Here's what we should really hope happens. Marquette wins the Big East tournament, leaving no doubt they'll still be a quad 1 win for us. Minnesota and Ohio St. win their last game of the season. I think OSU is currently #48 and Minny #54 in the NET. If we play one of them in the #8/#9 game, and they are in the NET top 50, that's another opp for a quad 1 win. Even with a loss against Mich/MSU, at 18-15, I just can't see a team with 7 quad 1 wins being left out.
Here's the possible nightmare scenario. Marquette continues to struggle and slides another couple of spots. We lose a quad 1 win. Ohio St. and Minnesota both lose their last game, which is very possible. We play one of them in the 8/9 BTT game and both are just outside of the top 50, on a neutral court, that's only a quad 2 win opportunity. 18-14 w/ 5 quad 1 wins may put the committee in a mindset that our game against Mich/MSU is a win and get in game. I hate that.
Note: this ^^ is all assuming I understand the NET and quad systems correctly. I think I do, but someone correct me if I'm off on something here.