar gap exists on Kenpom even though my “eye test” would have them much closer together. Ideally Wisconsin would climb to 30 and give us another Q1 win and we beat OSU adding another one. We would improve from 2-11 to 4-11 in Q1 games in that scenario. Hopefully that would be enough. After Puredoo loses to both Northwestern and then at home to Wisconsin that will change quite a bit. ;) Quote
Uspshoosier Posted Monday at 07:11 PM Author Posted Monday at 07:11 PM 31 minutes ago, str8baller said: 19 wins and similar metrics is what we had last year and got left out, but every year is different. We have the worst Q1 record among bubble teams. OSU is second worst at 2-10 but their Q2 record is better. IU has 2Q1a wins which a lot of bubble teams don’t have any Q1a. That would matter during the scrubbing process. Ius predictives are better this year. WAB kept them out last year and WAB will keep them out again if they can’t get it to around 42. Quote
Uspshoosier Posted Monday at 07:13 PM Author Posted Monday at 07:13 PM 1 minute ago, Stuhoo said: After Puredoo loses to both Northwestern and then at home to Wisconsin that will change quite a bit. ;) Purdue could lose both those games and their NET won’t drop them anywhere near 30. They have done enough all year and built their metrics up enough where if they slide it’s only going to be to 15 at worst Quote
hoopsta007 Posted Monday at 07:16 PM Posted Monday at 07:16 PM Got to think the win @ UCLA may turn out to be a big one. From what I’m seeing we may match up against UCLA again in our 2nd game in the BTT and if we win that and both of us are still bubble teams I think that would bode well for us. Assuming we don’t drop the Minnesota game Wednesday Quote
Jeff Flabjohns Posted Monday at 07:31 PM Posted Monday at 07:31 PM Depends what else happens but I’m guessing they’d be in Dayton with 20 wins. 21 would squeeze em out of the First Four Dave from Dayton 1 Quote
Class of '66 Old Fart Posted Monday at 07:37 PM Posted Monday at 07:37 PM ALASKA HOOSIER, WayneFleekHoosier, OliviaPope40 and 2 others 5 Quote
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