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Hovadipo

College Football Thread

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2 hours ago, Hovadipo said:

If PSU runs the table, with a win at The Death Star, and is left out of the CFP this whole thing is more of a farce than anyone could imagine.

If that happens I’ll make sure to invite you guys to the wedding. But no stupid Star Wars questions I’m sure it annoys her 

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2 hours ago, Hovadipo said:

If PSU runs the table, with a win at The Death Star, and is left out of the CFP this whole thing is more of a farce than anyone could imagine.

So who do they leap frog based on what the CFP committee said back in August. 

O$U - 2 losses at Illinois and at Michigan
UM - 2 losses at OU and at SC
SC - 2 losses at Illinois and at Oregon
Illinois - 2 losses at IUFB and at Washington/Maryland
IU - 1 loss at PSU

I think UCLA would have to win 8 games for PSU to get in at 10-2.

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6 minutes ago, Lebowski said:

So who do they leap frog based on what the CFP committee said back in August. 

O$U - 2 losses at Illinois and at Michigan
UM - 2 losses at OU and at SC
SC - 2 losses at Illinois and at Oregon
Illinois - 2 losses at IUFB and at Washington/Maryland
IU - 1 loss at PSU

I think UCLA would have to win 8 games for PSU to get in at 10-2.

Really great back and forth on this topic, good points on both sides. Not sure about who would get leap frogged based on the merits/criteria the CFP committee shared in August. But... I think the PSU brand would give them the nod over most schools vying for the last CFP slot.

Maybe I'm too jaded but I think once the decision makers weigh the financial projections of PSU vs a school like IU or Illinois, they're going to be the choice as long as the decision makers can half azz an argument for it. EX: 2023 leaving out undefeated FSU in favor of 1 loss Bama because of injury. Also, though not directly related, UNC getting the last seed for last years tournament when everyone expected WVU to be safely in the field.

Would be best for IUFB to take care of business and leave them no choice :-)

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HOOOO BUDDY.

Now this report from a local Chapel Hill tv station's news site. At a certain point, it matters less whether allegations are true than the fact that people think it's the case and are willing to say it. Some excerpts?

"It's all starting at the top, and the boys are being affected," a parent of a current UNC player said under the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation. "I don't fault the players; I fault the leadership that created this toxic environment. There's an individualistic mindset. The boys are young, and they are feeding into it."

"There's been no communication with coaches and parents, period," a parent of a current UNC player said. "None, zero, zilch. Not one email from a coach, one text, phone call, nothing."

Under Mack Brown, parents had relationships with coaches and their phone numbers. Coaches might call a parent if they felt something was going on with their son. Multiple sources have said that Belichick's son, Brian, the defensive back/safeties coach, is very personable. Belichick's son Steve, the defensive coordinator, they said, is the opposite.

"He has not talked or had a conversation with most of the guys on defense," a source said. "They don't even have his number."

https://www.wral.com/sports/belichick-coach-culture-chaos-oct-2025/

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26 minutes ago, Lebowski said:

So who do they leap frog based on what the CFP committee said back in August. 

O$U - 2 losses at Illinois and at Michigan
UM - 2 losses at OU and at SC
SC - 2 losses at Illinois and at Oregon
Illinois - 2 losses at IUFB and at Washington/Maryland
IU - 1 loss at PSU

I think UCLA would have to win 8 games for PSU to get in at 10-2.

The CFP says a lot of things that they don't end up doing. They change their "criteria" every single week on the rankings show leading up to selection day where it changes for the final time. Until their process becomes transparent, they can shove their preseason talking points into a deep, dark cavity.

A win at OSU (who I'd put good money on going better than 10-2) would be the best win in CFB this year and maybe in the last handful of years, then combine that with a 7-game winning streak including beating a hypothetically 11-1 Indiana. In your hypothetical, I'd put them over Illinois and SC without blinking, but I also don't buy the idea of the B1G having a log jam of 10-2 teams at the end.

And to be fair, again, PSU almost certainly isn't running the table anyway.

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43 minutes ago, Hovadipo said:

The CFP says a lot of things that they don't end up doing. They change their "criteria" every single week on the rankings show leading up to selection day where it changes for the final time. Until their process becomes transparent, they can shove their preseason talking points into a deep, dark cavity.

A win at OSU (who I'd put good money on going better than 10-2) would be the best win in CFB this year and maybe in the last handful of years, then combine that with a 7-game winning streak including beating a hypothetically 11-1 Indiana. In your hypothetical, I'd put them over Illinois and SC without blinking, but I also don't buy the idea of the B1G having a log jam of 10-2 teams at the end.

And to be fair, again, PSU almost certainly isn't running the table anyway.

https://collegefootballplayoff.com/news/2025/8/20/selection-committee-prepares-for-2025-26.aspx

Changes for the upcoming season include enhancements to the tools that the selection committee uses to assess schedule strength and how teams perform against their schedule. The current schedule strength metric has been adjusted to apply greater weight to games against strong opponents. An additional metric, record strength, has been added to the selection committee's analysis to go beyond a team's schedule strength to assess how a team performed against that schedule. This metric rewards teams defeating high-quality opponents while minimizing the penalty for losing to such a team. Conversely, these changes will provide minimal reward for defeating a lower-quality opponent while imposing a greater penalty for losing to such a team.

UCLA would still need to run the table in my opinion. That was a bad bad loss. Also, other 10-2 schools in other conferences would need to have a worse 'record strength metric' than PSU. And everyone and their mother knows the SEC is so effin' top heavy on this stupid SOS poop that they'll likely squeeze in a 10-2 SEC school over PSU. 

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The NCAA Division I Administrative Committee passed dates for the one-time-only college football transfer portal on Tuesday. The 2025 college football transfer portal will last from Jan. 2 to Jan. 16, the NCAA announced.

https://www.on3.com/news/ncaa-sets-dates-for-january-college-football-transfer-portal/

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