Bracketology and Team Resumes

[RaceToTheTop]

Which team?

Team A:

17-12

NET 40, POM 32

POM NON-CON SOS 162,  OVERALL 11

Q1:  3-9,  Q2:  6-2,  Q3:  3-1, Q4: 5-0

 

Team B:

21-8

NET 46, POM 64

POM NON-CON SOS 239, OVERALL 79

Q1:  3-4, Q2:  4-4, Q3:  8-0, Q4: 6-0

 

Team C:

19-9

NET 42, POM 40

POM NON-CON 325, OVERALL 60

Q1:  4-7, Q2:  3-2, Q3:  4-0, Q4:  8-0

[Uspshoosier]

28 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Which team?

Team A:

17-12

NET 40, POM 32

POM NON-CON SOS 162,  OVERALL 11

Q1:  3-9,  Q2:  6-2,  Q3:  3-1, Q4: 5-0

 

Team B:

21-8

NET 46, POM 64

POM NON-CON SOS 239, OVERALL 79

Q1:  3-4, Q2:  4-4, Q3:  8-0, Q4: 6-0

 

Team C:

19-9

NET 42, POM 40

POM NON-CON 325, OVERALL 60

Q1:  4-7, Q2:  3-2, Q3:  4-0, Q4:  8-0

What’s  their  NET sos and non con sos and how many Q1 wins are Q1a?

[RaceToTheTop]

42 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

What’s  their  NET sos and non con sos and how many Q1 wins are Q1a?

Team A:  NET SOS 12, NET NON-CON SOS 181.  2 of the 3 Q1 wins are Q1a.

Team B:  NET SOS 84, NET NON-CON SOS 190.  1 of the 3 Q1 wins are Q1a.

Team C:  NET SOS 37, NET NON-CON SOS 281.  2 of the 4 Q1 wins are Q1a.

[Uspshoosier]

4 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

Team A:  NET SOS 12, NET NON-CON SOS 181.  2 of the 3 Q1 wins are Q1a.

Team B:  NET SOS 84, NET NON-CON SOS 190.  1 of the 3 Q1 wins are Q1a.

Team C:  NET SOS 37, NET NON-CON SOS 281.  2 of the 4 Q1 wins are Q1a.

C for sure 

[RaceToTheTop]

1 hour ago, Uspshoosier said:

C for sure 

I know you well enough to know you know which team is which but also know you are giving an unbiased opinion of those three resumes.  What about A v B?

[Uspshoosier]

3 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

I know you well enough to know you know which team is which but also know you are giving an unbiased opinion of those three resumes.  What about A v B?

A lot closer between those 2 teams than I would have thought before I compared the 2.   The Michigan loss at home for St John’s sticks out for me  so I would still take Virginia as if today but man they are closer to the cut line for me now then I would of first thought.   Some have them safely in and St John’s still next 4 out.   Bubble is starting to become a mess with them bottom teams losing.   Nicely done on picking some close blind resumes 

[RaceToTheTop]

1 hour ago, Uspshoosier said:

A lot closer between those 2 teams than I would have thought before I compared the 2.   The Michigan loss at home for St John’s sticks out for me  so I would still take Virginia as if today but man they are closer to the cut line for me now then I would of first thought.   Some have them safely in and St John’s still next 4 out.   Bubble is starting to become a mess with them bottom teams losing.   Nicely done on picking some close blind resumes 

St.John’s last two regular season games are DePaul and Georgetown.  Despite those being quad 3 or 4 games, assuming they win I would think they are more in need of bumping up the win total than their SOS.  May 19-12 with a NET of about 40 I would think they could bump themselves up to last 4 in.  Would still want more security, though, from bid stealers.

[Uspshoosier]

6 hours ago, RaceToTheTop said:

St.John’s last two regular season games are DePaul and Georgetown.  Despite those being quad 3 or 4 games, assuming they win I would think they are more in need of bumping up the win total than their SOS.  May 19-12 with a NET of about 40 I would think they could bump themselves up to last 4 in.  Would still want more security, though, from bid stealers.

They need Nova to finish strong.  They only have 1 win against solid tourney team.  Creighton at home.   They swept Nova.  Utah and Providence are bubble teams so good wins to have but they could possibly only have 1 win against a tourney team heading into the big east tourney. Plus they lost to Michigan at home.  Definitely bubble worthy 

[RaceToTheTop]

23 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

They need Nova to finish strong.  They only have 1 win against solid tourney team.  Creighton at home.   They swept Nova.  Utah and Providence are bubble teams so good wins to have but they could possibly only have 1 win against a tourney team heading into the big east tourney. Plus they lost to Michigan at home.  Definitely bubble worthy 

What’s funny is they could use Nova finishing well to help their resume but Nova could be a team they are fighting with for a spot.

[realTomCrean]

If IU wins out + 2 in BTT puts them at 20-13 before the championship. Is that good enough to get them in?

[Jeff Flabjohns]

1 minute ago, realTomCrean said:

If IU wins out + 2 in BTT puts them at 20-13 before the championship. Is that good enough to get them in?

Win the BTT or head to the NIT. No doubt in my mind

[Jeff Flabjohns]

But they win these last two and we’re likely the 6 seed in BTT. What an awful conference lol

[Uspshoosier]

22 minutes ago, realTomCrean said:

If IU wins out + 2 in BTT puts them at 20-13 before the championship. Is that good enough to get them in?

No 

[Uspshoosier]

23 minutes ago, realTomCrean said:

If IU wins out + 2 in BTT puts them at 20-13 before the championship. Is that good enough to get them in?

Metrics are too bad at this point in the season and not enough games to build them up to where they will need to be.   Also the 20 wins only 2 or 3 would be against other tourney teams.  Losing at home to Nebraska and Northwestern were the nail in IUs at large coffin 

[RaceToTheTop]

3 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

Metrics are too bad at this point in the season and not enough games to build them up to where they will need to be.   Also the 20 wins only 2 or 3 would be against other tourney teams.  Losing at home to Nebraska and Northwestern were the nail in IUs at large coffin 

What's funny is that IU won two  games this week that were quad one wins, but by the end of the season they may not be quad one wins because those teams lost to IU.  Wisky is currently at 22 and Maryland was at 70 entering today.  If Wisky drops to 26+ and Maryland to 76+, neither are quad one wins.

[NashvilleHoosier]

PSU, NW and Nebraska at home. Crazy to think if we just win those 3 AT HOME (how many seasons have we considered those a given?) we’re 19-10, in 3rd place in the B1G at 11-7 and probably on the right side of the bubble? 

[Uspshoosier]

7 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

Metrics are too bad at this point in the season and not enough games to build them up to where they will need to be.   Also the 20 wins only 2 or 3 would be against other tourney teams.  Losing at home to Nebraska and Northwestern were the nail in IUs at large coffin 

Example IU was 104 and won a Q1 game at Maryland and only moved to 101 in the NET.   Maryland went from 70 to 74 

[RaceToTheTop]

14 hours ago, DoctorP said:

Win the BTT or head to the NIT. No doubt in my mind

The NIT will start by taking the top two NET teams from each of the top six conferences.  IU will assuredly not be in that group because of how much they would need to make up in NET.  Don’t assume IU will make the NIT.

[RaceToTheTop]

WAR top 25 through Sunday's games

1. Purdue 26-3 WAR +10.58
2. Houston 26-3  +9.79
3. U Conn 26-3 +8.80
4. Tennessee 23-6 +7.09
5. Arizona 23-6 +7.00
6. UNC 23-6 +6.49
7. South Carolina 24-5 +5.84
8. Iowa State 23-6 +5.75
9. Illinois 22-7 +5.44
10. Duke 23-6 +5.26
11. Baylor 20-8 +5.23
12. Alabama 20-9 +5.21
13. Marquette 22-7 +5.18
14. Kansas 20-8 +5.05
15. Utah State 22-5 +5.03
16. Auburn 22-7 +5.02
17. Creighton 22-8 +4.90
18. San Diego State 20-7 +4.54
19. Washington State 23-7 +4.06
20. Dayton 22-6 +4.03
21. Nevada 23-6 +3.76
22. Kentucky 21-8 +3.72
23. BYU 21-8 +3.64
24. Clemson 20-9 +3.46
25. Florida 20-9 +3.28

Close:  Texas Tech 20-9 +3.27, Indiana State 25-5 +3.27, Nebraska 21-9 +3.10, Virginia 21-9 +2.97, Gonzaga 23-6 +2.89

Multiple bid conferences:

Big 12 (9):  Houston (2), Iowa State (8), Baylor (11), Kansas (14), BYU (23), Texas Tech (26), Texas (36), Oklahoma (41), TCU (49)

SEC (8):  Tennessee (4), South Carolina (7), Alabama (12), Auburn (16), Kentucky (22), Florida (25), Mississippi (32), Mississippi State (43)

MWC (6):  Utah State (15), San Diego State (18), Nevada (21),Boise State (37), Colorado State (38), New Mexico (47)

Big 10 (5):  Purdue (1), Illinois (9), Nebraska (28), Northwestern (31), Wisconsin (35)

ACC (4):  UNC (6), Duke (10), Clemson (24), Virginia (29)

Big East (3):  U Conn (3), Marquette (13), Creighton (17)

C USA (3):  Florida Atlantic (33), Memphis (48), South Florida (50)

MVC (2):  Indiana State (27), Drake (39)

WCC (2):  Gonzaga (30), St. Mary's (44)

Last four byes:  Syracuse, Mississippi St, St. Mary's, Colorado

Last four in:  New Mexico, Memphis, TCU, South Florida

First four out:  Seton Hall, Utah, Iowa, Oregon

Next four out:  Michigan State, Richmond, Providence, St. John's

 

 

 

[IUHoosierJoe]

Computer rankings through 3/3/24 games:

1	Houston		26	-	3		(	1	)
2	Purdue		26	-	3		(	2	)
3	Arizona		23	-	6		(	3	)
4	Connecticut		26	-	3		(	4	)
5	Tennessee		23	-	6		(	5	)
6	Alabama		20	-	9		(	6	)
7	Auburn		22	-	7		(	7	)
8	Iowa St		23	-	6		(	9	)
9	North Carolina		23	-	6		(	8	)
10	Duke		23	-	6		(	11	)
11	Baylor		20	-	8		(	16	)
12	Creighton		22	-	8		(	15	)
13	Marquette		22	-	7		(	10	)
14	Illinois		22	-	7		(	13	)
15	BYU		21	-	8		(	17	)
16	San Diego St		20	-	7		(	14	)
17	Kansas		20	-	8		(	12	)
18	Gonzaga		23	-	6		(	25	)
19	Kentucky		21	-	8		(	20	)
20	New Mexico		20	-	8		(	18	)
21	Utah St		22	-	5		(	19	)
22	St Mary's CA		23	-	7		(	23	)
23	Dayton		22	-	6		(	22	)
24	Clemson		20	-	9		(	21	)
25	Boise St		19	-	8		(	38	)