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seanmm1971

Kentucky Derby

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bout time to resurrect this topic, is there another pharaoh in making?  I haven't really been paying much attention this spring, does baffert have his usual strong horse? pletcher? assmussen? maybe a new shooter? lets hear your early picks.

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AP Top 10.

1. Nyquist (Doug O'Neill, trainer; Mario Gutierrez, jockey): Unbeaten 2-year-old champ on way to South Florida for showdown with Mohaymen. ... Worked 5 furlongs in 1:03 at Santa Anita on Friday. ... Next start: Florida Derby, Gulfstream Park, Saturday. ... Derby odds (pool 3): 7-1.

2. Mohaymen (Kiaran McLaughlin, Junior Alvarado): Trainer back from Dubai to get unbeaten colt set for toughest test yet. ... Fountain of Youth winner worked 4 furlongs in 48.80 at Palm Meadows last week. ... Next start: Florida Derby. ... Odds: 7-2.

3. Cupid (Bob Baffert, Martin Garcia): Rebel winner back at Santa Anita prepping for one more start before trip to Louisville. ... Next start: Arkansas Derby, April 16, Oaklawn Park. ... Odds: 36-1.

4. Danzing Candy (Cliff Sise Jr., Mike Smith): San Felipe winner worked 5 furlongs in speedy 58.60 at Santa Anita on Saturday. ... Winner of three straight after running eighth in first race. ... Next start: Santa Anita Derby, Santa Anita, April 9. ... Odds: 17-1.

5. Mor Spirit (Baffert, Gary Stevens): Baffert looking for eighth Santa Anita Derby win. ... San Felipe runner-up worked 4 furlongs in 47.80 at Santa Anita last week. ... Next start: Santa Anita Derby. ... Odds: 12-1.

6. Gun Runner (Steve Asmussen, Florent Geroux): Overpowered field to win Louisiana Derby. ... Comes into Derby with four wins in five races. ... Leads in Derby qualifying points with 151. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, May 7. ... Odds: 25-1.

7. Shagaf (Chad Brown, Irad Ortiz Jr.): Gotham winner worked 5 furlongs in 1:00.10 at Belmont on Saturday. ... Like top 2, colt is also unbeaten. ... Next start: Wood Memorial, Aqueduct, April 9. ... Odds: 14-1.

8. Destin (Todd Pletcher, Javier Castellano): Could run one more time before Derby. ... Options still Blue Grass, Wood or Arkansas Derby for final prep. ... Next start: Undecided. ... Odds: 15-1.

9. Lani (Mikio Matsunaga, Yutaka Take): Won UAE Derby to clinch trip back home to Kentucky. ... Bred in Kentucky, races in Japan. ... Has three wins in last four races. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 5-1 (mutuel field).

10. Zulu (Pletcher, John Velazquez): Fountain of Youth runner-up worked 4 furlongs in 49.43 at Palm Beach Downs on Saturday. ... Next start: Florida Derby. ... Odds: 26-1.

 

 

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There is almost nothing better than the First Saturday in May.  Absolutely one of my favorite sporting events...especially when you can attend.  

This and Bourbon are the only good things about Kentucky.  

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AP final Top 10.

1. Nyquist (Doug O'Neill, trainer; Mario Gutierrez, jockey): All good on Nyquist front after final workout at Keeneland. ... Owner, trainer, rider won 2012 Derby, Preakness with I'll Have Another. ... A perfect 7-0 record. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, May 7. ... Derby odds: 3-1 (future wager).

2. Gun Runner (Steve Asmussen, Florent Geroux): Trainer now a Hall of Famer in search of first Derby win. ... Louisiana Derby winner Gun Runner worked 6 furlongs in 1:12.20 at Churchill on Monday. ... Geroux has first Derby mount. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 13-1.

3. Exaggerator (Keith Desormeaux, Kent Desormeaux): Santa Anita Derby winner worked 5 furlongs in 1:02.60 at Churchill Downs on Saturday. ... Santa Anita Derby winners have won two of last four Derbys. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 27-1.

4. Mor Spirit (Bob Baffert, Gary Stevens): Can Baffert do it again? ... Colt has been first or second in seven career starts. ... Runner-up in last two preps, San Felipe and Santa Anita Derby. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 11-1.

5. Brody's Cause (Dale Romans, Luis Saez): Might be peaking at right time based on Blue Grass win. ... Worked 5 furlongs in 1:01.80 at Churchill Downs on Saturday. ... First of three wins came at Churchill last year. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 10-1 (mutuel field).

6. Mohaymen (Kiaran McLaughlin, Junior Alvarado): Looks to make amends for only loss in six starts. ... Ran fourth in Florida Derby after five Grade 2 wins. ... Worked 4 furlongs in 47.40 at Churchill on Friday. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 13-1.

7. Outwork (Todd Pletcher, John Velazquez): Wood winner is one of three sons of Uncle Mo in Derby. ... Worked 5 furlongs in 1:01.20 at Churchill on Friday ... Ran second to stablemate Destin in Tampa Bay Derby. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 30-1.

8. Destin (Pletcher, Javier Castellano): Eight-week layoff for Tampa Bay Derby winner. ... Worked 5 furlongs in 1:01.20 at Churchill on Friday. ... Has three wins in five starts. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 16-1.

9. Creator (Asmussen, Ricardo Santana): Arkansas Derby winner worked 5 furlongs in 1:02.40 at Churchill Downs on Monday. ... Likely long shot with just two wins in nine races. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 58-1.

10. Danzing Candy (Cliff Sise, Jr., Mike Smith): San Felipe winner among strong contingent of California-based horses. ... Ran fourth in Santa Anita Derby. ... Worked 5 furlongs in 59.60 at San Luis Rey Downs on Saturday. ... Next start: Kentucky Derby. ... Odds: 16-1.

---

Keep an eye on: Lani, My Man Sam, Mo Tom, Suddenbreakingnews, Whitmore.

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Nyquist made it look easy, Mario Gutierrez rode a tactically flawless race. I think the only thing that stops a second triple crown in as many years is injury. This horse is special.

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Completely disagree. I don't think he has the stamina for Belmont. The whip moved to the horses rear (rather than the side), which is typically a sign the horse is exhausted, too early in the stretch. I think he has a shot at the Preakness but, field dependent, I'd bet elsewhere at Belmont.

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