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Posted
25 minutes ago, brumdog45 said:

I will post more detailed stats tomorrow, but I ran 20 sims of Purdue at IU.  Very interesting results.  Purdue won 11 sims, IU 9.  15 of the 20 sims were decided by single digits.  7 were decided by three points or less or went overtime.

Average score was Purdue 73.8, IU 71.6.

We have some flat earthers but I appreciate these

Posted

Stats for the sims (note that numbers all come out as even and none odd because the game produces an average for each stat to the nearest tenth, and in 20 sims you can't tell if it was exactly even or odd:

Indiana:  534/1196 from the field (45%), 120/344 from three (35%), 244/354 from the line (69%), 792 rebounds, 354 fouls, 322 assists, 276 turnovers, 80 blocks, 102 steals, 71.6 ppg

Purdue:  534/1288 from the field (41%), 158/458 from three (34%), 252/352 from the line (72%), 764 rebounds, 330 fouls, 292 assists, 212 turnovers, 58 blocks, 126 steals, 73.8 ppg

Razor thin margins.  IU up 1.4 rebounds per game but turns it over 3.2 times more per game;  IU actually commits more fouls (1.2 per game).  IU projected to shoot a higher percentage from the field, but Purdue gets more shots up and hits more threes because they take more.

Individual stats:

IU:

TJD 20 games, 33 mpg, 130/268 from the field (49%), 0/1 from three, 90/140 from the line (65%), 226 rebounds, 64 fouls, 36 assists, 50 turnovers, 44 blocks, 18 steals, 17.6 ppg

Johnson:  20 games, 25 mpg, 70/154 from the field (46%), 18/56 from three (32%), 46/64 from the line (72%), 82 rebounds, 30 fouls, 70 assists, 44 turnovers, 12 steals, 10.3 ppg

Thompson:  20 games, 28 mpg, 86/166 from the field (52%), 28/46 from the line (63%), 180 rebounds, 48 assists, 34 turnovers, 8 blocks, 18 steals, 10.1 ppg

Stewart:  20 games, 25 mpg, 64/134 from the field (47%), 46/100 from three (46%), 5/9 from the line (56%), 40 rebounds, 42 fouls, 24 assists, 12 turnovers, 2 blocks, 8 steals, 8.9 ppg

Kopp:  20 games, 28 mpg, 52/124 from the field (42%), 22/58 from three (40%), 22/24 from the line (96%), 82 rebounds, 52 fouls, 36 assists, 18 turnovers, 16 steals, 7.6 ppg

Galloway:  20 games, 16 mpg, 38/82 from the field (46%), 5/26 from three (19%), 14/22 from the line (65%), 32 rebounds, 22 fouls, 38 assists, 28 turnovers, 2 blocks, 4 steals, 4.8 ppg

Phin:  20 games, 16 mpg, 32/94 from the field (34%), 12/44 from three (27%), 3/4 from the line (75%), 44 rebounds, 24 fouls, 28 assists ,22 turnovers, 2 blocks, 6 steals, 3.9 ppg

Bates:  20 games, 13 mpg, 26/75 from the field (36%), 12/38 from three (32%), 8/9 from the line (89%), 8 rebounds, 14 fouls, 14 assists, 18 turnovers, 6 steals, 3.7 ppg

Geronimo:  20 games, 13 mpg, 25/74 from the field (34%), 4/18 from three (22%), 13/20 from the line (65%), 66 rebounds,20 fouls, 16 assists, 22 turnvoers, 14 blocks, 8 steals, 3.4 ppg

Durr:  20 games, 7 mpg, 5/17 from the field (29%), 10/14 from the line (71%), 26 rebounds, 34 fouls, 8 assists, 20 turnovers, 4 blocks, 1.0 ppg

Purdue stats (I missed totaling one game for Purdue, so stats are for 19 sims):

Ivey:  19 games, 30 mpg, 102/233 from the field (44%), 32/101 from three (32%), 69/90 from the line (77%), 38 fouls, 100 rebounds, 56 assists, 37 turnovers, 6 blocks, 12 steals, 16.1 ppg

Stefanovic, 19 games, 30 mpg, 87/207 from the field (42%), 54/143 from three (38%), 38/51 from the line (75%), 28 fouls, 47 rebounds, 59 assists, 24 turnovers, 8 steals, 14.0 ppg

Edey:  19 games, 22 mpg, 94/211 from the field (45%), 1/1 from three, 33/51 from the line (65%), 59 fouls, 204 rebounds, 16 assists, 35 turnovers, 27 blocks, 18 steals, 11.7 ppg

Williams:  19 games, 19 mpg, 73/176 from the field (41%), 6/17 from three (35%), 41/65 from the line (63%), 54 fouls, 160 rebounds, 52 assists, 23 turnovers, 4 blocks, 20 steals, 10.2 ppg

Thompson:  19 games, 24 mpg, 30/85 from the field (35%), 22/63 from three (35%), 6/10 from the line (60%), 24 fouls, 21 rebounds, 26 assists, 12 turnovers, 15 steals, 4.6 ppg

Gillis:  19 games, 19 mpg, 27/62 from the field (44%), 9/28 from three (32%), 12/12 from the line, 37 fouls, 58 rebounds, 8 assists, 16 turnovers, 10 blocks, 13 steals, 4.0 ppg

Furst:  19 games, 21 mpg, 27/73 from the field (37%), 6/16 from three (38%), 13/21 from the line (62%), 41 fouls, 90 rebounds, 9 assists, 24 turnovers, 5 blocks, 4 steals, 3.8 ppg

Newman:  19 games, 7 mpg, 21/58 from the field (36%), 11/37 from three (30%), 17/17 from the line, 11 fouls, 12 rebounds, 6 assists, 6 turnovers, 4 steals, 3.7 ppg

Hunter:  19 games, 21 mpg, 28/80 from the field (35%), 4/23 from three (17%), 7/15 from the line (47%), 14 fouls, 25 rebounds, 27 assists, 19 turnovers, 1 block, 13 steals, 3.5 ppg

Morton:  19 games, 10 mpg, 13/31 from the field (42%), 3/8 from three (38%), 4/4 from the line, 7 fouls, 11 rebounds, 14 assists, 5 turnovers, 13 steals, 1.7 ppg

 

 

 

 

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