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I simmed 10 games, neutral court, of IU v Notre Dame to see how it would predict the outcome.  I put Leal in the ten man rotation over Lander since that is what the rotation appears to be.

IU won 7 times, Notre Dame 3 times.  Average score was IU 67.1, Notre Dame 62.0.

Team stats:  IU 26.5/55.9 from the field (47%), 4.9/12.6 from three (39%), 9.2/13.1 from the line (70%), 40.6 rebounds, 15.4 turnovers.

Notre Dame stats:  23.4/65.4 from the field (36%), 6.6/20.7 from three (32%), 8.6/12.2 from the line (70%), 36.3 rebounds, 10.5 turnovers.

IU stats:

TJD:  32 mpg, 71/130 from the field (55%), 33/46 from the line (72%), 80 rebounds, 16 assists, 18 blocks, 13 steals, 19 turnovers, 17.5 ppg

Kopp:  28 mpg, 36/76 from the field (47%), 19/35 from three (54%), 17/17 from the line, 45 rebounds, 14 assists, 5 blocks, 4 steals, 10 turnovers, 10.8 ppg

Johnson:  25 mpg, 36/66 from the field (55%), 6/12 from three (50%), 17/23 from the line (74%), 33 rebounds, 32 assists, 8 steals, 38 turnovers, 9.5 ppg

Thompson:  28 mpg, 39/93 from the field (42%), 0/1 from three, 17/24 from the line (71%), 114 rebounds, 19 assists, 5 steals, 5 blocks, 21 turnovers, 9.5 ppg

Stewart:  25 mpg, 29/68 from the field (43%), 18/48 from three (38%), 1/3 from the line, 21 rebounds, 7 assists, 4 steals, 6 turnovers, 7.7 ppg

Bates:  16 mpg, 22/51 from the field (43%), 5/14 from three (36%), 1/1 from the line, 3 rebounds, 6 assists, 2 steals, 2 blocks, 7 turnovers, 5.0 ppg

Geronimo:  14 mpg, 16/33 from the line (48%), 0/8 from three, 1/8 from the line (13%), 58 rebounds, 6 assists, 10 steals, 4 blocks, 14 turnovers, 3.3 ppg

Leal:  11 mpg, 8/21 from the field (38%), 1/8 from three (13%), 7 rebounds, 6 assists, 3 steals, 6 turnovers, 1.7 ppg

Durr:  7 mpg, 5/10 from the field (50%), 5/9 from the line (56%), 15 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, 2 steals, 13 turnovers, 1.5 ppg

Phinissee:  15 mpg, 3/11 from the field (27%), 17 assists, 2 steals, 5 blocks, 20 turnovers, 0.6 ppg

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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