College Football Thread

[RaceToTheTop 25,013]

AP Rankings out.  IU at 10 behind Tennessee and SMU.  Boise State at 11, Clemson at 12.

Nightmare scenario would be Clemson beating South Carolina and the committee thinking that SMU, MIami, and Clemson all deserve to be in over IU.

[RaceToTheTop 25,013]

41 minutes ago, RaceToTheTop said:

AP Rankings out.  IU at 10 behind Tennessee and SMU.  Boise State at 11, Clemson at 12.

Nightmare scenario would be Clemson beating South Carolina and the committee thinking that SMU, MIami, and Clemson all deserve to be in over IU.

FWIW, on NCAA.com they were projecting that Tennessee would be ranked 8th, IU 9th, Boise State 10th, SMU 11th and Clemson would be at 14.  I can not explain how in the hell SMU moved up to 9.

[rayl456 476]

Probably already posted, so apologies, but Tulsa fired Kevin Wilson today.  Not that anyone really cares…just fyi.   :)

[Alford Bailey 12,355]

5 hours ago, RaceToTheTop said:

I found where the '106th SOS' came from.  It was ESPN's FPI.  And AFTER the Ohio State game, IU's SOS jumped to #51 on it.  (FPI SOS stinks, FWIW -- IU did NOT have the 106th toughest schedule entering and there is no way SOS should jump 55 spots in week 13).

Also, FWIW, ESPN FPI projects IU with a 97.7% chance to make the playoffs (so basically, just need to beat Purdue).  

Percentage chance to make CFP:
Oregon 99.8%

Ohio State 99.5%

Penn State 98.9%

Texas 97.9%

Indiana 97.7%

Georgia 90.6%

Notre Dame 90.1%

MIami 79.6%

Tennessee 76.3%

Boise St 68%

SMU 62.5%

Alabama 37.4%

Iowa State 27.5%

Arizona State 25.9%

BYU 25.5%

Tulane 24.8%

Clemson 23.8%

South Carolina 23.1%

UNLV 15.9%
 

Army 12.6%

Colorado 6.7%

Texas A&M 6.3%

Ole Miss 6.2%

Everyone else is below 2%

Still giving Alabama a 37% chance lol!

[RaceToTheTop 25,013]

33 minutes ago, Alford Bailey said:

Still giving Alabama a 37% chance lol!

With the latest rankings, I have to say that IU's 98% is inflated given that the voters have SMU and Tennessee both above IU and moved Clemson all the way up to 12.  That doesn't necessarily mean that the CFP will have them in that order, 

My gut says is Indiana is going to be the 10 or 11 seed in the CFP release on Tuesday -- depending on what they do with SMU.  And you will need to keep in mind that the 12 seed will likely be Boise State, so that means the 11 seed is the last at large.  My fear is that Clemson beats South Carolina, Miami beats Syracuse, and SMU beats California and the committee decides that Miami and SMU (who play in the title game) would not be penalized for playing each other and they decide Clemson should leap frog Indiana because of their win over South Carolina.  IMO, that wouldn't be a just decision -- the ACC is weak and the three didn't play each other in the regular season, meaning the best in conference team any of them would have played is unranked Syracuse or Louisville.  But in my opinion, you can't put all three in because at best two of them would have two losses (including the title game loser) and none of their losses were to competition as good as Ohio State (and Clemson was dominated as badly as IU was against Georgia).

Lines of games with CFP significance this week (from Vegas Insider):
Tennessee 10.5 favorite at Vanderbilt

Ohio State 10 point favorite over Michigan

Clemson 4.5 favorite over South Carolina

Alabama 15 point favorite over Auburn

SMU 9 point favorite over California

Miami 10 point favorite at Syracuse

Texas 4 point favorite at Texas A&M

Oregon 18.5 favorite over Washington

Penn State 23.5 favorite over Maryland

Georgia 20.5 favorite over Georgia Tech

Indiana 28 point favorite over Purdue

Ole Miss 30 point favorite over Mississippi State

[hoopsta007 396]

So in everyone’s opinion, after the lack of class by OSU and their ilk (typical, I know), is it counterproductive to root for Michigan and then Oregon? Not sure that Penn St and IU can jump OSU so would that in turn hurt our chances?

[TheWatShot 13,683]

35 minutes ago, hoopsta007 said:

So in everyone’s opinion, after the lack of class by OSU and their ilk (typical, I know), is it counterproductive to root for Michigan and then Oregon? Not sure that Penn St and IU can jump OSU so would that in turn hurt our chances?

They could lose every remaining game by 50 for all I care. Screw those turds.