It should, although Bama does have a nice run defense too purely looking at the stats. Unsure what run heavy teams they have faced, but they only give up 120 yards a game and rank in the Top 40 judging by ESPN.
I guess it depends where the Bowl game is too. If Texas AM wins, it’s probably going to be a home game for the Aggies in the Cotton Bowl against OSU in the quarterfinal. Same with the Peach Bowl for the semifinal. If IU or Bama wins the Rose Bowl.