College Football Thread

[Demo 19,965]

17 minutes ago, Lebowski said:

I saw this stat and wonder if it's just matchups or is the two+ time zone travel actually an issue. I'm too lazy to look up home field advantage victories this year. I just know IUFB is undefeated. ;-)

Yeah, 3-7 against the spread may indicate there’s a travel impact, but will be interesting to see if that holds as the sample size grows.

[Lebowski 2,730]

4 hours ago, Demo said:

Yeah, 3-7 against the spread may indicate there’s a travel impact, but will be interesting to see if that holds as the sample size grows.

I completely understand what you're saying here and somewhat agree. But I'm still in the "wait and see the season play out" mode if that makes sense. The favored teams are basically winning (8-2) the games. 

This week's two+ time zone travel 
MINN (-5) at UCLA
O$U (-3) at ORE
PSU (-4) at USC
WASH (+3) at IOWA

This week all of these games minus MINN v UCLA are really good games with a lot of parity and I won't be surprised if all road teams win this week. I also won't be surprised, based on how this year has gone, that spreads won't be covered. I think this might be the week that will test the time zone travel theory because most of the road teams are favored. I think if anything, the oddsmakers aren't adjusting properly. 

[johnsoniu 6,420]

19 hours ago, Demo said:

Yeah, 3-7 against the spread may indicate there’s a travel impact, but will be interesting to see if that holds as the sample size grows.

I would guess that percentage against the spread will stay close to that 70% number, with one caveat. As the board's resident degenerate gambler, I have used a similar model for NFL games for years. West coast teams traveling 2+ time zones AND playing the in the 1 o'clock games  fail to cover as a favorite about 65% of the time. That's using about 20 years of data. East coast teams traveling west don't seem to have the same results, they are closer to 50%. Something about the body being able to reset its clock easier with the added time, or some sort of physiological mish mash that I didn't pay attention to in biology class.

[IUFootballHappyHappyJoyJoy 749]

On 10/10/2024 at 11:28 AM, Lebowski said:

I completely understand what you're saying here and somewhat agree. But I'm still in the "wait and see the season play out" mode if that makes sense. The favored teams are basically winning (8-2) the games. 

This week's two+ time zone travel 
MINN (-5) at UCLA
O$U (-3) at ORE
PSU (-4) at USC
WASH (+3) at IOWA

This week all of these games minus MINN v UCLA are really good games with a lot of parity and I won't be surprised if all road teams win this week. I also won't be surprised, based on how this year has gone, that spreads won't be covered. I think this might be the week that will test the time zone travel theory because most of the road teams are favored. I think if anything, the oddsmakers aren't adjusting properly. 

Don't convince the mad lads to add a Mountain Time Zone program.  It was bad enough to put teams on the Pacific coast.

[LIHoosier 26,165]

Bama's an onside kick recovery from escaping against mighty South Carolina.

And the other SC just recovered it. Game on!

[Hovadipo 56,125]

1 minute ago, LIHoosier said:

Bama's an onside kick recovery from escaping against mighty South Carolina.

Well,

[Demo 19,965]

4 minutes ago, LIHoosier said:

Bama's an onside kick recovery from escaping against mighty South Carolina.

And the other SC just recovered it. Game on!

That was an awesome onside kick. So much sidespin it looked like it picked up speed when it hit the 1st kid.

[LamarCheeks 18,902]

While its late TD and onside kick were impressive, South Carolina's final series was not. 

Didn't even gain a yard. 

[rayl456 501]

USC up on Penn St   14-3.  The Trojans running on Tom Allen’s D…140 yds with 13 minutes to go in the half.

[southsidehoosier 5,023]

A lot of teams getting exposed today

[Hovadipo 56,125]

The Penn State Paper Tigers imo

[mamasa 15,298]

Purdue looking like contenders….

[LIHoosier 26,165]

6 minutes ago, mamasa said:

Purdue looking like contenders….

Ladies and gentlemen, the cradle of quarterbacks

[reconmkd 4,398]

Poor PurdooDoo! Their radio announcer said they are running out of toes to shoot! Lmao!

[Hovadipo 56,125]

I played the over on Ashton Jeanty’s yardage line tonight at 183.5. Just insanely bad value, but can’t put a price on feeling like I’m a part of history. Tell the grandkids about it some day. 

[Demo 19,965]

1 hour ago, Hovadipo said:

The Penn State Paper Tigers imo

As hard as the B1G has been promoting Drew Allar as a Guy for years, I have a suggestion: pay me not to watch him. I’ve never seen that kid exceptional a single time. 

[Hovadipo 56,125]

17 minutes ago, Demo said:

As hard as the B1G has been promoting Drew Allar as a Guy for years, I have a suggestion: pay me not to watch him. I’ve never seen that kid exceptional a single time. 

Got some Will Levis to him. The idea of Drew Allar is much, MUCH better than the player. 

[LIHoosier 26,165]

Allar's gonna look awesome if a checkdown gets untouched to the end zone

[reconmkd 4,398]

WTH Illinois?

[mamasa 15,298]

Damn purdue