The two most successful coaches in college basketball history weren’t “championship caliber coaches” by years 4 or 5. The best coach in college basketball today didn’t win a tournament game until year 5. This lunacy that you have to fire a coach every 2-3 years is exactly why IU will remain a meddling program going forward. There’s no culture, no continuity, no momentum, no nothing. It’s a wasteland job.
The statistical probability of winning a college basketball title is already very low. The probability of catching lightning in a bottle and winning a championship in years 1 and 2 is even lower.
Your theory makes zero sense.