RaceToTheTop

Better yet: Thursday.

Until he did….and then was arrested,

You are using HH as a scouting report? Also not sure why this is posted in this thread.

The Trilly tweet is pretty direct. I’m certainly not getting my hopes up but if for sounds like a three team race now. https://x.com/trillydonovan/status/1717011277430587430?s=20

First exhibition is October 29th and no real football team to watch. About 118 hours more.

I switched from brumdog45 to RaceToTheTop last year when Race Thompson said he was coming back (and yeah, I know he didn't have a great season). So I'd go with a play on words for an incoming player. How about TwoCuppsOneLeal ?

The problem is that it doesn't have to a cops are good v cops are bad argument. Cops are human -- which means they aren't going to correct 100% of the time nor are they going to be incorrect 100% of the time. And I don't see people really arguing that MM wasn't in error in his actions. I just hope we aren't at a point where we assume the police acting improperly just because they are police but at the same time we aren't allowed to question their handling of a situation.

FWIW, Pom has Indiana at 49 and Torvik has IU at 34. By AP voting results, IU would be 40 and by coaches poll IU would be 36. So by most measures IU is from 34 to 49. That's basically borderline tournament bid. Lunardi has IU at #37, a 10 seed and one of the last four byes.

I'm sure I've mentioned it previously, but about twenty-years ago my house was burnt down by our neighbor. My didn't know it at the time, but he was a pyromaniac. This happened to be the fourth property in three months that he set on fire and he was arrested that night....footprints in the snow from his shed led them to the accelerant he used and he confessed. I can tell you that the police report wasn't completely accurate and omitted other facts. They weren't trying to leave anything out or have anything stated inaccurately, but in the process of events you do have to rely on memory. He ended up with a plea deal, but I certainly did speak at his hearing as I thought some important details were omitted. There is a reason we have a trial system and don't just sentence on police report only. Eyewitness accounts, even ones that we know don't have a single bias to them, aren't not always accurate.

An issue that could occur is that sometimes players don't know if they are going to be able to get the necessary courses/credits to graduate. Could be pretty sticky if a player puts his name in the portal, program moves on from him, and then he's unable to get the credits to graduate.

Yeah, I wouldn't eat ten of them. But bang for your buck, $1 spicy potato taco is the way to go.

The one thing I have raised, though, I don't think is speculation, and that is that the report that the police decided to arrest Mgbako but he then moved his car to another lot. Again, if they had informed him that he was being arrested that certainly would be in the report because it would make it unambiguous. Speculation would be that they decided to arrest him because they didn't like that he moved his car to another lot that was close by and felt he was being a smart @$$. But that would be speculation.

Three words: spicy potato taco. Damn things are $1. $10 can feed anybody.

I don't either, but I do have some questions in this particular case. The Xavier Johnson driving incident......Johnson got off very, very light. But in MM's case, I have questions as to how the events occurred -- even taking the police report 100%, I have questions about how it was handled considering MM left the property. To me it sounds like they were pissed that MM finally complied but in a way that was being a smart @$$. Seems to me it at that point it wasn't about defusing the situation, it was about not being shown up.

Does common sense say to smash the window and arrest somebody for trespass after they have left the property? Seems to me at that point the situation was deescalating.

Does it though? They arrested him trespass after he left the property. The police report did not say they informed that he was under arrest and I am sure that if they did, it would be in the report. I'm not convinced if they had decided that they were going to arrest him but did not inform him that if he had left, they wouldn't have slapped a fleeing the scene charge.

Obviously they won’t and I am working on the assumption that Nolan is using last season as a starting point for this year.

His methodology isn't that far off of Torvik or Pom. But unlike Torvik and Pom, he isn't basing total wins on accumulated percentage. For instance, if Pom says a team 5 games and the team is predicted to win 40% each time, Pom would predict a record of 2-3. Nolan is just showing the predicted records if the favorite won each time. Although I think he overrates Penn State, it's not as bad in that context. In terms of what Nolan does, USPS is familiar with him. His site is a great one to go to around tournament time because he creates cards that echo the information that the tournament committee will see. In terms of his prediction of Penn State going 10-10, he predicts the following scores: at Purdue lose by 12 home against Illinois lose by 1 at Michigan State lose by 12 at Indiana lose by 8 at Maryland lose by 7 home against Michigan St win by 1 home against Wisky win by 2 home against Indiana win by 1 home against Maryland win by 1 at Ohio State lose by 7 at Iowa lose by 6 at Rutgers lose by 4 at Northwestern lose by 4 home Ohio State win by 1 home Iowa win by 2 home Northwestern win by 4 at Nebraska lose by 1 at Minnesota win by 4 home Minneosta win by 8 at Nebraska lose by 1 home Michigan win by 1 So he has them favored in 10, underdogs in 10. But the average point margin is -3.8. In games where the line is one or two points, they are favored in 7 of the 10. That's an abnormal number and the chances of winning 70% of coin flip games is very little. If he applied percentages instead of assigning straight wins/losses, he'd probably have them at 7-13. As a means of comparison, Pom predicts Penn State to finish 6-14 and an average margin of -6.4. Torvik predicts Penn State 4-16 with an average margin of -9.2. I don't know if nolan is so much looking at individual players on teams or more looking at how teams historically do based on their previous season's results.

Good to know. But it's also noteworthy that Santa Clara's leading returner scoring averaged 5 points per game last year. They lost 70% of their scoring in their four leading scorers: 19.9 ppg from Brandin Podziemski, taken 19th in the NBA draft 15.2 ppg from Carlos Stewart, who transferred to LSU 13.3 ppg from Keshawn Justice, who graduated 7.7 ppg from Parker Braun, who transferred to Kansas

FWIW, KenPom Big Ten projections: Purdue 15-5 Michigan State 13-7 Illinois 12-8 Wisconsin 12-8 Maryland 12-8 Ohio State 11-9 Northwestern 10-10 Michigan 9-11 Indiana 9-11 Iowa 9-11 Nebraska 9-11 Rutgers 8-12 Penn State 6-14 Minnesota 5-15 Warren nolan projections (note that Nolan's projections gives wins automatically to favored teams.......it doesn't include Purdue at Rutgers for some reason) Purdue 18 - 1 Illinois 14 - 6 Michigan St 13 - 7 Indiana 11 - 9 Ohio State 11 - 9 Wisconsin 11 - 9 Iowa 10 - 10 Maryland 10 - 10 Penn State 10 - 10 Rutgers 9-10 Michigan 8 - 12 Northwestern 8 - 12 Nebraska 6 - 14 Minnesota 0 -20 Combination predictions of Pom, Torvik, and Nolan: Purdue 16.0 wins Michigan State 13.3 wins Illinois 11.3 wins Wisconsin 11.3 wins Maryland 11.0 wins Ohio State 11.0 wins Indiana 10.3 wins Northwestern 9.7 wins Iowa 9.3 wins Michigan 8.7 wins Rutgers 8.3 wins Nebraska 8.0 wins Penn State 7.3 wins Minnesota 3.3 wins

I guarantee that if IU were to go 7-13 or 5-15, YOU wouldn't be calling them competitive.

Santa Clara beat UCLA 83-72 in a scrimmage.

There is one part of the police report, though, that does give me pause. Officers determined that Mgbako would be arrested for trespassing, but he then moved his vehicle to a nearby lot and parked again. Officers approached his vehicle and advised him that he was under arrest and that he needed to exit his vehicle, but he refused to do so. By that report, it says 'officers determined Mgbako would be arrested for trespassing.....but does NOT indicate that at that point the officers had informed MM that he was being arrested or was under arrest. So it sounds like he was not told he was under arrest until after he left the property. If that were not the case, I have no doubt that the report would have read that way. --------- Piecing together the two stories would make it seem that MM was told he needed to leave, he said that he was waiting on his parents. He did not leave and was refusing to. This goes on for awhile. Police decide that they are going to arrest him but had not informed him of this final decision and he leaves the property to go to another lot while waiting for his parents. Police then go to that lot and arrest MM. My question is: at that point, why were they arresting him? He had not been told he was under arrest and although he did ignore their directions to leave prior, he was now no longer on the property that he was asked to leave. So what was the need for arrest at that point if they had indicated he was under arrest and had -- even if belatedly -- complied with their request? Certainly not defending MM and he should have complied initially knowing the potential consequences, but I don't understand the actions of police here. If they had wanted to arrest MM, there was ample opportunity to do so while he was on the property. But they didn't until he left the property.

I think with NIL the shift has been away from coach with a proven track record and more toward a coach who could potentially increase recruiting with the ability to bring in NIL.