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Aaron

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Everything posted by Aaron

  1. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    First massive transfer portal get for offseason adding Aiden Stewart from Delaware who will play in Cerny's place and fill in seemlessly. While it was at a mid-major level on a decent team (Delaware), I would be shocked if most of his .326 average and 9 home runs don't translate to Big Ten. This is a case of a player who outplayed his lower school and rightly wanted to move up a level and IU pounced. Assuming the four elite freshman come back, the offense should hum again, and it will be about the pitching as usual which will make or break team and this Mercer era at this point as he has clearly hitched his wagon to Glant and will sink or swim with him (which is a huge risk). So far, a couple portal guys here with not great numbers but really hard to know how that translates. IU has had anywhere from guys with great numbers previously struggling here (Seebold is an example of this), to a guy with not great numbers at last stop thriving (Giley is example of this). While offensive numbers are easy to read and will almost always translate between every NCAA team good or bad (and in Stewart's case very good), transfer pitchers are really hard to predict regardless of their stats.
  2. Aaron

    NBA Thread

    Exactly on all of that. PG and Bird were like a married couple who were both at fault for acting like morons and refused to listen to each other and consider each other's views (ironically my parents got divorced for exactly this reason and are much better for it).
  3. Aaron

    NBA Thread

    The rest of Hali's career starting in 2026-207 (along with Tatum) will be just fine. Since he is young and relies on shooting and passing and not burst or athleticism, the effect on his game as a star and team leaders should be minimal if noticed at all upon return (especially after 16 months off which Carlisle confirmed will be case on Indy radio today and Turner is still likely to return per him). Also, unlike Paul George (who came back just fine as a player despite acting like a jerk), Hali will be walking on to a championship contending roster intact and not have to be overburdened like George was with a bad roster. As long as Hali doesn't develop George's attitude which sounds unlikely based on his upbringing and personality, expect 5-10 more years of stardom with Pacers.
  4. Aaron

    NBA Thread

    Pacers announce injury and surgery tonight for Hali. It should be noted the quicker you do it the better for recovery and the guy mentioned who is doing it is gold standard when it comes to Achilles surgery: https://www.nba.com/pacers/news/indiana-pacers-medical-update-tyrese-haliburton-250623 Still would not expect him to play next year, but given his game type and age would expect him to be back healthy for 2026-2027 with contending roster intact as well as his Achilles. Still sucks to have to close the championship window (although quite possibly a playoff team still) for a year in 2025-2026 with solid core intact. Unfortunately, this is what it took for best shot at championship this year Pacers ever had and closest they have ever come and most fun season in franchise history.
  5. Aaron

    NBA Thread

    One suggestion I have that could help some with these high level of Achilles tears is to have a mandatory rest period for any diagnosed calf injuries similar to a concussion. Just as a concussion protocol is in place for player safety, you could have 'calf injury protocol' with mandatory rest period to protect the future of these athletes in similar fashion. While this would be far from a magic bullet, and some Achilles tears have no calf issues beforehand, trying to play through calf problems clearly has a very high risk of leading to career altering Achilles injuries, similar to playing with a concussion effecting career and life hence the protocol.
  6. Aaron

    NBA Thread

    Best Pacers season ever with such an unfortunate ending, similar to a great fantasy novel with a 'tragic' final chapter. Pacers have some fascinating decisions now. Do you bring Turner back and pay luxury tax next season to win 45 games and lose in first round knowing you are a likely contender in 26-27 (I fully expect Haliburton to be healthy for 2026-27 given his age and the strengths of his game being shooting and passing and not athleticism)? Pritchard is shrewd at making trades so do you move Mathurin now or at trade deadline knowing he will be out of your price range if you sign Turner (can't go into second apron anymore for long and that goes for ALL teams which signing Mathurin would do)? Without Hali, expect Mathurin to have huge season in contract year, but how worth it is he to be sixth seed knowing he won't be back after it? Kevin Pritchard is a shrewd trader and elite GM and has most fascinating offseason ever, knowing current roster will be only decent in 25-26 and then a reopen championship window in 2026-2027 with rest of core signed long term on team friendly deals (and unlike NFL, NBA has fully guaranteed contracts, so tradeoff is you cannot ask for more money as a player when overachieving. What you sign for is what you make until deal runs out with no changes or exceptions allowed).
  7. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    On that list, only Brenczewski, and maybe Swanson were likely to every contribute here. Others are the typical transfers that were either injured or near bottom of roster who enter portal at every other program. Cerny is interesting since I assumed he would be drafted and not spend anymore time in college, so was already mentally not factoring him into future. It's the four elite freshman on offense that will tell us a lot and who you hope to keep. As we know, offense is likely to always be elite and question will be if they can find enough good starting pitchers and bullpen guys with defined roles. If Glant is still here and the same issues happen in 2026 which causes team to miss postseason again, then the entire staff needs to be fired. I have defended Mercer and think he gets to much flack. However, if Mercer holds on to a guy in Glant who clearly is not doing his job well similar to Tom Allen and Darren Hiller, and it fails, then everyone needs to be gone regardless. Staff loyalty is a factor and Teri Moren did what was best for the program getting rid of her recruiting coach recently who was not getting job done for someone who likely can. If Mercer is blindly loyal to failing staff as Allen was, unfortunately I can say he is not cut out for the job no matter how well he recruits and develops players.
  8. Aaron

    BOT Changes

    What is fascinating is by reappointing Buckner, Braun broke the law within the very same bill that gave him the power to make these appointments. The same bill limited trustees to three terms and Braun just appointed Buckner for a fourth. Will be fascinating how this plays out given he pick and chose what parts of the bill to follow by re-appointing Buckner which is really not how it is supposed to work. Will make the case against him in court with the changes in general (lawsuit is already pending) even more interesting since a court is now likely to scrutinize him and the state on why they are free to follow parts of the bill and not others. This is the part I am curious to follow. The rest is expected given the politics of the state.
  9. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Don't take my word for it being underachieving. Here is a recap from Zach Horowitz who covers team for IUBase.com with many of the same points I made: Underwhelming. A preseason buzz in the clubhouse that involved 'hosting a regional' flipped upon its head early in the season. Opening with a great opportunity to jump high in the RPI ranks, Indiana fell to an 0-4 weekend in the arms of UNLV (twice), now a national seed in Oregon State, and Xavier. The season rolled into conference play, where Indiana sported a 16-14 record, losing four rubber matches which included a dramatic loss to USC, where they once led 12-3. The Hoosiers hadn't won a Big Ten road series until Michigan in the final weekend of the regular season. The 2025 campaign ended in the first game of pool play to Rutgers, leaving 11 runners on base in the contest. For what feels like a massive let down year, given that Indiana showcased the Big Ten Freshman of the Year in Jake Hanley and two Big Ten First-Team outfielders in Devin Taylor and Korbyn Dickerson, they failed to make the tournament for the first time since 2022. In what now seems to be an annual occurrence, the Hoosier pitching staff didn't have much of an identity. This season offered many jumbled roles and the reliance on transfer arms became an issue. Cole Gilley, Ryan Kraft, and Ben Grable seemed to be the only legitimate hurlers, while Gavin Seebold grew into his own towards the back-half of the season. The injuries to Drew Buhr and Jacob Vogel played a big part of the staff's problems. This offseason will be crucial. A new era in collegiate athletics could alter a program in just a few months. There should be a good amount of roster turnover as Indiana loses many pitchers but hopefully keeps its young core who gained valuable experience in the lineup. I had wished for this season to involve more highs, with much positivity along the way, but the course of the season swayed away from it. Hoosier Nation, thank you for following along all season long. And, of course, a big thank you to @jovian34, @ChrisF3105, and the rest of the @SeeYouAtTheBart crew. I got the opportunity to create 15 articles and take part in 13 podcast episodes. Forever grateful for the opportunity and the future ahead.
  10. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Its about making the NCAA Tournament given talent of roster. Had no issues with performance in conference though this spring. 2016 team was third in league but missed tourney. 2017 they were sixth but made into a Regional. My measurement is whether they make NCAA Tournament given talent they have (which in 2016 and 2022 they did not). Not their placement in the conference. This was first time they had a clear NCAA caliber squad since 2011 and blew making it which by any measurement is a failure.
  11. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Everyone likes it there except IU and other fans who want to go at times when more centrally located. I think putting it in Omaha every other year makes sense given prestige and crowds. Then rotate it to somewhere more central in Columbus or Chicago or something the other times. Can't be in Indy with 500 as you said.
  12. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Publications preseason had IU borderline top-25 which puts you in range to host. Whether that was realistic or not is an open question but well known national publications had it within the realm of possibility. It was not a crazy thought till we saw team play. No one would have complained though if the reality was like 2023 where were very safely in as a 2-3 seed and top 35-40 all year. The bottom line though is IU massively underachieved. Given they have two high draft picks on offense, the direct culprit was the pitching where once again and Glant could not find set starters or roles for most part just like every season he has been here. At some point that is on you, when every year prior to being here roles and starters were found relatively easily. There is no doubt anyway you slice it this season did not come close to meeting expectations. Pitching has to get better whether it is development program (most likely culprit since never a problem pre-Glant) or talent. Whether this is by Glant or someone else, status quo cannot continue if this is going to continue to be a winning program. This season was worst season for the team since 2011 given expectations. I stand by that. This team had zero excuse to not make NCAA Tournament with talent they had.
  13. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    A frustrating day with the NCAA selection show underway and IU not being in. Its not the first time, but only one since 2011 where you legitimately expected to be in at all costs when season started and wont make it. 2016 had hitting stink and 2022 had pitching stink with lower expectations. 2021 was weird COVID year with conference only and cant really hold that to normal standards. Those are only time they have missed since 2013 when program really came into its own. 2008 and 2012 had big runs late in season to nearly win big ten tournament but expectations were relatively low at that point. 2010 had worst pitching in program history (and made Glant's struggles recently look brilliant by comparison) where team was decent but nowhere near tourney quality. Pre-2008 program stunk. Its just annoying that this was a season where you should have competed to host a regional and instead missed all together. Expectations were similar in 2018, but then missing hosting meant being a two seed at a very tough regional in Texas and nearly winning it by making final game. That's how this season should have been if expectations were less then expected. Not completely missing postseason. It speaks to success that this is really only the second time where a high expectation season went completely off rails. However, it is still just as frustrating and cannot become the norm.
  14. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Mostly agree, but would argue Mercer didn't win enough this season and program is definitely teetering at moment. However, until this yr the bar of success was cleared (sometimes barely) during his tenure. 2022 was worse overall but that team was in a massive rebuild. This year was a bigger problem by almost every measure possible given talent and expectations. To me if Glant stays and everything continues status quo next season, then the staff needs to be house cleaned after 2026 if another season like this happens. If Mercer makes some changes to the pitching program and he replaces Glant, then to me at least he has a bit more leeway. How Mercer reacts this offseason to what was undisputably the biggest failure of a spring since (except maybe 2011) program got good in 2008 will say a lot.
  15. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Mercer has to wear this season being a massive failure anyway you slice it. Given this team has two potential first round picks you figured the floor was like what softball did this season of squeaking into a regional while the ceiling was contending to host and being borderline top-25 squad. The truth ended up being even lower then what the floor reasonably should have been. Mercer is definitely on the clock to do something about the pitching or he will likely be fired in a yr or two if he allows status quo to continue. Truth lies in between 'fire everyone' and 'program is in great shape and Mercer has been a great coach'. Interest in the program is starting to wain with the inconsistencies and IU as an athletic department will need to decide how important baseball success is if this starts to go south. Program is at a critical point and how Mercer reacts to what was indisputably the worst season since 2011 given expectations will say a lot.
  16. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Have you been or are you just saying that based on the distance required to travel there and being a pitchers park? Everyone who has played there and have been there who I have talked to (which is a fair few), would disagree with you and say it is an awesome facility in an inconvenient location. You are entitled to your opinion but understand most people who have been and the team rave about the facility and your views which you are absolutely entitled to are in the minority. "Sucks" is not the same as 'world class facility in harder to get to location' which is the prevailing thought by vast majority.
  17. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    It doesn't suck at all. It is a beautiful ballpark and does a world class job hosting. It is inconvenient for fan bases not named Iowa or Nebraska which is definitely a problem. A rotation between Omaha and other more centrally located parks would make sense, but having it in Omaha as a rotating site makes all the sense in the world to showcase it. You are talking as a fan who doesn't like the distance which is understandable and that is why it should rotate to centrally located places. However, having it there some years (not most as conference does) is great for multiple reasons.
  18. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Be prepared for some wind blown home runs today in a park that rarely gives them as gusts will be blowing straight out until Friday. Starting Friday, winds will blow straight in and strategy will need to adjust. In other words go for power today (and next two after for anyone playing which IU is not) and then the typical small ball will be needed as home runs become nearly impossible again as is typical there.
  19. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    We are in the strange situation of essentially playing for our season today even though the team plays Friday no matter what. With how tiebreakers work, a loss today ends the season for whoever loses after their next game in this thing. If everyone is 1-1, Iowa advances as highest ranked team in pool. If IU loses today, the winner of Rutgers and Iowa tomorrow wins the pool and advances to the semi's regardless, and the game Friday against the Hawkeyes will take place but is almost like a consolation contest with nothing on the line. If the Hoosiers win today, the Iowa vs. Rutgers game becomes irrelevant and the winner between Hoosiers and Hawkeyes on Friday advances. The good news is you only need four wins now to win the thing and it is spaced out so you only have to win three games in three days if you get past today instead of playing four days straight. Bad news is double elimination is gone, so unless you are the top seed in the pool every matchup is essentially single elimination (and potentially double elimination if you are top seed in the pool for first two games depending on how things fall).
  20. Aaron

    NCAA Women's Bball Transfer Portal

    The fact they got Rodriguez to even come on a visit tells me the combination of both the new recruiting coach and NIL slowly improving are starting to come to fruition. Eventually, you will need to win battles for the higher ranked recruits and portal players and I expect that by next season as I have said all along. However, a few weeks ago IU couldn't even get a visit or involved with a player of this level which tells me things are improving. This 2026 portal and recruiting class will tell us a lot where things stand and if they are indeed improving (which I believe they are). The fact Rodriguez even considered the Hoosiers to me is a small sign things are starting to get better with recruiting and NIL even if they didn't ultimately win this one.
  21. Aaron

    IU Softball

    Not sure how you balance everything being gravy and very lucky to be here with one of the worst defensive meltdowns one will ever see. IU had the lead almost the entire game and led 6-4 into bottom of 6th before their defense absolutely imploded. Relatively easy catch to lead off the inning in CF was dropped and runner got to third base. Then SS instead of taking the easy out at first with a 6-5 lead intact, she decided to try to get a tough out at home and everyone was safe. Then with a chance to get out of the inning tied by throwing the run out at home with a good throw, the SS again air mails the throw that would have beat runner and two come in. From there OK St rolled to a few more runs for a 11-6 win. Offense and pitching were good enough to win but that third faze of the game late was absolutely atrocious with three horrible fielding plays late which in postseason is fatal, especially when your pitching is mediocre to begin with. I thought this game was a tough putt and team was a decisive underdog. However, when in position to pull the upset, it is a bit frustrating to self implode and beat yourself rather then opponent earning it. With all that said this is clearly the best era in program history to make three straight postseasons. However, frustrating to watch late. Offense showed why they are statistically best in nation clubbing three HR's off an elite pitching staff including two by Minnick the local girl who is hitting over .470 for the year with 18 home runs now. She showed why she will go down as all time program great and is going out at her best as a senior. Elimination game tomorrow afternoon.
  22. Aaron

    IU Softball

    Pleasantly surprised. Was pretty sure they were getting in last two yrs but thought the metrics were just short this yr as I described in previous page prior to release. Glad I was wrong.
  23. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Purdue is awful and IU ran over them as one would hope. Tonight highlights my frustration with Glant. Kraft was great in summer league, then was terrible at start of season and has come on down stretch. Kraft along with Grable should absolutely had been the two weekend starters all season but took them most of the year to come on. Glant always finds a few guys down stretch, but the fact it takes them half a season to figure it out speaks to a massive problem. You should have two starters and 2-3 reliable relievers in set roles from get go. As bad as Purdue is, they have that. Yes their Friday guy tonight gets pounded at times, but he has a set role as a long starter for entire year. Glant's total inability to figure out defined roles for half a season and especially identify starters is inexcusable and its holding program back. Glad IU took care of their primary rivals who won't make Omaha for Big Ten Tourney. For IU, their sole focus is winning whole thing there with at-large bid out of the question.
  24. Aaron

    IU Baseball

    Even Purdue has two decent starters as a bad team that they throw each week for two of the games and will go 5-6 innings as long as they are decent. Again this shows as I talked about above why Glant's tenure has been such a problem and by most accounts a failure. Its not the depth or ERA per se. Those could be better. However, the inability to find or develop at least two starting pitchers each season is something only he faces. As I said, in four seasons he has had 1.5 legit starting pitchers from the get go each spring. Every other team in college baseball almost has had eight at minimum in same time. ERA and depth need to be better but that is a challenge every single team is facing in this era of college baseball. Only Glant has not been able to identify and develop length with constant starters. Even bad teams can do that as Boilermakers have. This fundamental thing is difference between a middling tenure Glant could get away with, and one he has had that has single handedly blown up two of his four seasons and nearly did a third last yr. No one else including bad teams have this problem.
  25. Aaron

    IU Softball

    I think IU is one win short of making NCAA Tournament. Needed one more Big Ten win to be at .500 in conference or one more signature win out of conference or Big Ten Tournament. Hope I am wrong. RPI is there at around 40, but lack of quad one wins and being one game short of .500 in league is a double whammy against them that I think is to much to overcome. The offense had its best season ever. However, for some reason (don't follow program close enough to know) Copeland's ERA was a whole run worse than her previously three yrs in 4's rather than 3's canceling out an already elite offense getting even better. Overall program is best its ever been. However, that slightly worse pitching with same player cost them them a game or two and likely keeps them just short of being as good as last two and the difference between being in and out of NCAA's likely after two straight appearances.
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