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RaceToTheTop

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Everything posted by RaceToTheTop

  1. Other schools know that we aren't retaining Woodson.
  2. I think part of it is Woody makes promises about PT and role to get players in and for good and bad, he tries to stick with it. The only guy who has really seen a big drop in minutes is Carlyle and in his case I don't think even if he justify sticking to what he said. So he tries to keep a promise to the detriment of the team. I think right now the best five we have -- the ones that should start -- are Galloway, Leal, Goode, Mgbako, and Ballo. But we know he promised MM he'd be playing the 3, it could be assumed he promised Rice the starting point guard spot, and you would think that MR would have received some assurances as well. Now, it's not like Galloway has been lights out every game....he's laid as many eggs as Rice. But the ball movement is better with Galloway.
  3. I disagree that it's just a small portion. Last season Indiana was Michigan State were both 5 games over .500 entering selection Sunday. IU's NET strength of schedule was 23, Michigan State was 14. Yet Michigan State had a NET ranking of 24 and Indiana's was 98. Using just the two results based Matrix results, IU would have been 61 and Michigan State would have been 47 (average values of the two predictive s). Using the two predictive measures, IU was 97 and Michigan State was 18. So, in essence, IU's 61 results based and 97 predictive based gave them a NET 98. Michigan State's result based of 47 and predictive of 18 gave them a NET of 24. The NCAA hasn't released the formula they use, but you can see that it isn't a little predictive based.....it's predictive driven first.
  4. I don't think teams should ever move up after a loss (with the exception of wins or losses in other games that day which would effect a shuffling). I'm simply not a big fan of efficiency metrics being used as selection criteria. It's why I'm such a big fan of WAB. Let's say that two teams play the exact same schedule -- one goes 22-8 and the other goes 19-11. The 22-8 team won a lot of close games and were blown out a few times while the 19-11 team lost a lot of close games and blew a few teams out, the 19-11 team likely have a better efficiency rating and potentially a better NET. At the end of the day if I were to be selecting teams I would only care about wins/losses and who you played (SOS rankings, who you played and where). It's not that I don't like the predictive measures like Pom and Torvik -- I love them -- but I don't like them being used as selection measures. And I do believe by the end of the season that wins and losses are better predictive measures of future success than are Pom and Torvik. I'm sure you are familiar with Bill James' Pythagareon Theorem for predicting wins....but even he said that there does reach a certain point of the season where previous win/loss totals become better predictors of future success than does net runs. So a team that is coached poorly in late game situations -- like IU is -- those close losses aren't an accident (or, using Pom's term 'luck'). That said, I know each committee member weighs different factors differently. Just stating my preference and what I would be looking at.
  5. IU went from 67 to 65 NET after the loss at Purdue last night. I hate NET.
  6. Obviously in reference to Rocco Spindler.......if IU ends up getting him, that's four high quality OL in the portal that have gotten.
  7. The problem with the analogy: Our Football Restaurant changed ownership. Know what made the experience better? Winning.
  8. I'm just waiting until KathywithaC and the board meet so she can tell me how I should feel about the end of the game last night.
  9. IMO, there is a point at the minimum in announcing Woodson's retirement. Fan support for the team will continue to go down the drain until they know we are moving on.
  10. The tweet was going after Ballo and his $1.2 million NIL. It showed him visibly angry and yelling at Rice in the huddle after Rice's last shot. IMO, stupid tweet and It was going after a guy who showed how much he cared.
  11. Not true on the cut bubble. Fifteen teams make the BTT. Washington has one win and then there are four teams with three wins. That said, Penn State and Minnesota play each other twice, plus Minnesota still play Washington, Northwestern, and Nebraska, and Rutgers.
  12. …if they make the big ten tournament.
  13. He hadn't scored a damn point. Sometimes you have to recognize that it's not your game and it's time to get it elsewhere. I trust Gallo there much more because if he gets close and the shot isn't there he at least looks to pass. Myles Rice right now is a point guard who doesn't pass the ball.
  14. Why should Woody? He’s not paid to keep games close. That’s two in a row we threw away.
  15. So the play is for the kid who hasn’t had a bucket to take the game winner.
  16. So your best candidate is someone coming off a 2 year show-cause? You take him then because no other major wants him.
  17. Will Wade's teams have finished in the top 25 exactly ONCE. There is a reason that Chris Beard's transgressions only dropped him a lower power 5 team and Will Wade's dropped him into a low major. The funny thing that AH thinks the world of Will Wade but guess who didn't come calling for Will Wade when their spots opened up last off-season? Drake didn't. St.Louis didn't. Wade sure as heck isn't going to have his next stop be a high major.
  18. Wow, that's great. Wonder how with all that coaching accumon how he ended up at McNeese State.
  19. Yawn. Will Wade would 1000% be a pivot fast pick. Wade's NIL at LSU before NIL was legal didn't exactly light the world on fire.
  20. My apologies....my old brain still thinks of Creighton in the MVC.
  21. Here is the twist that IU fans will get. 1. IU fires Woodson. 2. IU hires May. 3. But it's not Dusty, it's Scott.
  22. The one thing that worries me about McDermott was that he did get to a P5 team before and it went very poorly....four straight losing seasons at Iowa State, 18-46 in the Big 12. I will say prior to IU hiring Kelvin Sampson, McDermott was a guy I thought IU should consider based on him putting Northern Iowa on the map. Not saying I wouldn't want him, but there is that one hiccup in his resume.
  23. I nominate The Hump to be the next coach. If you can’t beat it, join it.
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