Bracketology and Team Resumes

[Hovadipo 61,316]

  On 3/11/2025 at 4:35 PM, Uspshoosier said:

Watch his tv projections leading up to the selection and then watch his last 4 in and out on his last tv appearance.   He definitely does things for clicks and then when it gets closer submits the real one.  

So, reading between the lines here, he actually does suck that bad?

[Uspshoosier 53,937]

  On 3/11/2025 at 4:38 PM, Hovadipo said:

So, reading between the lines here, he actually does suck that bad?

He he has been going downhill for awhile but he is the face of bracketology so his bracket always carry’s weight especially for the casual fan.    Over the years once bracketology got more popular more and more people started doing it and have become really good at it.  Everyone respects Lunsrdi however everyone knows there are plenty of more accurate ones out there 

[HoosierFan1994 5,278]

  On 3/11/2025 at 2:55 PM, Hoosierfan1901 said:

Lundardi dropped us to Last 4 in

I was coming on here to post the same thing..how does Indiana go from one of the last 4 byes to last 4 in without playing.

[Hoosierfan1901 8,253]

  On 3/11/2025 at 5:31 PM, HoosierFan1994 said:

I was coming on here to post the same thing..how does Indiana go from one of the last 4 byes to last 4 in without playing.

Has to be clicks

[Jeff Flabjohns 2,715]

If we lose Thursday…our best case, and most likely spot, is in Dayton. That I feel sure about.

[Uspshoosier 53,937]

  On 3/11/2025 at 5:31 PM, HoosierFan1994 said:

I was coming on here to post the same thing..how does Indiana go from one of the last 4 byes to last 4 in without playing.

As a bracketologist you are always scrubbing your projected field when it gets closer. I’m not Lunardi however he probably did a scrubbing with teams close to the cut line and made the move.  Or he is the face of bracketology and knows a lot of casuals look at his projections and a school like IU in the last 4 in might move the needle more then other teams.   For me it’s close as well.  You won’t see much separation from those last 6 in and first 6 out 

[Uspshoosier 53,937]

One thing to keep an eye on is 7 of the 12 committee members are from mid or low majors.  Maybe this is the year more mid majors get selected then middlE of the pack high major teams. 

[HoosierFan1994 5,278]

  On 3/11/2025 at 5:40 PM, Uspshoosier said:

As a bracketologist you are always scrubbing your projected field when it gets closer. I’m not Lunardi however he probably did a scrubbing with teams close to the cut line and made the move.  Or he is the face of bracketology and knows a lot of casuals look at his projections and a school like IU in the last 4 in might move the needle more then other teams.   For me it’s close as well.  You won’t see much separation from those last 6 in and first 6 out 

Yeah Matrix has us as the 3rd to last team in. We aren't the lock I thought we would be after Saturday. 

[realTomCrean 2,742]

Field of 68 Projection:

[TheWatShot 15,457]

  On 3/11/2025 at 5:31 PM, HoosierFan1994 said:

I was coming on here to post the same thing..how does Indiana go from one of the last 4 byes to last 4 in without playing.

Was a bid stolen last night? That would be my guess. 

[Uspshoosier 53,937]

  On 3/11/2025 at 6:50 PM, TheWatShot said:

Was a bid stolen last night? That would be my guess. 

No bids were stolen. He just took a deeper look at resumes and moved them down 1 or 2 spots 

[HoosierHoopster 8,151]

Well, beat Oregon and don't sweat it. Team can consider it a game in which they control their own destiny, step it up and go dancing without sweating it.

[TadQueasy 2,523]

Purdue and High Point would be a fun matchup and would be great to see them knock off the Boilers! 

[realTomCrean 2,742]

[realTomCrean 2,742]

Based on the NET rankings posted above with similar projected seeds IU compares favorably in my eyes over: VCU, SDSU, Baylor, Xavier, and Vanderbilt.

A win over Oregon Thursday puts IU ahead of Oklahoma, Arkansas imo

[Uspshoosier 53,937]

  On 3/11/2025 at 7:03 PM, realTomCrean said:

Based on the NET rankings posted above with similar projected seeds IU compares favorably in my eyes over: VCU, SDSU, Baylor, Xavier, and Vanderbilt.

A win over Oregon Thursday puts IU ahead of Oklahoma, Arkansas imo

You could argue IU  is already ahead of Oklahoma 

[realTomCrean 2,742]

  On 3/11/2025 at 7:12 PM, Uspshoosier said:

You could argue IU  is already ahead of Oklahoma 

That was my original thought, but what matters more historically: a flawless Q2-Q4 or number of Q1 wins? 

[hoosiersoxfan 694]

  On 3/11/2025 at 7:12 PM, Uspshoosier said:

You could argue IU  is already ahead of Oklahoma 

Would be helpful if OK and ARK both lost their first games in the SEC tournament

[Uspshoosier 53,937]

  On 3/11/2025 at 7:14 PM, realTomCrean said:

That was my original thought, but what matters more historically: a flawless Q2-Q4 or number of Q1 wins? 

Depends on what this years committee values more.   It changes yearly with the turnover of committee members.  I’ve seen teams get left out with a bunch of Q1 wins and I’ve also seen them left out for having bad losses.  That doesn’t help you sorry but it’s a moving target.  Us that project this has to take clues from the committee revealing their top 16 in February and project from there.  The year IU got  a 4 seed I projected it when most on this board thought 5 of 6 seed and it was because during their top 16 reveal earlier in the year they valued high end road wins for teams.  Ius road win at Xavier that ended up a 3 seed moved IU up some seed lines.  I personally haven’t went back and looked at what this years committee has valued.   I will do that when it gets closer to Sunday 

[Uspshoosier 53,937]

Oklahoma is 6-12 in conference.  Everyone should know conference record doesn’t matter to the committee however if they get an at-large bid that  will be the worse conference record for a team to receive an at-large.   They say they view teams on overall body of work.  I believe them however 6-12 is hard to ignore if I was a member and we were comparing resumes