HoosierDevils

That is definitely true for schools like UConn versus basically anybody, and perhaps for comparing Villanova to Northwestern but not true for a comparison of Xavier to IU. There's a massive within conference variation as well. Don't get me wrong, I agree that a middle of the pack Big East school (or bball first and no football) is in better position than a middle of the pack power conference (esp. ACC) school but don't think that's the case for mid-tier Big East to top-tier Big 10. Certainly the difference there is small enough that is easily offset by difference in NIL resources...even if the Big 10 school's NIL isn't earth shattering.

But they also have much less revenue to spare on athletes. IU's athletics revenue is around $105 million and Xavier's is around $30 million. Even though disbursements to athletes is capped at 20.5 million, to meet other expenses Xavier likely can't afford to allocate the full cap amount to paying athletes. They probably have 10ish million to do that and fine they may allocate 70% to men's bball instead of the 70% to football, but that's still just 7 million which is not far off from what major basketball programs in the B1G & SEC will be able to allocate to men's basketball, not to mention these schools have much better NIL than Xavier/Big East sans St. John's. Edit: Clarifying, the $105million for IU excludes student fees, indirect & direct university support through transfers, or donors. it's just the organic revenue generated annually. @Pagoda is correct that when you include all these IU is in the 150-180 range. Source: https://nil-ncaa.com/

Trilly Donovan on the discord logged a prediction for IU!

Yeah, and I think it's possible IU was too far behind to make up. I think the previous staff didn't really pay attention to him and Purdue has been in on him for quite some time.

Doesn't seem like Hill felt there was much direct contact: https://x.com/JamieShaw5/status/1981094572886560962 "I haven't been on a visit yet, so I ain't really get to talk with their staff a lot. My communication with them is a little iffy. I don't really talk with them that much." Really wonder what happened - is this a misstep by the staff on a top local recruit or they saw something they really did not like and backed off completely.

Anybody know if Karvala is on his OV? He was posting videos of Alabama basketball during the exhibition matchup. Diané was definitely at the game though.

Diebler also seems to be thinking that locking down a national top 10 player from Ohio will help him avoid the hot seat. He’s willing to burn through funds for that. imo landing AT and having an impact on another B1G 10 coach’s job security would be the cherry on top. It really seems like AT and whoever he talks to about his bball decisions know IU is the better situation, but it’s unknown how much that’s worth (is the delta between IU’s offer and OSU offset by the difference between playing for DDV and Diebler)

It's unclear whether Allmond did go after the biggest bag. OK St's offer was probably good enough to compete with Maryland, though not greater. Relationships with Ok St staff won out over Maryland, not money. But even if it did, I'm surprised that so many on here think people don't usually go to the place offering them the most money.

Kudos to the new staff for not getting into a bidding war over a top 30 kid that wants top 10 money. It makes sense for Steve Lutz to want to make a big splash for next year at any price. Hope we are able to push hard for AT and VK. AT, VK, and PAM would be a fantastic first HS class.

It’s for Manny Green. Allmond seems to be between Ok St and Maryland. Edit: The Allmond being between Ok St and Md is according to Trilly.

I did not even realize there was no offer! I just assumed because of the OV and the post about it being between Xavier, Cal, and IU. Never mind!

Didn’t X’s and Joe’s just do an episode on this? I can’t remember the exact but I’m pretty sure the punchline is all national champs for the past 10-15 years have WAY more top 80 players (as in start 5 plus first off the bench) than the top Big 10 teams do (typically around 4).

Just noticed there’s no (2026) Vaughn Karvala thread. Should there be one?

I don’t know…Mgbako is very good but was in an awful system for him. You can read a bunch of stuff from A&M insiders and NBA guys from last spring bewildered by how he was used at IU under Woody. He will have a big season.

I find the rumors and Trilly stuff fun to follow but it can be difficult to take too seriously. For one, I’m skeptical how much he actually knows as fact versus what’s just talk from the agent side acting on behalf of the client and trying to max their own cut. Now that there’s a media side to Trilly through Basket Under Review—which I do like reading and listening to their podcasts—he is more of an access person and I don’t think would betray sources (like coaches and high level program people) by burning them on the Discord as that would jeopardize the media side. The other part is this: Let’s say Trilly is correct on all his statements. Where’s his gif? Where are any Crystal Balls? His threads make it sound like IU is seriously outmatched across the board with MSU having Taylor in the bag, Allmond to Md, and Thompson to OSU. Yet, there’s not a single logged prediction for any of these let alone by him. His response when people ask is that he’ll wait likely til the night before or a few hours ahead of announcement…by which point everyone knows anyways! My last piece on the Trilly stuff is let’s say that IU is getting outbid but it is because they have a max price in mind for HS players. Then I’m totally unconcerned about DDV not overpaying T35 guys in a weak class. Better bang for the buck in the portal this year and focusing on 2027 HS targets where we are in on the ground floor. Of course people can disagree with the strategy and prioritization, but I don’t think it signals weakness or underlining problems in the new staff.