RaceToTheTop

IU just scored again.

I don't like Day, but firing him when he makes the CFP would be just insane.

Georgia defensive back Julian Humphrey is entering the portal. Started the first ten games this year at Georgia. Was benched in the 11th game and then didn't play against Georgia Tech, so assume there was a falling out with coaches. Will have two years of eligibility left and was the 19th rated cornerback in the class of 2022. Thomas Castellanos, Boston College QB, enters. In 2023 he ran for 1113 yards and passed for 2248. This year he was bothered with leg injuries and did throw the ball well (62% completion and 18 to 5 TD/INT) but his ability to run was pretty much taken away and he was benched late in the season. Not really an IU fit, but an interesting QB (and a very undersized one -- 5'9", 186).

Yes. Happened for a few years now.

I think Georgia will beat Texas. But I don’t see a loss knocking Texas to the 7 seed — because Penn state likely loses to Oregon. So I think the more realistic scenario is Penn state or Notre dame at 7.

Top twenty-five rankings out — IU 9th in both. Miami all the way down to 14 in both polls. CFP polls usually aren’t far from those, so would think that IU will be 9 in CFP and due to auto bids, 10 in the bracket on Tuesday set to play Georgia at 7. since Georgia plays in the SEC title game, I would expect that could change the final matchup. If Georgia wins they are the auto bid and I would expect IU to be at either IU or ND

If Purdue had been spotted a 34 point lead in every game this year, they would have been 6-6.

Yeah, don't get his comments......sounds like something that would have come from an OSU home announcer. Going back, I tried to figure out if he had any reason to be anti-Michigan (or pro Ohio State). Did find he was born and raised in Detroit and played four years of baseball at Howard University. I don't know.....maybe holds a grudge that Michigan didn't recruit him in baseball? I don't know.

I understand that — but they were at 6 before with their schedule and one loss. I do think the last at large spot is between them, South Carolina, and Alabama.

Correct -- they basically stated that if a team was in before the conference championships, they wouldn't fall out for losing a championship game. But I fully expect that there would be some moves after championship games. Only way that IU wouldn't get in is if the committee kept Miami ahead of IU in this week's poll and then Clemson beat SMU in the ACC title game......simply put, I don't see it happening. 13 'experts' on ESPN have posted their projected seedings. They have the following matchups predicted for IU ( I am throwing one predictor out because they have a ludicrous model -- Ohio State at #12, IU at #7 10 seed IU at 7 seed Penn State (1 prediction) 9 seed IU at 8 seed Tennessee (2 predictions) 10 seed IU at 7 seed Georgia (6 predictions) 10 seed IU at 7 seed Ohio State (1 prediction) 10 seed IU at 7 seed Notre Dame (2 predictions) So the prevailing thought is IU as the 10 seed playing at Georgia. However, there will be some shuffling, especially if Georgia beats Texas in the SEC title game. Every bracket agrees on 11 teams that get in: from the Big Ten: Oregon, Ohio State, Penn State, Indiana; from the SEC, Texas, Georgia, and Tennesse; SMU from the ACC, Arizona State (or Iowa State/Colorado should Arizona State lose the Big 12 title game), Boise State, and Notre Dame. The following teams are listed as being the last at large team in -- which means they would not make the bracket if Clemson wins the ACC: Alabama (1) Miami (5) South Carolina (6) Another possibility is that Boise State loses the MWC title game. In that case, it's likely that if UNLV beats Boise State in the title game that they will the fifth highest ranked conference champion and they would get the auto bid. What will get interesting is if Clemson wins the ACC title game and UNLV wins the MWC title game. In that case, one of the at large teams above is out and Boise State might be out as well.

USA Today projection prior to IU’s game with Purdue has IU moving to 9 in thd cfp rankings and Mismi falling to 10. That’s what I would project as well. Thst would mean the final spot would be Miami’s unless Clemson wins the ACC championship in which case Clemson would be in and Miami out

The bye was based on them winning the ACC. They were #6 in the CFP but top 4 conference champions automatically get seeded 1-4. Right now Boise State would get a bye. If IU plays like this the second half I can’t envision Miami staying ahead of them in the CFP.

Spots can be lost because of the auto bids.

Still think IU needs to play well in order to avoid BCS chicanery. Don’t want them doing something stupid like not moving Miami behind IU if they lose which could let Clemson steal a spot by winning the ACC championship.

I never understood why tripping is a penalty.

It honestly should be tied -- Syracuse had a touchdown pass on their first drive that was taken off the board by a bad, late call.

LOL at the spot in the ND/USC game being EXACTLY to the inch what Notre Dame needed.

Syracuse back in the game. Miami 21, Syracuse 14.

ND going real conservative and settling for 3 deep in USC territory.....and he missed it, LOL

I wouldn't go that far nor do I want to test the theory.

Or a Ryan Day.

Yep. First tiebreaker is head to head. Second is record against common conference opponents. Since we lost to the same team, it goes to opponent winning percentage in conference.

USC ties it up against Notre Dame.

I know that the committee loves sound bytes -- like when they said 'IU's SOS is 106' (but didn't mention it next week when it was up to 51). If MIchigan lost, then they would be saying 'IU didn't beat anybody that finished the season with a winning record'.

IMO what the current CFP rankings are after the early games. 1. Oregon 2. Texas 3. Penn State 4. Notre Dame 5. Ohio State 6. Miami 7. Georgia 8. Tennessee 9. SMU 10. Indiana 11. Boise State 12. Alabama 13. Ole MIss 14. South Carolina 15. Clemson There might be a little shuffling of 12-14.....but I think South Carolina and Alabama's ceiling is #12 unless SMU, Indiana, or Boise State lose. And a Boise State loss wouldn't help them because someone is getting in as a conference champion from the MWC or elsewhere for that spot. IF that was the ranking, it would be 1. Oregon, 2. Texas, 3. Miami, 4. Boise State, 5. Penn State, 6. Notre Dame, 7. Ohio State, 8. Georgia, 9. Tennessee, 10. SMU, 11. Indiana, 12. Big 12 champion.