The math of getting into the NCAA tourney

[Uspshoosier]

Have to go 12-6 in conference most likely to get in at this point.  But just for reference,  how many B1G teams have ever won 11 conference games and missed the dance?  I'm guessing not many.

Ohio st (2015-16 season)


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[Uspshoosier]

There will be plenty of opportunities to get quality wins in the B1G. Everyone here and myself included can see that the B1G is as bad as it has been in a while. However when I look it without my fan eyes but with my bracketologist eyes the opportunities will be there. IU could win 9 games in the B1G and as long as those 9 would be Tier 1 wins they could get in depending on how the rest of the county did. As of today( these numbers will change) the B1G has 6 teams in the rpi top 54 and 4 more in the 55-90 range
Of IU schedule they have the opportunity for 8 Tier 1 wins and a couple of Tier 2 wins
Tier 1. Home(1-30 rpi)
Neutral (1-50 rpi)
Away (1-75 rpi)
Tier 2. Home(31-75)
Neutral (51-100)
Away (76-135)
It will be interesting to see how the committee selects this year. I’m looking forward to it


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[BottomLine]

6 hours ago, Uspshoosier said:

There will be plenty of opportunities to get quality wins in the B1G. Everyone here and myself included can see that the B1G is as bad as it has been in a while. However when I look it without my fan eyes but with my bracketologist eyes the opportunities will be there. IU could win 9 games in the B1G and as long as those 9 would be Tier 1 wins they could get in depending on how the rest of the county did. As of today( these numbers will change) the B1G has 6 teams in the rpi top 54 and 4 more in the 55-90 range
Of IU schedule they have the opportunity for 8 Tier 1 wins and a couple of Tier 2 wins
Tier 1. Home(1-30 rpi)
Neutral (1-50 rpi)
Away (1-75 rpi)
Tier 2. Home(31-75)
Neutral (51-100)
Away (76-135)
It will be interesting to see how the committee selects this year. I’m looking forward to it


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Home and Away with Mich St, Minn, OSU, Ill        Home only with PSU, NW, Mary, Purd         Away only with Wisc, Rut, Iowa, Neb

We are done with Michigan and have had our home game with Iowa.  Where do we find 11 more conference wins?  I agree the opportunities are there, but which ones can we take advantage of?

22 hours ago, DChoosier said:

Please allow me to provide the crib notes version of your 5 paragraph post.  It is:

No way in hell we are getting into the tourney.

I count it as slim and none.  We would need to go on a big winning streak in the conference and finish in the top 4, probably not going to happen.  Or, win the Big Ten tourney.  Yeah and pigs can fly too.  Don't think we are even make the picked over rejects tournament this year.