NIT Bubble Watch

[Class of '66 Old Fart]

6 hours ago, Hovadipo said:

Playing in front of Romeo’s family would be good for us imo. 

That idea never crossed my mind.

[ElectricBoogaloo]

3 hours ago, Crimson and Cream said:

I'd prefer this season to be over with tbh. I have little faith that this team can beat a higher ranked team away from the Hall, and I know that I would force myself to watch it regardless and just add to the frustration of that Rutgers loss.

Yeah... I’m mentally finished with this season. Time to close the book on year one of the Archie Era. 

[Hovadipo]

2 minutes ago, Class of '66 Old Fart said:

That idea never crossed my mind.

Just poking a little fun at the insanity that is the Romeo thread. 

[Whojainjawja]

Shouldn't the decision be left up to the team? It doesn't appear a decision will be needed at this point.

 

[LamarCheeks]

Middle Tennessee's in a bit of trouble in the C-USA -- if anybody's still charting such things. That's been a one-bid league recently and most likely will be again. There's plenty of time left, but if they lose, they would take another NIT slot away. 

[Uspshoosier]

Middle Tennessee's in a bit of trouble in the C-USA -- if anybody's still charting such things. That's been a one-bid league recently and most likely will be again. There's plenty of time left, but if they lose, they would take another NIT slot away. 

If they lose this they would still have a chance at an at-large bid. I would have to look closer at their team sheet but they would definitely be in the discussion for an at large


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[Uspshoosier]

If they lose this they would still have a chance at an at-large bid. I would have to look closer at their team sheet but they would definitely be in the discussion for an at large


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https://watchstadium.com/live/c-usa-mens-quarterfinal-game-5/


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[TheWatShot]

35 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

If they lose this they would still have a chance at an at-large bid. I would have to look closer at their team sheet but they would definitely be in the discussion for an at large


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I doubt they get an at-large bid. That was a bad team they just lost to.

[HinnyHoosier]

Lunardi is keeping them in, fwiw.


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[Uspshoosier]

I doubt they get an at-large bid. That was a bad team they just lost to.

most teams on the bubble will have lost to bad teams but they lost to Marshall in the last game of the season. If they would of won that one I believe they could of lost this one and still be in. I will have some scrubbing to do tonight after all the games are done to see where they stack up in the S-curve


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[TheWatShot]

UPDATE: #1 New Mexico State 97, Chicago State 70. Not much to see here. New Mexico State moves on to the WAC semifinals.

However...

Southern Miss 71, #1 Middle Tennessee 68, OT. Someone must have told Southern Miss they were playing IU's pack-line defense, as they hit 13 of 25 from three and pulled the upset. As NYC buckets has mentioned, this is an interesting case. Old Dominion is the #2 seed in C-USA. They were projected as an NIT at-large. Lunardi still has MTSU in the NCAA as an at-large, but we'll see what happens there. If MTSU is left out, they are now a lock for the NIT. But fear not! If Old Dominion wins the C-USA tourney, they go to the NCAA tournament, and MTSU likely just trades places with them. So, a new and interesting wrinkle in our unprecedented early-March journey: we are now rooting for a TWO seed, instead of a one! NIT madness, baby!

[Uspshoosier]

UPDATE: #1 New Mexico State 97, Chicago State 70. Not much to see here. New Mexico State moves on to the WAC semifinals.
However...
Southern Miss 71, #1 Middle Tennessee 68, OT. Someone must have told Southern Miss they were playing IU's pack-line defense, as they hit 13 of 25 from three and pulled the upset. As NYC buckets has mentioned, this is an interesting case. Old Dominion is the #2 seed in C-USA. They were projected as an NIT at-large. Lunardi still has MTSU in the NCAA as an at-large, but we'll see what happens there. If MTSU is left out, they are now a lock for the NIT. But fear not! If Old Dominion wins the C-USA tourney, they go to the NCAA tournament, and MTSU likely just trades places with them. So, a new and interesting wrinkle in our unprecedented early-March journey: we are now rooting for a TWO seed, instead of a one! NIT madness, baby!

Western Kentucky can win it as well because they would make the NIT if they don’t win their tournament


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[TheWatShot]

5 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Western Kentucky can win it as well because they would make the NIT if they don’t win their tournament


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Sweet! Fallback options are always nice.

[TheWatShot]

Templon said earlier this week he was checking to see if the SWAC still got an auto-bid with Grambling State being ineligible and Arkansas Pine-Bluff getting moved up to their spot. I wish he would follow up on this. It's been keeping me up the last few nights wondering if I need to worry about Pine-Bluff overcoming their inferior Kenpom ranking and knocking off the lower seed in the final of that tourney, assuming they win tomorrow, of course. The SWAC is full of bumps in the road. There are no easy games in that league.

[TheWatShot]

Here is your Path to the NIT guide for Friday, March 9th:

 

Sun Belt quarterfinal: #1 Louisiana vs. #9 Texas State, 12:30 p.m.

SWAC semifinal: #1 Arkansas Pine-Bluff vs. #4 Southern U., 3:30 p.m.

MEAC semifinal: #1 Hampton vs. #4 North Carolina A&T, 6:00 p.m.

Southland semifinal: #1 Southeast Louisiana vs. #4 Sam Houston State, 6:00 p.m.

MAC semifinal: #1 Buffalo vs. #5 Kent State, 6:30 p.m.

Big Sky semifinal: #1 Montana vs. #5 Northern Colorado, 8:35 p.m.

Mountain West semifinal: #1 Nevada vs. #5 San Diego State, 9:00 p.m.

Big West semifinal: #1 UC-Davis vs. #4 Cal State Fullerton, TBA.

WAC semfinal: #1 New Mexico State vs. #4 Seattle/#5 UT-Rio Grande Valley, TBA.

 

Conference USA semifinal: #2 Old Dominion vs. #3 Western Kentucky. Just need these teams to not kill each other so one of them can win the final game.

 

This is a LOT of games that need to go a particular way, and as much fun as I've had with this, I'm sure the ides of March will not allow all of the outcomes to benefit us. But was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Was it over when we trailed Duke by 17 in the hellhole of college basketball and had a fraction of their NBA players? Was the Big Ten race over when Purdue was 12-0?

 

Keep the faith, NIT hopefuls.

[TheWatShot]

UPDATE: #1 Louisiana 80, Texas State 54. Uneventful start to the day. Uneventful is good. The dreaded SWAC and its maybe-not-really-#1 team is up next.

[Uspshoosier]

UPDATE: #1 Louisiana 80, Texas State 54. Uneventful start to the day. Uneventful is good. The dreaded SWAC and its maybe-not-really-#1 team is up next.

If Louisiana plays UT-Arlington next round I think Arlington will win. They have some good players


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[ebridges24]

16 hours ago, TheWatShot said:

Here is your Path to the NIT guide for Friday, March 9th:

 

Sun Belt quarterfinal: #1 Louisiana vs. #9 Texas State, 12:30 p.m.

SWAC semifinal: #1 Arkansas Pine-Bluff vs. #4 Southern U., 3:30 p.m.

MEAC semifinal: #1 Hampton vs. #4 North Carolina A&T, 6:00 p.m.

Southland semifinal: #1 Southeast Louisiana vs. #4 Sam Houston State, 6:00 p.m.

MAC semifinal: #1 Buffalo vs. #5 Kent State, 6:30 p.m.

Big Sky semifinal: #1 Montana vs. #5 Northern Colorado, 8:35 p.m.

Mountain West semifinal: #1 Nevada vs. #5 San Diego State, 9:00 p.m.

Big West semifinal: #1 UC-Davis vs. #4 Cal State Fullerton, TBA.

WAC semfinal: #1 New Mexico State vs. #4 Seattle/#5 UT-Rio Grande Valley, TBA.

 

Conference USA semifinal: #2 Old Dominion vs. #3 Western Kentucky. Just need these teams to not kill each other so one of them can win the final game.

 

This is a LOT of games that need to go a particular way, and as much fun as I've had with this, I'm sure the ides of March will not allow all of the outcomes to benefit us. But was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Was it over when we trailed Duke by 17 in the hellhole of college basketball and had a fraction of their NBA players? Was the Big Ten race over when Purdue was 12-0?

 

Keep the faith, NIT hopefuls.

 Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? 

[JSHoosier]

2 minutes ago, ebridges24 said:

 Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? 

Forget it, he's on a roll.

[TheWatShot]

UPDATE: #1 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 71, Southern 65. The Golden Lions move on to the final game of the rough and tumble SWAC. Hopefully they can pull an upset tomorrow against the 2 or 3 seed or we'll lose our NIT spot to a team that would be 14-21.