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Everything posted by RaceToTheTop
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Not good ball movement but a lot of that is standing around. Bryson Tucker's shot selection is just so bad. Fade away shots and missed three point shots. The fact that he's just under 40% for the season show he can score because you shouldn't hit 40% of the shots he's taking.....but HE HAS TO BE TAUGHT TO TAKE BETTER SHOTS. Iowa isn't good defensively but they are taking away guys who could thrive in a game like this. Galloway...no shots. Goode has two. I love love love Leal but man he has to look at the basket....at least present himself as a perimeter threat. He's definitely a positive and right now they need him in but his ceiling is higher if he just hits a couple of shots.
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IUFB 2024/25 Portalstravaganza
RaceToTheTop replied to Naturalhoosier's topic in Indiana Football Recruiting Forum
Personally, I don't believe him. Have to remember there like 6 times the number of D1 college football players compared to NFL players and 11 times the number D1 college basketball players compared to NBA players. Law of supply and demand says that there is no way college players would be so desperate that they'd be paying 20% commission UNLESS the agent also served to hunt down those NIL opportunities. -
I'm assuming that Illinois' Kasparas Jukicionis will be back when they play IU. He was initially a game time decision against Penn State and then didn't play again today against USC. Think that Underwood took the risk that they wouldn't need him today in a home game against USC (didn't pay off if he did).
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Iowa State wins in OT 84-83 at Texas Tech. Tech inbounded with 4.1 and had a decent look at the buzzer.
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Bracketology and Team Resumes
RaceToTheTop replied to Uspshoosier's topic in Indiana Men's Basketball
The only non-power 5 teams in the top 50 in NET are: Gonzaga (10) Utah State (27) San Diego State (31) Memphis (32) UC San Diego (43) St. Mary's (46) UC Irvine (50) Given that these teams are more likely to play fewer games that drive up their net significantly and more games that could lower it, I would think that ultimately there will end up being fewer in the top 50. -
Just the opposite -- he asked how many had been decided by more. 2 of the 10 have been decided by less, 8 of the 10 by more.
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Should be noted that if Ewers were to end up at Oregon that they've already taken a quarterback from the SEC that was worse there than Ewers and turned him into the GUY. Bo Nix was JAG at Auburn but was a GUY at Oregon.
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Ohio State finished fourth in the Big Ten. Meanwhile, the fourth team in the SEC that the media was feeding should have been in the CFP lost the ReliaQuest bowl to a 7-5 Big Ten team.
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Forgot about him. I don't think we gained much traction with him, but he's doing well at Xavier. The one under-the-radar guy I was clamoring for that never received IU interest was VCU's Toby Lowal. English kid who can leap out of the building and was raw. 6'8" kid who mostly played inside but was starting to develop a mid range game. Not eye popping stats, averaged 7.7 points and 6.0 rebounds but did that in 19 minutes per game and was very efficient. He ended up at Virginia Tech where he is their leading scorers. 12.3 points and 5.7 rebounds in 25 minutes/game. Shooting 62% overall and 38% from three (on 24 attempts) in 15 games.
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Bracketology and Team Resumes
RaceToTheTop replied to Uspshoosier's topic in Indiana Men's Basketball
Just based on my WAR from last year, entering the Big Ten conference tournament: 18-13, 9-11 in conference or worse: not in 19-12, 10-10 in conference: sweating out the selection; my projection is slightly out but not out of the question. 20-11, 11-9 in conference; in as a 10 or 11, either as last four byes or last four in 21-10, 12-8 in conference; 9 seed 22-9, 13-7 in conference: 6 or 7 seed 23-8, 14-6 in conference; 4 seed 24-7, 15-5 in conference; 3 seed now just getting silly. 25-6, 16-4 in conference; 2 seed 26-5, 17-3 in conference or better; 1 seed -
Bracketology and Team Resumes
RaceToTheTop replied to Uspshoosier's topic in Indiana Men's Basketball
Current WAB values for the rest of the season for IU (the plus WAB numbers are what IU would get for winning; minus WAB is what gets subtracted for a loss). Obviously the values will get changed based on the play of their opponents. at Iowa win +.65, loss -.35 Illinois win +.69, loss -.31 at Ohio State win +.59, loss -.41 at Northwestern win +.59, loss -.41 Maryland win +.52, loss -.48 at Purdue win +.79, loss -.21 at Wisconsin win +.78, loss -.22 Michigan win +.66, loss -.34 at Michigan State win .81, loss -.19 UCLA win +.48, loss -.52 Purdue win +.53, loss -.47 Penn State win +.30, loss -.70 at Washington win +.33, loss -.67 at Oregon win +.75, loss -.25 Ohio State win +.35, loss -.65 Based on WAB, a bubble team would win go 6-9 against that slate. Since IU is currently 13-3 and 4-1 in conference, that would put the Hoosiers at 19-12 overall and 10-10 in conference. IU's current WAB is +1.1; technically an overall WAB of 0 should put you firmly on the bubble but from my experience calculating WAR from last year (which comes out very similarly to WAB), a number of +1.0 is more likely than not to put you in. So I would say that a 19-12 and 10-10 record puts IU squarely on the bubble while a 20-11 and 11-9 conference record most likely has IU in. FWIW, IU's WAB of +1.1 right now ranks 37th. For all intents and purposes, you can project their season ending WAB by taking their final season number of wins -19 and then adding 1.1. You want to have a positive number at the end of the year and the more above one you are, the safer you are.
