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cleeter

Senior Member
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  1. Haha
    cleeter got a reaction from Chris007 in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    As my late father would say, "Numbers are never wrong, we built nukes and landed on the moon with that ****"
  2. Haha
    cleeter got a reaction from Chris007 in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    As my late father would say, "Numbers are never wrong, we built nukes and landed on the moon with that ****"
  3. Haha
    cleeter got a reaction from Chris007 in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    As my late father would say, "Numbers are never wrong, we built nukes and landed on the moon with that ****"
  4. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from HoosierCoop in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Dont know if IUphilly from Peegs is on here, but wanted to cite his name for saying this because i am stealing this because i think he nails it on the head

    Some of these discussions on coaches seem a bit backward-looking. It’s like the guy is on trial for PAST coaching failures and we’re the jury deciding whether to punish or absolve.

    If you look at the history of coaches that get into these situations, the only relevant question seems to be “can he get out” and still meet the program’s expectations? Most of the historical data I’ve seen paints a none-too-happy picture for coaches who have both declining recruiting trajectory and a steep win-loss drop after the honeymoon ends. It’s why on X’s and Joes and other venues, I’ve always stressed how vital it is to keep recruiting momentum throughout the early years and at least keep a reasonable trend going on the court.

    The issue you run into is that the momentum that keeps building downward from losing and poor play simply builds on itself…and just adds more weight the further down you go, much like the physics of a rockslide. That may be the way Dolson has to frame it in his own head when discussing “the escape plan” with Woody.

    Consider the context: You’re a sub-100 KenPom squad. You’re going to lose several key pieces that will drop your baseline even further down. The question is: How are you going to make a roster jump equivalent to 100+ KenPom spots in 45 days of the portal (15 days less than last year after NCAA rule change) when you couldn’t keep the roster momentum steady with the benefit of a honeymoon and a window of 2 full years?

    I’m not suggesting there is “no way out”, but just given the history of how few coaches ever escape this scenario and how much portal success you’ll need to vault out of the building rockslide, the probabilities of a happy ending aren’t great as of today.
  5. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from HoosierCoop in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Dont know if IUphilly from Peegs is on here, but wanted to cite his name for saying this because i am stealing this because i think he nails it on the head

    Some of these discussions on coaches seem a bit backward-looking. It’s like the guy is on trial for PAST coaching failures and we’re the jury deciding whether to punish or absolve.

    If you look at the history of coaches that get into these situations, the only relevant question seems to be “can he get out” and still meet the program’s expectations? Most of the historical data I’ve seen paints a none-too-happy picture for coaches who have both declining recruiting trajectory and a steep win-loss drop after the honeymoon ends. It’s why on X’s and Joes and other venues, I’ve always stressed how vital it is to keep recruiting momentum throughout the early years and at least keep a reasonable trend going on the court.

    The issue you run into is that the momentum that keeps building downward from losing and poor play simply builds on itself…and just adds more weight the further down you go, much like the physics of a rockslide. That may be the way Dolson has to frame it in his own head when discussing “the escape plan” with Woody.

    Consider the context: You’re a sub-100 KenPom squad. You’re going to lose several key pieces that will drop your baseline even further down. The question is: How are you going to make a roster jump equivalent to 100+ KenPom spots in 45 days of the portal (15 days less than last year after NCAA rule change) when you couldn’t keep the roster momentum steady with the benefit of a honeymoon and a window of 2 full years?

    I’m not suggesting there is “no way out”, but just given the history of how few coaches ever escape this scenario and how much portal success you’ll need to vault out of the building rockslide, the probabilities of a happy ending aren’t great as of today.
  6. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from HoosierCoop in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Dont know if IUphilly from Peegs is on here, but wanted to cite his name for saying this because i am stealing this because i think he nails it on the head

    Some of these discussions on coaches seem a bit backward-looking. It’s like the guy is on trial for PAST coaching failures and we’re the jury deciding whether to punish or absolve.

    If you look at the history of coaches that get into these situations, the only relevant question seems to be “can he get out” and still meet the program’s expectations? Most of the historical data I’ve seen paints a none-too-happy picture for coaches who have both declining recruiting trajectory and a steep win-loss drop after the honeymoon ends. It’s why on X’s and Joes and other venues, I’ve always stressed how vital it is to keep recruiting momentum throughout the early years and at least keep a reasonable trend going on the court.

    The issue you run into is that the momentum that keeps building downward from losing and poor play simply builds on itself…and just adds more weight the further down you go, much like the physics of a rockslide. That may be the way Dolson has to frame it in his own head when discussing “the escape plan” with Woody.

    Consider the context: You’re a sub-100 KenPom squad. You’re going to lose several key pieces that will drop your baseline even further down. The question is: How are you going to make a roster jump equivalent to 100+ KenPom spots in 45 days of the portal (15 days less than last year after NCAA rule change) when you couldn’t keep the roster momentum steady with the benefit of a honeymoon and a window of 2 full years?

    I’m not suggesting there is “no way out”, but just given the history of how few coaches ever escape this scenario and how much portal success you’ll need to vault out of the building rockslide, the probabilities of a happy ending aren’t great as of today.
  7. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from HoosierCoop in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Dont know if IUphilly from Peegs is on here, but wanted to cite his name for saying this because i am stealing this because i think he nails it on the head

    Some of these discussions on coaches seem a bit backward-looking. It’s like the guy is on trial for PAST coaching failures and we’re the jury deciding whether to punish or absolve.

    If you look at the history of coaches that get into these situations, the only relevant question seems to be “can he get out” and still meet the program’s expectations? Most of the historical data I’ve seen paints a none-too-happy picture for coaches who have both declining recruiting trajectory and a steep win-loss drop after the honeymoon ends. It’s why on X’s and Joes and other venues, I’ve always stressed how vital it is to keep recruiting momentum throughout the early years and at least keep a reasonable trend going on the court.

    The issue you run into is that the momentum that keeps building downward from losing and poor play simply builds on itself…and just adds more weight the further down you go, much like the physics of a rockslide. That may be the way Dolson has to frame it in his own head when discussing “the escape plan” with Woody.

    Consider the context: You’re a sub-100 KenPom squad. You’re going to lose several key pieces that will drop your baseline even further down. The question is: How are you going to make a roster jump equivalent to 100+ KenPom spots in 45 days of the portal (15 days less than last year after NCAA rule change) when you couldn’t keep the roster momentum steady with the benefit of a honeymoon and a window of 2 full years?

    I’m not suggesting there is “no way out”, but just given the history of how few coaches ever escape this scenario and how much portal success you’ll need to vault out of the building rockslide, the probabilities of a happy ending aren’t great as of today.
  8. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from Chris007 in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    That whole situation is messed up. Apparently Reneau was reluctant to foul because he had 4 and knew it, woody laid into him after the fact. Reneau said he had 4 to woody and then woody said he was yelling Gallo! Gallo!....whole situation is messed up
  9. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from Tom White in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Thank you for the answers. Now to double down on that, since this type of meeting happens regularly it seems, why should it even move the needle or pique our interest at all.
     
     
    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  10. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from Chris007 in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    That whole situation is messed up. Apparently Reneau was reluctant to foul because he had 4 and knew it, woody laid into him after the fact. Reneau said he had 4 to woody and then woody said he was yelling Gallo! Gallo!....whole situation is messed up
  11. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from Feathery in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Say they did pull an amazing portal haul and somehow coached the team to where they were a final four contender. You would have zero 2025 recruits and then hope to have to do it all over again the year after. Playing the portal is good to add a missing piece or depth. Not good for full roster construction as we can probably all agree with. But Woody apparently knows better than us.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  12. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from HinnyHoosier in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Believe it is actually around 8 - 8.5million
  13. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from Chris007 in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    That whole situation is messed up. Apparently Reneau was reluctant to foul because he had 4 and knew it, woody laid into him after the fact. Reneau said he had 4 to woody and then woody said he was yelling Gallo! Gallo!....whole situation is messed up
  14. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from Chris007 in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    That whole situation is messed up. Apparently Reneau was reluctant to foul because he had 4 and knew it, woody laid into him after the fact. Reneau said he had 4 to woody and then woody said he was yelling Gallo! Gallo!....whole situation is messed up
  15. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from go iu bb in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    I pay for peegs and Trilly and come here. I would say I love the people here and in Trilly discord. Able to have good productive conversations with 99% of them and they are funny and good people at both places. Peegs anymore seems like a place to go if you’re totally depressed and want to join people in the pit of hell with you. And if you don’t agree with or follow their narrative, don’t you dare post anything.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  16. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from Feathery in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Say they did pull an amazing portal haul and somehow coached the team to where they were a final four contender. You would have zero 2025 recruits and then hope to have to do it all over again the year after. Playing the portal is good to add a missing piece or depth. Not good for full roster construction as we can probably all agree with. But Woody apparently knows better than us.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  17. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from MemphisHoosier in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    I took it as, he’s got about 2 weeks to talk the money into firing Woodson. Because whether we win 1, 2 or 3 games, it shouldn’t matter one bit. But to the money and woody friends, it clearly does.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  18. Like
    cleeter reacted to Hovadipo in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Will third the other two replies to your post. AD and HC definitely meet and it can be as often as weekly depending on the relationship. No amount of scheduled meetings between Dolson and Woody would surprise me considering their relationship and Dolson’s visibility around the program. 
  19. Like
    cleeter reacted to TadQueasy in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    I would think regular meetings between AD and Head coach would be rather common. 
  20. Like
    cleeter reacted to ziggyiu in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Just based on my experience and discussions with colleagues, coaches do meet with ADs. The frequency, topics, tone, etc. all very just like they would with any employee/supervisor relationship, though admittedly the dynamic changes based on success, tenure, etc. 
  21. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from BtownStrength in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Bruce > anyone > Disband the program > Woody next year


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  22. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from MemphisHoosier in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    I took it as, he’s got about 2 weeks to talk the money into firing Woodson. Because whether we win 1, 2 or 3 games, it shouldn’t matter one bit. But to the money and woody friends, it clearly does.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  23. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from MemphisHoosier in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    He just said that Dolson and Woody had a meeting today. Nothing will be decided before end of the season but the next few weeks will most certainly play a factor.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  24. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from MemphisHoosier in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    Nail. Slot. Rim.
    And 2 pointers are easier to make than 3 pointers.
    Simple. Game.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  25. Like
    cleeter got a reaction from go iu bb in fiRE coach woodson thREAD   
    I pay for peegs and Trilly and come here. I would say I love the people here and in Trilly discord. Able to have good productive conversations with 99% of them and they are funny and good people at both places. Peegs anymore seems like a place to go if you’re totally depressed and want to join people in the pit of hell with you. And if you don’t agree with or follow their narrative, don’t you dare post anything.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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