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BottomLine

Senior Member
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  1. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from InArchWeTrust in Prediction League (Game 20 - Maryland 1/26/20)   
    Fork in the road time again.  Which way should I go this time?  Zigged when I should have zagged last time and that plays a game with your mind.  Not a lot of analysis this time.  The memory of the disaster at Maryland is still fresh.  If we let them run off to a big lead again we won't catch them again.  Well duh!  On the other hand Maryland hasn't been very good on the road this year and have a 1-4 record.  They are scoring 58.6 and giving up 63.4 on the road.  We are both 3-1 vs common opponents.  We both lost in Madison.  Vegas calls this one a 1 point game.  That means that it could go either way.  What the heck!  If we can beat Michigan State, the best team in the conference, we can beat the second best.
    Hooisers 71
    Turtles 66
  2. Haha
    BottomLine got a reaction from Class of '66 Old Fart in Prediction League (Game 20 - Maryland 1/26/20)   
    Let's make this simple.
    IU 103 - Other 72
  3. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from InArchWeTrust in Prediction League (Game 20 - Maryland 1/26/20)   
    Fork in the road time again.  Which way should I go this time?  Zigged when I should have zagged last time and that plays a game with your mind.  Not a lot of analysis this time.  The memory of the disaster at Maryland is still fresh.  If we let them run off to a big lead again we won't catch them again.  Well duh!  On the other hand Maryland hasn't been very good on the road this year and have a 1-4 record.  They are scoring 58.6 and giving up 63.4 on the road.  We are both 3-1 vs common opponents.  We both lost in Madison.  Vegas calls this one a 1 point game.  That means that it could go either way.  What the heck!  If we can beat Michigan State, the best team in the conference, we can beat the second best.
    Hooisers 71
    Turtles 66
  4. Haha
    BottomLine got a reaction from Class of '66 Old Fart in Prediction League (Game 20 - Maryland 1/26/20)   
    Let's make this simple.
    IU 103 - Other 72
  5. Like
    BottomLine reacted to Str8Hoosiers in Prediction League (Game 20 - Maryland 1/26/20)   
    I am going to start the line with them better by -6.... they play really good defense and we can struggle to score -3.... we are at home +5, and although it is a fairly early game the students can get "oiled" beforehand +2....I will be in the Hall +3... I have really liked Archie's commitment to use the bench as a motivator or at the very least keep the "bad" off the court for the night +2..... Race & Rob didn't finish the last game due to injury.... but I am going to assume they are both good to go here.... Turgeon +2
    IU 66
    Maryland 61
     
  6. Confused
    BottomLine reacted to HoosierAloha in Prediction League (Game 20 - Maryland 1/26/20)   
    IU - 103
    Other - 72
    Payback!
  7. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League RESULTS Thread   
    Congratulations to fwgreenway for opening up daylight in first place.  HUGE congratulations to MoyeNeeded for picking the score for both teams and a big 145 points!  Me?  I stubbed my toe but I have a decent scratched score that I'll be bringing back.  On to Maryland and another fork in the road.  Don't mean to step on your toes Str8Hoosiers but I get excited and check the scores after the game.  
  8. Like
    BottomLine reacted to HoosierAloha in Prediction League RESULTS Thread   
    Did the wife not bathe you?  (ditto, happy I was wrong)
  9. Like
    BottomLine reacted to Class of '66 Old Fart in Prediction League RESULTS Thread   
    I stunk and I don't care because we got the win!!
  10. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League RESULTS Thread   
    Congratulations to fwgreenway for opening up daylight in first place.  HUGE congratulations to MoyeNeeded for picking the score for both teams and a big 145 points!  Me?  I stubbed my toe but I have a decent scratched score that I'll be bringing back.  On to Maryland and another fork in the road.  Don't mean to step on your toes Str8Hoosiers but I get excited and check the scores after the game.  
  11. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League RESULTS Thread   
    Congratulations to fwgreenway for opening up daylight in first place.  HUGE congratulations to MoyeNeeded for picking the score for both teams and a big 145 points!  Me?  I stubbed my toe but I have a decent scratched score that I'll be bringing back.  On to Maryland and another fork in the road.  Don't mean to step on your toes Str8Hoosiers but I get excited and check the scores after the game.  
  12. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League RESULTS Thread   
    Congratulations to fwgreenway for opening up daylight in first place.  HUGE congratulations to MoyeNeeded for picking the score for both teams and a big 145 points!  Me?  I stubbed my toe but I have a decent scratched score that I'll be bringing back.  On to Maryland and another fork in the road.  Don't mean to step on your toes Str8Hoosiers but I get excited and check the scores after the game.  
  13. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from thebigweave in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    Slept the night through without getting up to pee. +20.  BTW a prune cocktail will take care of the constipation thing.
  14. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    I hate games like this. I'm 72-years-old and I've been a dyed in the wool Hoosier fan since I was about 9.  Think of Jimmy Rayl, Walt Bellemy and Archie Dees my heroes growing up.  I will NEVER root against Indiana and NEVER miss a game if I can do anything to help it.  On the other hand this is a contest and you don't win something like this picking with your heart and not your head.  That is why I'm going with the Spartans and not the Hoosiers.  
    With its best game, Indiana can win this.  I hope the fans get into the game early and loud because we are going to need that to pull off an upset.  And it would be an upset. Michigan State is the best team in the conference.  I know the Big Ten is 7-41 on the road in conference.  However, Michigan State has only been on the road in conference twice.  They are 6-1 but 5 of those wins were at home.  On the road they beat Northwestern and were crushed by Purdue.
    While Archie, at times, can't decide who to play, Michigan State has a solid lineup.  Winston, Tillman, Brown and Henry seldom come off the floor.  That isn't to say that the bench is a bunch of stiffs.  It just says that this is a team that has some chemistry.  We are still working on that.
    As to the numbers, IU comes up short across the board.  We are 1-3 against the top 25.  MSU is 2-1.  Over the last 10 games MSU is 9-1 and we are 6-4.  Against common opponents MSU is 3-0 and IU is 1-2.  Against teams with similar records MSU is 7-3 and IU is 2-4.   On average they outscore us on offense 78.3 to 75.1.  They also top us on defense 63.6 to 66.2.  We haven't been ranked once this year and Michigan state has been a top 10 dweller all year.
    Still despite all of that this could be a very close game.  Who knows a 50/50 ball here and there, a good night rebounding the ball, Michigan foul trouble, a few fewer IU turnovers, or a few extra 3's fall and everything could turn out in IU's favor.  Those are all big IF's.  Vegas has this game at 141.5 o/u.  MSU is favored by 3 so that makes the implied final score 72-69.  I'm thinking that defense might be more important in this game than offense.  MSU is averaging 71 in conference the that includes a 47 point stinker in West Lafayette.  I see them scoring about 74 here and IU struggling to get to 70.  That's it. But I hope it is the other way around.
    IU 70
    MSU 74
  15. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from thebigweave in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    Slept the night through without getting up to pee. +20.  BTW a prune cocktail will take care of the constipation thing.
  16. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    I hate games like this. I'm 72-years-old and I've been a dyed in the wool Hoosier fan since I was about 9.  Think of Jimmy Rayl, Walt Bellemy and Archie Dees my heroes growing up.  I will NEVER root against Indiana and NEVER miss a game if I can do anything to help it.  On the other hand this is a contest and you don't win something like this picking with your heart and not your head.  That is why I'm going with the Spartans and not the Hoosiers.  
    With its best game, Indiana can win this.  I hope the fans get into the game early and loud because we are going to need that to pull off an upset.  And it would be an upset. Michigan State is the best team in the conference.  I know the Big Ten is 7-41 on the road in conference.  However, Michigan State has only been on the road in conference twice.  They are 6-1 but 5 of those wins were at home.  On the road they beat Northwestern and were crushed by Purdue.
    While Archie, at times, can't decide who to play, Michigan State has a solid lineup.  Winston, Tillman, Brown and Henry seldom come off the floor.  That isn't to say that the bench is a bunch of stiffs.  It just says that this is a team that has some chemistry.  We are still working on that.
    As to the numbers, IU comes up short across the board.  We are 1-3 against the top 25.  MSU is 2-1.  Over the last 10 games MSU is 9-1 and we are 6-4.  Against common opponents MSU is 3-0 and IU is 1-2.  Against teams with similar records MSU is 7-3 and IU is 2-4.   On average they outscore us on offense 78.3 to 75.1.  They also top us on defense 63.6 to 66.2.  We haven't been ranked once this year and Michigan state has been a top 10 dweller all year.
    Still despite all of that this could be a very close game.  Who knows a 50/50 ball here and there, a good night rebounding the ball, Michigan foul trouble, a few fewer IU turnovers, or a few extra 3's fall and everything could turn out in IU's favor.  Those are all big IF's.  Vegas has this game at 141.5 o/u.  MSU is favored by 3 so that makes the implied final score 72-69.  I'm thinking that defense might be more important in this game than offense.  MSU is averaging 71 in conference the that includes a 47 point stinker in West Lafayette.  I see them scoring about 74 here and IU struggling to get to 70.  That's it. But I hope it is the other way around.
    IU 70
    MSU 74
  17. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from thebigweave in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    Slept the night through without getting up to pee. +20.  BTW a prune cocktail will take care of the constipation thing.
  18. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from thebigweave in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    Slept the night through without getting up to pee. +20.  BTW a prune cocktail will take care of the constipation thing.
  19. Like
    BottomLine reacted to ALASKA HOOSIER in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    had a good poop last night, +20
  20. Like
    BottomLine reacted to Str8Hoosiers in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    This is a tough one for me.... I see a lot of positivity and confidence in these early predictions....
    I feel like MSU starts as a 7.5 point favorite in my algorithm..... We are at Home and the Hall should be Rocking for this one +6, we have not played well consistently and we are coming off a road win -3, MSU can score better than anybody we have played to this point and we struggle to score -4, but their defense isn't as good as others we have played (still good) +1
    I really want to figure out a reason to predict an IU victory but I can't find one outside of my HEART and GUT.... which we have a lot of in Joey Buckets +3, but not so much anywhere else on the team -5
    Archie seems to be walking the walk, based on minutes played recently etc +2
    I hope I am wrong again.
    IU - 71
    MSU - 79
  21. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from Str8Hoosiers in Prediction League (Game 19 - Michigan State 1/23/20)   
    Usually there are a few brave souls that post a prediction far in advance of the game.  With MSU on the horizon it looks like everyone is taking a little longer for reflection.  Which fork in the road do you take this time?
  22. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League (Game 18 - @ Nebraska 1/18/20)   
    17th game?  Seems like the season just started.  Well here we are in Nebraska playing a team that has a record of not playing well at home.  They are only 5-4 at home this year.  In short, they are no Rutgers.  Rutgers is a team that is on the rise and has a chance to finish near the top of the standings.  Nebraska does not.  It is regrettable but reasonable to lose to Rutgers on the road.  It is not reasonable to lose to Nebraska.  They are 7-10 this year.  Some rating systems only pick them to win one more game this year (Northwestern).  I know IU had trouble scoring against Rutgers but so does everybody at Rutgers.  They have given up an average of 57 over their last four games..  We can score on Nebraska as we proved by scoring 96 in overtime in Bloomington.  Of course we also gave up 90.  But overall we have a better offense and defense than Nebraska.  We are averaging 74.6/game and they are giving up an average of 74.4.  We are holding our opponents to 65.8 and Nebraska is scoring at a 72.5 clip.  We have four common opponents.  We are plus 21 and 3-1 against those opponents.  Nebraska is -17 and 1-3.  Advantage IU.  They drove us crazy in Bloomington by driving at every opportunity.  Our defense has improved since then and we have Phinisee, a good on ball defender, back as a regular. Jervay Green is questionable for this game.  To bad. so sad.   I don't think they will have as easy a time getting to the basket in this one.  The big guys in Vegas have us winning by 74-68.5.  I hope it isn't that close.  I figure that we have to win a game on the road sooner or later and since we don't play Northwestern again this is the easiest one left.  Over their last four game Nebraska has given up an average of 73 points/game.  I think we will do slightly better.  They have scored and average of 66.  We can beat that.  The crystal ball says.
    IU 75
    Nebraska 64
  23. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League (Game 18 - @ Nebraska 1/18/20)   
    17th game?  Seems like the season just started.  Well here we are in Nebraska playing a team that has a record of not playing well at home.  They are only 5-4 at home this year.  In short, they are no Rutgers.  Rutgers is a team that is on the rise and has a chance to finish near the top of the standings.  Nebraska does not.  It is regrettable but reasonable to lose to Rutgers on the road.  It is not reasonable to lose to Nebraska.  They are 7-10 this year.  Some rating systems only pick them to win one more game this year (Northwestern).  I know IU had trouble scoring against Rutgers but so does everybody at Rutgers.  They have given up an average of 57 over their last four games..  We can score on Nebraska as we proved by scoring 96 in overtime in Bloomington.  Of course we also gave up 90.  But overall we have a better offense and defense than Nebraska.  We are averaging 74.6/game and they are giving up an average of 74.4.  We are holding our opponents to 65.8 and Nebraska is scoring at a 72.5 clip.  We have four common opponents.  We are plus 21 and 3-1 against those opponents.  Nebraska is -17 and 1-3.  Advantage IU.  They drove us crazy in Bloomington by driving at every opportunity.  Our defense has improved since then and we have Phinisee, a good on ball defender, back as a regular. Jervay Green is questionable for this game.  To bad. so sad.   I don't think they will have as easy a time getting to the basket in this one.  The big guys in Vegas have us winning by 74-68.5.  I hope it isn't that close.  I figure that we have to win a game on the road sooner or later and since we don't play Northwestern again this is the easiest one left.  Over their last four game Nebraska has given up an average of 73 points/game.  I think we will do slightly better.  They have scored and average of 66.  We can beat that.  The crystal ball says.
    IU 75
    Nebraska 64
  24. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from HoosierAloha in Prediction League (Game 18 - @ Nebraska 1/18/20)   
    17th game?  Seems like the season just started.  Well here we are in Nebraska playing a team that has a record of not playing well at home.  They are only 5-4 at home this year.  In short, they are no Rutgers.  Rutgers is a team that is on the rise and has a chance to finish near the top of the standings.  Nebraska does not.  It is regrettable but reasonable to lose to Rutgers on the road.  It is not reasonable to lose to Nebraska.  They are 7-10 this year.  Some rating systems only pick them to win one more game this year (Northwestern).  I know IU had trouble scoring against Rutgers but so does everybody at Rutgers.  They have given up an average of 57 over their last four games..  We can score on Nebraska as we proved by scoring 96 in overtime in Bloomington.  Of course we also gave up 90.  But overall we have a better offense and defense than Nebraska.  We are averaging 74.6/game and they are giving up an average of 74.4.  We are holding our opponents to 65.8 and Nebraska is scoring at a 72.5 clip.  We have four common opponents.  We are plus 21 and 3-1 against those opponents.  Nebraska is -17 and 1-3.  Advantage IU.  They drove us crazy in Bloomington by driving at every opportunity.  Our defense has improved since then and we have Phinisee, a good on ball defender, back as a regular. Jervay Green is questionable for this game.  To bad. so sad.   I don't think they will have as easy a time getting to the basket in this one.  The big guys in Vegas have us winning by 74-68.5.  I hope it isn't that close.  I figure that we have to win a game on the road sooner or later and since we don't play Northwestern again this is the easiest one left.  Over their last four game Nebraska has given up an average of 73 points/game.  I think we will do slightly better.  They have scored and average of 66.  We can beat that.  The crystal ball says.
    IU 75
    Nebraska 64
  25. Like
    BottomLine got a reaction from ALASKA HOOSIER in Prediction League RESULTS Thread   
    Another fork in the road coming with Nebraska.  Now, where did I place that darn road map?
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