Bracketology and Team Resumes

[Uspshoosier]

As always it will depend on the wins they end up.   They could 9-11 in the B1G and with the right wins they will get in or the could  go 11-9 with the wrong wins and get left out.  Way too early to play the if they win this amount of games they are in 

[Uspshoosier]

IU as of Jan 5th 

11-3

Net-30

Sos-172

Non con-199

results based metrics average (high 40s /low 50s 

predictive average- low 20s 

Q1a (O-2) both away from home

Q1b( no games yet) 

Q2a(O-1) away from home 

Q2b(2-0) both at home 

Q3(2-0) 1 home and 1 away from home 

Next 5 games IU has 2 winnable home games against top 15 NET teams, a winnable road game against a NET 160 team( for reference Minny is 94 and that is a Q2a loss) and 2 road games against title contenders( these are bonus games if you win 1 of those it’s like winning 2 games and if you lose then you won’t get penalized by the NET

iu is still on track to make the tourney and make it in comfortably as long as they take advantage of their home games.  IU is not going to compete for a top 4 spot in the B1G however they middle 5-8 is very attainable.  Listening to national media that tracks with where they thought IU would be this year.  Listening to most on here that was where most IU was going to track.  Next few weeks will be interesting. If they start losing home games then they will have to steal some on the road. Buckle up 

[Stuhoo]

19 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

IU as of Jan 5th 

11-3

Net-30

Sos-172

Non con-199

results based metrics average (high 40s /low 50s 

predictive average- low 20s 

Q1a (O-2) both away from home

Q1b( no games yet) 

Q2a(O-1) away from home 

Q2b(2-0) both at home 

Q3(2-0) 1 home and 1 away from home 

Next 5 games IU has 2 winnable home games against top 15 NET teams, a winnable road game against a NET 160 team( for reference Minny is 94 and that is a Q2a loss) and 2 road games against title contenders( these are bonus games if you win 1 of those it’s like winning 2 games and if you lose then you won’t get penalized by the NET

iu is still on track to make the tourney and make it in comfortably as long as they take advantage of their home games.  IU is not going to compete for a top 4 spot in the B1G however they middle 5-8 is very attainable.  Listening to national media that tracks with where they thought IU would be this year.  Listening to most on here that was where most IU was going to track.  Next few weeks will be interesting. If they start losing home games then they will have to steal some on the road. Buckle up 

A less analytic good sign? Getting votes in both the coaches and writer's polls this week. Beat Maryland and win at home against Nebraska and we should be borderline ranked. 

Whether Pharrel Payne plays for Maryland will have a whole lot to do with whether this takes a happy path.

[Uspshoosier]

2 minutes ago, Stuhoo said:

A less analytic good sign? Getting votes in both the coaches and writer's polls this week. Beat Maryland and win at home against Nebraska and we should be borderline ranked. 

Whther Pharrel Payne plays for Maryland will have a whole lot to do with whether this takes a happy path.

Even if he plays they won’t have a better chance for a road win besides Rutgers moving forward.    Rutgers and Maryland are 2 of the 5 power 5 teams with the worst NET (Marquette is one of the bottom 5 as well)

[Stuhoo]

5 minutes ago, Uspshoosier said:

Even if he plays they won’t have a better chance for a road win besides Rutgers moving forward.    Rutgers and Maryland are 2 of the 5 power 5 teams with the worst NET (Marquette is one of the bottom 5 as well)

Then let's hope he sits, and that Maryland gets red hot when their best player by far returns.

[Uspshoosier]

IU missed out on 2 Q1a opportunities the last 2 games with one of those being at home.   Blew a 16 pt lead at home to a projected 2 seed and then gave up a 19-0 run after being tied in the 2nd half on the road to a projected 3 seed.  4 of IUs losses so far this year are Q1a.   IU has shown they are not going to be one of the top tier B1G teams however they will have plenty of opportunities against the bottom and middle of the B1G teams that they will need to take advantage. 
 If Iowa loses to Purdue on Wednesday then the Iowa/IU game becomes massive for both teams. 
 

Most important games  ranked moving forward for IU 

Iowa 

Wisky 

@Rutgers 

Minny 

Oregon 

@Ohio St 

Northwestern 

Sparty 

@Ucla 

@Usc 

Purdue 

@Illinios 

@Purdue 

@Michigan 

 

 

[Class of '66 Old Fart]

Torvik

[Uspshoosier]

Despite the 2 losses nothing has really changed for IU.   After watching the first couple games it was evident they would struggle with the top half of the B1G only surprise for me was that Nebraska is a legit top tier B1G team.   Ius season will come down to how they do against other teams fighting for a tourney spot.   IU is still projected in most brackets however as we all know brackets in January don’t really matter.   Their will be teams projected in that end up not making it and their will be teams projected out that make it.  
IU, Ohio St, Iowa, USC, UCLA, Wisky and maybe Washington will all be fighting for an at -large.    The top 5 in the league look to be solidly in.