Bracketology and Team Resumes

[RaceToTheTop]

Michigan St and st. Bonaventure not doing IU any favors tonight.

[NashvilleHoosier]

38 minutes ago, brumdog45 said:

Michigan St and st. Bonaventure not doing IU any favors tonight.

Not exactly sure how on the bubble Florida is but Vandy just absolutely laid a massive egg in the last 2 minutes to hand FL what is at worst a quad 2 road win but could end up being a quad 1 win.

[Uspshoosier]

2 minutes ago, brumdog45 said:

And another ******* banked in three.  Just ******* stupid.

Wrong thread 

[Loaded Chicken Sandwich]

Bottom picture are all of the national champions since 2002(excluding the hooker lovers and of course 2020).

Top picture are this year's teams that are Top 25 in both, teams that are close and to keep an eye on if they really pick it up and then the "UConn Team" is an outlier that fits what UConn did in 2014. 

[yogisballin]

Michigan St and st. Bonaventure not doing IU any favors tonight.

I know right. With Michigan st, I know that you are referring to Michigan. But, I want to talk about Michigan st. Why are they considered a lock and a 7 seed? They are 2-6 in their last 8 games. And if they lose the last 2, why wouldn’t that put them on the bubble? I mean, they are just 1 game better than IU as far as records go. I’m sure someone will hit me with NET, SOS, RPI…something. I am curious why they are in so much better shape then we are right now?


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[Hoosierfan1901]

Our chances dropped by 5% over the night from 64% to 59%.

TR now projects that the safest way to get in the Tournament is 21 wins at 92%
 

20 wins= 75% (still really well)

19 wins= 34%
 

[IUc2016]

Ohio State dropped from 20 to 22 in the NET

Nebraska rose from 166 to 148 and is now a quad 3 home win. 

 

[IUc2016]

As of today IU is 43 in the NET

3-6 in Quad 1

3-4 in Quad 2

5-0 in Quad 3

7-0 in Quad 4

[vemmeistars]

OSU only dropped 2 spots in NET to 22, so they are still a solid Q1 win for IU. Nebraska did rise enough in NET for both of IU's wins to be considered Q3 vs them. 

Just saw that @IUc2016 already posted this. Feel free to delete my post.

Edited March 2, 2022 by vemmeistars

[HoosierAloha]

On 2/22/2022 at 12:02 PM, HoosierAloha said:

We're going back to the FF!!

[Uspshoosier]

1 hour ago, yogisballin said:

I know right. With Michigan st, I know that you are referring to Michigan. But, I want to talk about Michigan st. Why are they considered a lock and a 7 seed? They are 2-6 in their last 8 games. And if they lose the last 2, why wouldn’t that put them on the bubble? I mean, they are just 1 game better than IU as far as records go. I’m sure someone will hit me with NET, SOS, RPI…something. I am curious why they are in so much better shape then we are right now?


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Non conference wins.  And SOS and non con sos is what separates them.   They beat UConn and Loyola on neutral floor and played a tough schedule which gives them more of a cushion if things went bad and they did.   They also have 10 wins away from home.   Winning at Wisky sticks  out.    IU big wins are at home and they played a terrible non conference SOS and only have 4 wins away from home.  

[Uspshoosier]

58 minutes ago, IUc2016 said:

As of today IU is 43 in the NET

3-6 in Quad 1

3-4 in Quad 2

5-0 in Quad 3

7-0 in Quad 4

Staying above .500 against the top 3 quads is big.   That’s why Nebraska moving to a Q3 game was big.    Have to split these next 2 games 

[Hoosierfan1901]

Last night wasn’t good at all for IU

[IU_FanClub]

Question for those that know more about this stuff. Would the committee look at a win vs Rutgers differently given their bubble status and ability to win tough games recently even though it is technically a quad 3 game?

[IUc2016]

14 minutes ago, vemmeistars said:

OSU only dropped 2 spots in NET to 22, so they are still a solid Q1 win for IU. Nebraska did rise enough in NET for both of IU's wins to be considered Q3 vs them. 

Just saw that @IUc2016 already posted this. Feel free to delete my post.

It is all good.

I did see your post about NEB becoming a quad 2 as best case scenario. Well they are pretty close to it after their jump and if they make any kind of in the BTT it is very possible.

If they win at Wisconsin it is a certainty.

[Uspshoosier]

8 minutes ago, IU_FanClub said:

Question for those that know more about this stuff. Would the committee look at a win vs Rutgers differently given their bubble status and ability to win tough games recently even though it is technically a quad 3 game?

Yes.   Quads are used to sort the wins into groups.  Since they are on the cut line of a Q2 win and the fact they have 6 wins against the projected field if IU wins today it would be considered a good win against another team fighting for an at-large regardless of what quad it is in.  Big game because if IU wins it moves another bubble team down the ladder.  Same if IU loses for other bubble teams it would move IU down the ladder 

[IUc2016]

https://bracketville.wordpress.com/seed-list/

IU is the 45th seed. Moved down 1 from yesterday due to Michigan's win. 

That puts IU as the first team in the first four

[NashvilleHoosier]

I didn’t realize all the impact on our resume tonight. Our game of course or nothing else may matter. But ND with a tough road game and St. John’s w/ Xavier at home. I keep repeating this but man I cannot wait for times where we aren’t looking around at what everyone else is doing. 

[RaceToTheTop]

9 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

Non conference wins.  And SOS and non con sos is what separates them.   They beat UConn and Loyola on neutral floor and played a tough schedule which gives them more of a cushion if things went bad and they did.   They also have 10 wins away from home.   Winning at Wisky sticks  out.    IU big wins are at home and they played a terrible non conference SOS and only have 4 wins away from home.  

And even if not taking streaks into account, they beat a top three seed and a NCAA bubble team in that eight game string.  They're a lock although I'm not sure they are a 7 seed right now....might be more of an 8.

[RaceToTheTop]

3 minutes ago, NashvilleHoosier said:

I didn’t realize all the impact on our resume tonight. Our game of course or nothing else may matter. But ND with a tough road game and St. John’s w/ Xavier at home. I keep repeating this but man I cannot wait for times where we aren’t looking around at what everyone else is doing. 

Yep, but until then root like hell for St. John's tonight.  Not just for St. John's but because Xavier keeps sliding down toward being a bubble.