In my opinion, the keys to yesterday's loss were as follows:
- Defensive mistakes galore, enough said
- Unusual lineups. Sometimes you get a little lucky and get away with something once, maybe twice, but if you get too cute and push your luck, it comes back to bite you. Tournament time, stick with what you know typically works. This is not a good time to experiment.
- TOs. So many silly TOs again, and we generally commit more in the first half. Does anyone else notice that we start nearly every game in a hole? Why aren't we ready to play at the beginning of these games?
- Yogi has to have the ball on our last offensive possession. Just has to. He's our first team Big Ten player and team MVP. If he misses or turns it over I'll live with it, but now I just wonder "what if...". I doubt that if it were Duke instead of us yesterday that Grayson Allen doesn't have the ball in his hands.
- Poor shooting, it happens and it wasn't for lack of effort, hence the reason to eliminate the other things on this list.
Looking ahead, the glass is half empty for me for two main reasons:
First, this team's record away from Assembly Hall. Mediocre at best (8-7 I believe) with really only three quality wins: UM, ND, and Iowa. Like all teams, we play better at home, but the really good teams have the focus and toughness to have solid road records, whether those are true road games or games on neutral courts. Unfortunately for us, the NCAA games won't be in Bloomington.
Second, and as previously mentioned on this site, it's Tom Crean's tournament record. I really don't think you can even debate that it's less than impressive. This includes Big Ten, NCAA, and even pre-conference tournaments like Maui this year. Some coaches, like Coach K and Coach Izzo, routinely know what levers to pull this time of year. Others don't. I wish I knew the secret recipe, and I'm sure Coach Crean would as well, but that's what makes those guys special.
I will be rooting like hell for the team next weekend, but I am skeptical that we survive through next Sunday. Hope I'm wrong.