Scotty R Posted July 16, 2023 Posted July 16, 2023 1 hour ago, RaceToTheTop said: Pc stellar limits teams to 10 man rosters. In the case of Gunn, using Torvik ratings and expected improvement hid three point shooting percentage would still be so low to render him unplayable. While I certainly think that last years shooting as a fluke, going on what has been established in game play last year doesn’t make him very good. iMO, I also think at best he’s the 10th man in the rotation and will not be a big factor this year. I disagree on Gunn because unless Newton is 100% I think Gunn will start the season ahead of him in the depth chart. I think Leal and Walker will be the players iyr of the rotation Quote
TheWatShot Posted July 17, 2023 Posted July 17, 2023 21 hours ago, RaceToTheTop said: IU is now 15-8 and 7-5 in conference. I know this is all simulated, but man, I think it will be pretty disappointing if that's our record after 23 games. But I kind of have to call BS on any simulator that has us winning at Wisconsin, let alone by double digits. southsidehoosier, ALASKA HOOSIER and thebigweave 3 Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 17, 2023 Author Posted July 17, 2023 6 minutes ago, TheWatShot said: I know this is all simulated, but man, I think it will be pretty disappointing if that's our record after 23 games. But I kind of have to call BS on any simulator that has us winning at Wisconsin, let alone by double digits. Kansas, two of three in Texas, U Conn, Louisville, and Auburn preconference. I would say 8-3 in conference is to be expected and I would take 7-5 in conference. Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 17, 2023 Author Posted July 17, 2023 Game 24: IU at Rutgers. Pointspread was a pick'em. Rutgers goes into half up 39-37, but the second half was all IU. IU wins, 81-64. IU improves to 16-8 and 8-5 in conference. Rutgers stats: 26/67 fg (39%), 3/12 threes (25%), 9/14 ft (64%), 37 reb, 20 fouls, 13 ast, 3 st, 3 bs, 12 to, 64 pts IU stats Johnson: 36 min, 8/14 fg, 0/1 threes, 12/12 ft, 3 reb, 4 fouls, 2 ast, 3 st, 3 to, 28 pts Galloway: 28 min, 3/5 fg, 1/2 threes, 6 rebs, 1 ast, 1 st, 1 to, 7 pts Mgbako: 19 min, 2/5 fg, 2/2 threes, 2/2 ft, 6 reb, 3 fouls, 1 ast, 8 pts Reneau 25 min, 3/5 fg, 2/2 ft, 8 reb, 4 fouls, 1 ast, 2 st, 1 to, 8 pts Ware 28 min, 3/7 fg, 0/1 threes, 8 reb, 2 fouls, 2 ast, 3 to, 6 pts Sparks 13 min, 3/6 fg, 2/4 ft, 4 rebs, 1 foul, 1 ast, 1 st, 8 pts Banks 17 min, 3/7 fg, 1/3 threes, 3/4 ft, 3 reb, 2 fouls, 1 ast, 1 bs, 10 pts Cupps 14 min, 1/3 fg, 0/1 threes, 2 reb, 1 to, 2 pts Newton 10 min, 1/2 fg, 0/1 threes, 0/1 ft, 1 to, 2 pts Walker 12 min, 1/3 fg, 0/1 ft, 2 reb, 2 pts TOTALS: 28/57 fg (49%), 4/12 threes (33%), 21/26 ft (81%), 42 reb, 16 fouls, 9 ast, 7 st, 1 bs, 10 to, 81 pts IU stats to date: Johnson 33 mpg, 132/304 fg (43%), 26/77 threes (34%), 115/141 ft (82%), 4.5 reb, 4.4 ast, 1.2 st, 3.3 to, 16.8 pts Mgbako 32 mpg, 108/233 fg (47%), 29/70 threes (41%), 48/61 ft (79%), 6.2 reb, 1.3 ast, 0.9 st, 0.5 bs, 1.7 to, 12.2 pts Ware 29 mpg, 103/223 fg (46%), 14/42 threes (33%), 53/67 ft (79%), 7.5 reb, 1.6 ast, 1.1 st, 2.0 bs, 1.7 to, 11.4 pts Reneau 22 mpg, 90/148 fg (61%), 0/2 threes (0%), 48/57 ft (84%), 6.2 reb, 0.8 ast, 0.8 st, 0.4 bs, 1.8 to, 9.5 pts Banks 18 mpg, 67/121 fg (54%), 10/25 threes (40%), 38/63 ft (60%), 3.2 reb, 0.7 ast, 0.4 st, 0.3 bs, 1.5 to, 7.4 pts Galloway 29 mpg, 58/134 fg (43%), 19/44 threes (44%), 18/27 ft (67%), 4.2 reb, 1.9 ast, 1.0 st, 0.2 bs, 0.8 to, 6.4 pts Sparks 13 mpg, 52/101 fg (51%), 20/45 ft (44%), 4.6 reb, 0.7 ast, 0.4 st, 0.3 bs, 1.5 to, 5.2 pts Cupps 16 mpg, 31/80 fg (39%), 10/32 threes (31%), 11/12 ft (92%), 1.2 reb, 0.9 ast, 0.6 st, 0.3 to, 3.5 pts Walker 8 mpg, 25/53 fg (46%), 11/15 ft (73%), 1.2 reb, 0.5 ast, 0.2 st, 0.4 to, 2.6 pts Newton 5 mpg, 18/40 fg (45%), 4/13 threes (31%), 1/6 ft (17%), 0.3 reb, 0.2 ast, 0.1 st, 0.2 to, 1.6 pts lillurk 1 Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 17, 2023 Author Posted July 17, 2023 Game 25: Wisconsin at Indiana. The Hoosiers rode a 46 to 31 rebound advantage to secure an 81-74 win. Wisconsin stats: 30/65 fg (46%), 3/20 threes (15%), 11/14 ft (79%), 31 reb, 25 fouls, 13 ast, 4 st, 9 to, 74 pts IU stats: Johnson 34 min, 5/15 fg, 3/4 ft, 6 reb, 1 foul, 7 ast, 3 to, 13 pts Galloway 28 min, 2/7 fg, 1/2 threes, 1/4 ft, 1 reb, 2 fouls, 2 ast, 2 to, 6 pts Mgbako 31 min, 6/10 fg, 2/3 threes, 2/2 ft, 8 reb, 1 ast, 2 st, 1 bs, 1 to, 16 pts Reneau 24 min, 3/6 fg, 8/11 ft, 9 reb, 2 fouls, 14 pts Ware 29 min, 6/10 fg, 2/2 threes, 1/1 ft, 8 reb, 3 fouls, 1 ast, 4 st, 1 bs, 1 to, 15 pts Sparks 11 min 2/5 fg, 1/2 ft, 6 reb, 4 fouls, 1 ast, 1 st, 1 to, 5 pts Banks 17 min, 2/5 fg, 0/1 threes, 1/1 ft, 6 reb, 3 fouls, 5 pts Cupps 15 min, 2/3 fg, 1 reb, 1 ast, 1 to, 4 pts Newton 3 min, 1/1 fg, 1/1 ft, 3 pts Walker 9 min, 0/4 fg, 1 reb, 1 foul, 1 to, 0 pts IU stats 29/66 fg (44%), 5/8 threes (63%), 18/26 ft (69%), 46 reb, 16 fouls, 13 ast, 7 st, 2 bs, 10 to, 81 pts The Hoosiers are now 17-8, 9-5 in conference lillurk 1 Quote
JimmerNoe Posted July 17, 2023 Posted July 17, 2023 I keep thinking “man we are not having a great projected season” and we are still 9-5 in conference. It really puts into perspective how awful we were in conference for that several year stretch we couldn’t break .500 for the season. Please never let us fall back to .500 being the norm!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Joe_hoopsier, thebigweave and go iu bb 3 Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 17, 2023 Author Posted July 17, 2023 Game 26: IU at Purdue. Zach Edey show in the first half but IU does battle back and Purdue leads just by two at half, 43-41. IU takes their first second half lead with 7:44 left at 62-61. But foul problems plagued IU the rest of the way and Purdue pulled the season sweep, winning 82-73. IU is now 17-9 and 9-6 in conference Purdue stats Smith 31 min, 3/6 fg, 1/3 threes, 1/2 ft, 1 reb, 2 fouls, 6 ast, 8 pts Loyer 31 min, 4/10 fg, 1/6 threes, 1/1 ft, 1 reb, 2 fouls, 1 st, 5 to, 10 pts Morton 28 min, 1/5 fg, 0/2 threes, 1/2 ft, 3 reb, 3 fouls, 2 ast, 2 st, 1 to, 3 pts Furst 26 min, 3/6 fg, 1/1 threes, 2/5 ft, 5 reb, 1 foul, 1 ast, 1 bs, 1 to , 9 pts Edey 33 min, 11/14 fg, 12/13 ft, 18 reb, 3 fouls, 2 ast, 1 bs, 4 to, 34 pts Gillis 17 min, 2/4 fg, 1/2 threes, 4 reb, 3 fouls, 2 ast, 1 st, 1 b, 5 pts Jones 17 min, 1/3 fg, 0/1 threes, 3/3 ft, 1 reb, 1 ast, 2 st, 5 pts Kaufman-Renn 7 min, 2/5 fg, 0/2 threes, 2/4 ft, 1 ast, 1 st, 6 pts Colvin 3 min, 1/1 fg, 1 reb, 1 to, 2 pts Heide 7 min, 1 to, 0 pts TOTALS 28/54 fg (52%), 4/17 threes (24%), 22/30 ft (73%), 34 reb, 14 fouls, 15 ast, 8 st, 3 bs, 13 to, 82 pts IU stats Johnson 27 min, 4/11 fg, 1/3 threes, 3/4 ft, 2 reb, 5 fouls, 4 ast, 4 to, 12 pts Galloway 28 min, 0/4 fg, 5 reb, 4 fouls, 3 ast, 2 st, 1 bs, 1 to, 0 pts Mgbako 33 min, 6/11 fg, 1/4 threes, 0/1 ft, 4 reb, 2 fouls, 2 to, 13 pts Reneau 22 min, 7/8 fg, 2/2 ft, 4 reb, 4 fouls, 2 ast, 2 to, 16 pts Ware 28 min, 2/11fg, 0/2 threes, 0/3 ft, 11 reb, 4 fouls, 3 ast, 2 bs, 2 to, 4 pts Sparks 12 min, 3/4 fg, 1/2 ft, 4 reb, 4 fouls, 1 ast, 1 st, 2 to, 7 pts Banks 18 min, 4/10 fg, 1/2 threes, 0/1 ft, 3 reb, 1 foul, 1 to, 9 pts Cupps 18 min, 3/3 fg, 2/2 threes, 2 reb, 2 fouls, 1 to, 8 pts Newton 9 min, 0/2 fg, 1 st, 1 to, 0 pts Walker 7 min, 2/2 fg, 1 reb, 4 pts TOTALS 31/66 fg (47%), 5/13 threes (38%), 6/13 ft (46%), 36 reb, 26 fouls, 13 ast, 4 st, 3 bs, 16 to, 73 pts YEAR STATS Johnson 33 mpg, 140/333 fg (42%), 26/75 threes (34%), 121/148 ft (81%), 4.5 reb, 4.5 ast, 1.1 st, 3.3 to, 16.5 pts Mgbako 32 mpg, 122/255 fg (48%), 31/75 threes (41%), 50/65 ft (78%), 6.2 reb, 1.2 ast, 0.9 st, 0.5 bs, 1.7 to, 12.4 pts Ware 29 mpg, 112/244 fg (45%), 16/47 threes (34%), 55/73 ft (76%), 7.6 reb, 1.7 ast, 1.2 st, 2.0 bs, 1.7 to, 11.3 pts Reneau 22 mpg, 99/161 fg (62%), 0/2 threes, 60/70 ft (83%), 6.2 reb, 0.8 ast, 0.7 st, 0.4 bs, 1.7 to, 10.0 pts Banks 18 mpg, 70/135 fg (52%), 11/28 threes (39%), 39/65 ft (60%), 3.3 reb, 0.6 ast, 0.8 st, 0.5 bs, 0.9 to, 7.4 pts Galloway 29 mpg, 60/146 fg (41%), 20/45 threes (44%), 19/31 ft (61%), 4.1 reb, 2.0 ast, 1.0 st, 0.2 bs, 0.9 to, 6.1 pts Sparks 13 mpg, 57/112 fg (51%), 22/49 ft (45%), 4.7 reb, 0.8 ast, 0.4 st, 0.3 bs, 1.5 to, 5.2 pts Cupps 16 mpg, 36/85 fg (42%), 12/34 threes (35%), 12/13 ft (92%), 1.2 reb, 0.9 ast, 0.6 st, 0.4 to, 3.7 pts Walker 8 mpg, 28/62 fg (45%), 11/15 ft (73%), 1.2 reb, 0.4 ast, 0.2 st, 0.4 to, 2.6 pts Newton 5 mpg, 18/41 fg (44%), 5/16 threes (31%), 2/7 ft (29%), 0.3 reb, 0.2 ast, 0.2 st, 0.2 to, 1.6 pts TOTALS 741/1573 fg (47%), 122/325 threes (37%), 390/536 ft (73%), 39.3 reb, 16.5 fouls, 13.0 ast, 7.1 st, 4.0 bs, 12.8 to, 76.7 pts OPP 673/1594 fg (42%), 148/473 threes (32%), 283/395 ft (72%), 35.1 reb, 18.8 fouls, 5.7 st, 2.8 bs, 13.9 to, 68.4 pts Quote
Scotty R Posted July 17, 2023 Posted July 17, 2023 So how accurate has these sims been in the past Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 2 hours ago, Scotty R said: So how accurate has these sims been in the past If, for instance, a team is a five point favorite and I simmed it thirty times, I think on average the results would have the team favored by five have an average plus point margin between three and seven. But just like basketball, being the favorite doesn't mean winning all the time. I would say a five point favorite would win about 65% of the games simmed. I simmed quite a few games outside of the season of IU against Louisville on a neutral court; I think IU is picked to win by 6 or 7 but they certainly lost some of the games I simmed. Teams/players have good and bad sims. IU has won some sims in the season set I've had where they won but were underdogs but have lost games where they were favored. On average, the results are close to what I would have expected from the point spreads. Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 Game 27: Penn State at IU. Slow start for IU and they trailed 29-27 at half. Second half IU rallied to an easy win, 72-58. IU is 18-9 and 10-6 in conference. Penn State stats: 22/66 fg (33%), 8/17 threes (47%), 6/9 ft (67%), 38 reb, 20 fouls, 13 ast, 10 st, 5 bs, 16 to, 58 pts IU stats Johnson 34 min, 5/11 fg, 0/3 threes, 8/9 ft, 6 reb, 2 fouls, 3 ast, 2 st, 3 to, 18 pts Galloway 32 min, 2/4 fg, 1/2 threes, 4/4 ft, 11 reb, 3 fouls, 9 pts, 3 ast, 2 st, 1 to, 9 pts Mgbako 32 min, 4/8 fg, 2/3 threes, 3/4 ft, 7 reb, 3 fouls, 2 ast, 1 st, 1 bs, 2 to, 13 pts Reneau 27 min, 4/7 fg, 3/4 ft, 4 reb, 0 fouls, 2 st, 2 bs, 1 to, 11 pts Ware 26 min, 2/7 fg, 0/2 threes, 0/1 ft, 7 reb, 3 fouls, 1 ast, 2 bs, 5 to, 4 pts Sparks 14 min, 4/6 fg, 3 reb, 2 fouls, 1 ast, 5 to, 8 pts Banks 14 min, 4/7 fg, 0/2 threes, 1/1 ft, 1 reb, 1 foul, 1 st, 9 pts Cupps 12 min, 0/3 fg, 0/2 threes, 1/1 ft, 1 reb, 1 foul, 1 st, 0 pts Newton 3 min, 0/1 fg, 1 foul, 0 pts Walker 7 min, 0/1 fg, 1 reb, 0 pts TOTALS 25/55 fg (45%), 3/14 threes (21%0, 19/23 ft (83%), 41 reb, 15 fouls, 10 ast, 8 st, 5 bs, 17 to, 72 pts lillurk 1 Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 Game 28: IU at Ohio State. Buckeyes favored by 2. Good back and forth game with IU winning 78-74. IU moves to 19-9 and 11-6 Ohio State stats: 29/67 fg (43%), 4/14 threes (29%), 12/17 ft (71%), 39 reb, 19 rouls, 16 ast, 4 st, 4 bs, 10 to, 74 pts IU stats Johnson 33 min, 6/12 fg, 3/4 threes, 7/8 ft, 7 reb, 4 fouls, 3 ast, 2 st, 2 to, 22 pts Galloway 28 min, 4/6 fg, 0/2 threes, 2/2 ft, 3 reb, 2 fouls, 2 ast, 2 st, 1 to, 10 pts Mgbako 31 min, 3/12 fg, 1/4 threes, 7 reb, 1 foul, 2 bs, 1 to, 7 pts Reneau 21 min, 4/7 fg, 2/2 ft, 5 reb, 3 fouls, 1 ast, 2 bs, 1 to, 10 pts Ware 28 min, 3/10 fg, 1/1 threes, 0/3 ft, 11 reb, 1 ast, 2 st, 2 bs, 2 to, 7 pts Sparks 12 min, 1/3 fg, 2/2 ft, 4 reb, 2 fouls, 1 ast, 1 bs, 1 to, 4 pts Banks 19 min, 2/6 fg, 1/1 threes, 4/4 ft, 4 reb, 2 fouls, 2 to, 9 pts Cupps 15 min, 2/3 fg, 1/2 threes, 2 fouls, 1 ast, 1 st, 5 pts Newton 6 min, 0/2 fg, 0/1 threes, 2 fouls ,1 ast, 1 st, 0 pts Walker 7 min, 1/2 fg, 2/2 ft, 4 pts TOTALS 26/63 fg (41%), 7/15 threes (47%), 19/23 ft (83%), 41 reb, 18 fouls, 9 ast, 7 st, 7 bs, 10 to, 78 pts IU season totals Johnson 33 mpg, 154/356 fg (43%), 31/87 threes (35%), 137/165 ft (82%), 4.6 reb, 4.4 ast, 1.2 st, 3.3 to, 16.7 pts Mgbako 32 mpg, 129/274 fg (47%), 34/84 threes (41%), 53/67 ft (83%), 6.2 reb, 1.2 ast, 0.9 st, 0.6 bs, 1.7 to, 12.2 pts Ware 28 mpg, 115/260 fg (44%), 17/50 threes (34%), 56/76 ft (72%), 7.7 reb, 1.6 ast, 1.1 st, 2.0 bs, 1.9 to, 10.9 pts Reneau 22 mpg, 109/176 fg (61%), 0/2 threes (0%), 64/76 ft (83%), 6.1 reb, 0.8 ast, 0.7 st, 0.5 bs, 1.7 to, 10.0 pts Banks 18 mpg, 76/148 fg (52%), 12/31 threes (39%), 45/71 ft (63%), 3.3 reb, 0.6 ast, 0.8 st, 0.4 bs, 0.9 to, 7.5 pts Galloway 29 mpg, 67/154 fg (43%), 21/49 threes (43%), 24/35 ft (68%), 4.3 reb, 1.9 ast, 1.1 st, 0.2 bs, 0.9 to, 6.4 pts Sparks 13 mpg, 62/120 fg (52%), 24/51 ft (47%), 4.6 reb, 0.8 ast, 0.4 st, 0.3 bs, 1.6 to, 5.3 pts Cupps 16 pg, 38/92 fg (41%), 14/41 threes (34%), 12/13 ft (92%), 1.2 reb, 0.9 ast, 0.6 st, 0.4 to, 3.6 pts Walker 8 mpg, 28/64 fg (45%), 13/17 ft (76%), 1.1 reb, 0.4 ast, 0.2 st, 0.4 to, 2.5 pts Newton 5 mpg, 18/44 fg (41%), 4/14 threes (29%), 2/7 ft (29%), 0.2 reb, 0.2 ast, 0.1 st, 0.2 to, 1.5 pts Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 Game 29: Nebraska at IU. IU controlled the first half but Nebraska put on a run at the end to close to within 40-36. The second half was IU's worst played of the year and IU dropped the game 77-71. IU's record now stands at 19-10 and 11-7 with a road game at Minnesota and a home game against Maryland left. Nebraska stats: 28/65 fg (43%), 10/24 threes (42%), 11/15 ft (73%), 39 reb, 9 fouls, 13 ast, 8 st, 1 bs, 10 to, 77 pts IU stats: Johnson 33 min, 6/19 fg, 2/5 threes, 6 reb, 1 foul, 1 st, 1 to, 14 pts Galloway 30 min, 3/6 fg, 1/2 threes, 9 reb, 2 fouls, 1 ast, 3 to, 7 pts Mgbako 32 min, 6/12 fg, 1/2 threes, 2 reb, 4 fouls, 2 ast, 1 st, 2 bs, 1 to, 13 pts Reneau 24 min, 6/9 fg, 0/1 threes, 2/2 ft, 6 reb, 4 fouls, 1 st, 1 bs, 2 to, 14 pts Ware 27 min, 3/8 fg, 1/3 threes, 2/2 ft, 10 reb, 1 foul, 2 ast, 2 bs, 5 to, 9 pts Sparks 13 min, 4/8 fg, 3 reb, 2 ast, 1 st, 1 bs, 8 pts Banks 17 min, 1/3 fg, 3 fouls, 1 bs, 1 to, 2 pts Cupps 14 min, 1/1 fg, 1 ast, 2 pts Newton 3 min, 0/1 fg, 2 reb, 1 ast, 0 pts Walker 7 min, 1/2 fg, 1 reb, 2 pts TOTALS 31/69 fg (45%), 5/13 threes (38%), 4/4 ft (100%), 39 reb, 15 fouls, 9 ast, 4 st, 7 bs, 13 to, 71 pts lillurk 1 Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 Game 30: IU at Minnesota. IU wins 84-76. WIth one game left, IU is 20-10 and 12-7. Minnesota stats: 29/59 fg (49%), 11/26 threes (42%), 7/11 ft (64%), 26 reb, 21 fouls, 15 ast, 8 st, 1 bs, 18 to, 76 pts IU stats Johnson 34 min, 7/14 fg, 1/4 threes, 8/8 ft, 4 reb, 3 ast, 3 st, 5 to, 23 pts Galloway 28 min, 4/6 fg, 3/3 threes, 1/4 ft, 2 reb, 3 fouls, 1 ast, 1 st, 1 to, 12 pts Mgbako 33 min, 5/8 fg, 2/3 threes, 7/11 ft, 4 reb, 3 fouls, 4 st, 1 to, 19 pts Reneau 23 min, 4/6 fg, 10 reb, 1 foul, 1 st, 1 to, 8 pts Ware 28 min, 3/8 fg, 0/2 threes, 4/4 ft, 10 reb, 2 fouls, 1 st, 3 bs, 4 to, 10 pts Sparks 13 min, 1/3 fg, 1 reb, 1 foul, 3 ast, 2 to, 2 pts Banks 18 min, 1/2 fg, 0/1 threes, 4 reb, 1 foul, 1 ast, 2 to, 2 pts Cupps 15 min, 2/3 fg, 2 fouls, 4 pts Newton 5 min, 1/1 fg, 1 to, 2 pts Walker 7 min, 1/2 fg, 1 to, 2 pts TOTALS 29/53 fg (55%), 6/13 threes (46%), 20/27 ft (74%), 35 reb, 13 fouls, 8 ast, 10 st, 3 bs, 18 to, 84 pts lillurk 1 Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 Game 31: final regular season game, Maryland at IU. Successful senior night as IU wins easily and Xavier Johnson went for a career high 28 points. Maryland stats: 21/58 fg (36%), 3/16 threes (19%), 15/20 ft (75%), 30 reb, 19 fouls, 12 ast, 4 st, 14 to, 60 pts IU stats Johnson 36 min, 7/13 fg, 0/1 threes, 14/14 ft, 6 reb, 3 fouls, 5 ast, 2 st, 6 to, 28 pts Galloway 26 min, 2/5 fg, 1/2 threes, 5 reb, 3 fouls, 3 ast, 1 st, 1 to, 5 pts Mgbako 32 min, 2/8 fg, 1/2 threes, 1/2 ft, 4 reb, 3 fouls, 2 ast, 4 st, 2 to, 6 pts Reneau 24 min, 4/6 fg, 1/2 ft, 5 reb, 4 fouls, 1 bs, 2 to, 9 pts Ware 28 min, 4/10 fg, 0/1 threes, 0/1 ft, 9 reb, 2 fouls, 1 ast, 2 bs, 8 pts Sparks 12 min, 2/2 fg, 9 reb, 1 foul, 1 ast, 1 bs, 1 to, 4 pts Banks 17 ming, 6/7 fg, 1/1 threes, 5 reb, 3 fouls, 1 bs, 13 pts Cupps 16 min, 1/5 fg, 1/3 threes, 1 reb, 1 ast, 3 pts Newton 2 min, 1/3 fg, 0/1 threes, 2 pts Walker 8 min, 0/2 fg, 0/2 ft, 1 foul, 1 ast, 0 pts IU totals 29/61 fg (48%), 4/11 threes (36%), 16/21 ft (76%), 44 reb ,20 fouls, 14 ast, 7 st, 5 bs, 12 to, 78 pts Quote
lillurk Posted July 18, 2023 Posted July 18, 2023 13-7…probably a BTT double bye. No big wins, probably capped at a ~6 or 7 seed unless you win it and beat MSU and PU on the way. Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 Final record: IU 21-10, Big Ten record 13-7. Final team stats Johnson 33 mpg, 171/400 fg (43%), 33/96 threes (34%), 158/189 ft (84%), 4.7 reb, 4.2 ast, 1.3 st, 3.4 to, 17.2 pts Mgbako 32 mpg, 140/301 fg (47%), 37/89 threes (42%), 62/81 ft (75%), 6.0 reb, 1.2 ast, 1.1 st, 0.6 bs, 1.6 to, 12.3 pts Ware 29 mpg, 127/288 fg (44%), 19/58 threes (32%), 62/84 ft (73%), 7.9 reb, 1.5 ast, 1.1 st, 2.0 bs, 2.0 to, 10.7 pts Reneau 22 mpg, 120/198 fg (62%), 0/3 threes (0%), 68/81 ft (83%), 6.2 reb, 0.7 ast, 0.7 st, 0.5 bs, 1.7 to, 10.0 pts Banks 18 mpg, 84/161 fg (53%), 13/34 threes (39%), 44/70 ft (63%), 3.3 reb, 0.5 ast, 0.7 st, 0.5 bs, 0.9 to, 7.3 pts Galloway 29 mpg, 74/170 fg (44%), 25/54 threes (46%), 25/40 ft (63%), 4.4 reb, 2.0 ast, 1.0 st, 0.2 bs, 1.0 to, 6.5 pts Sparks 13 mpg, 68/132 fg (52%), 24/51 ft (47%), 4.5 reb, 0.9 ast, 0.4 st, 0.3 bs, 1.5 to, 5.2 pts Cupps 16 mpg, 43/102 fg (42%), 14/41 threes (34%), 12/13 ft (92%), 1.1 reb, 0.8 ast, 0.5 st, 0.3 to, 3.5 pts Walker 8 mpg, 31/71 fg (44%), 13/19 ft (68%), 1.1 reb, 0.4 ast, 0.2 st, 0.4 to, 2.4 pts Newton 5 mpg, 20/49 fg (41%), 4/14 threes (29%), 2/7 ft (29%), 0.3 reb, 0.2 ast, 0.1 st, 0.2 to, 1.5 pts Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, lillurk said: 13-7…probably a BTT double bye. No big wins, probably capped at a ~6 or 7 seed unless you win it and beat MSU and PU on the way. I will say the Big Ten schedule next year compared to last year was noticably helpful. Only one game against Michigan State and Illinois is helpful. lillurk 1 Quote
Scotty R Posted July 18, 2023 Posted July 18, 2023 12 hours ago, RaceToTheTop said: If, for instance, a team is a five point favorite and I simmed it thirty times, I think on average the results would have the team favored by five have an average plus point margin between three and seven. But just like basketball, being the favorite doesn't mean winning all the time. I would say a five point favorite would win about 65% of the games simmed. I simmed quite a few games outside of the season of IU against Louisville on a neutral court; I think IU is picked to win by 6 or 7 but they certainly lost some of the games I simmed. Teams/players have good and bad sims. IU has won some sims in the season set I've had where they won but were underdogs but have lost games where they were favored. On average, the results are close to what I would have expected from the point spreads. I was more talking about team records at the end of the season Quote
RaceToTheTop Posted July 18, 2023 Author Posted July 18, 2023 46 minutes ago, Scotty R said: I was more talking about team records at the end of the season I haven’t ever done a project like this where I projected a team’s stats so I can’t say. Using the actual stats it is pretty accurate Quote
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