Defenserocks28

Anyone ever heard of the 13 keys to the White House? Was developed by Allan Lichtman. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House#The_Track_Record_for_the_Keys   Basically, has never gotten the popular vote winner wrong in the general presidential election.  And what's really cool is he usually makes his picks a year or more in advance. Here's his pick for Obama in 2012 over a year in advance (Aug 2011).  Here he is predicting a democratic victory in 2008 (picked in Oct 2007).     The Keys retrospectively account for the popular vote winners of every presidential election from 1860 through 1980 and prospectively forecast the popular-vote winners of all eight presidential elections from 1984 through 2012.[1] The Keys model predicted George W. Bush’s reelection in April 2003, nearly a year before any other scientific model. In the late spring of 1988, the Keys predicted George H. W. Bush’s victory when he trailed Democrat Michael Dukakis by 17 percentage points in the polls. It predicted Bill Clinton’s win in the complex three-candidate election of 1992. In six elections, the keys have predicted three Republican and three Democratic victories in the popular vote.   Keys are below:    The Keys are statements that favor the re-election of the incumbent party. When five or fewer statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win; when six or more are false, the challenging party is predicted to win.[4] Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign. Short term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

I love this idea.  I believe a lot of people just vote the party line, especially when one doesn't know anything about the individuals running (hellloooo judges).  Moreover, I've met  a lot of individuals who either identify as republican or democrat, but when you start questioning them on the issues it turns out they are the exact opposite.  It would be amazing if there was a way to implement said idea.  

What do you mean?  What'd she do to them?

Sounds about right.     Sanders 93% Clinton 81% Christie 65%

Nor is "receiving handouts."  But to your point of "EVERY other smart person would do what he did in his situation"...sure, but it drives me nuts that there is no outrage over the fact that corporate welfare (aka, tax breaks) are about double that of public welfare (Cato Institute https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_welfare#Cato_Institute).  We hear all about how John Smith took his food stamps and probably bought beer with it, but never about how some Boeing Exec snorted a substance in a bathroom with his huge bonus, thanks to all the legal loopholes helping Boeing avoid taxes and secure record profits.  I get outrage over John Smith, he could be the next door neighbor, so it's easy to identify.  Corporate tax loopholes are more ambiguous and the negative effects not as clearly delineated; but they are about 2X more detrimental.     Sorry, I'll drop the rhetoric.  I don't mean to politicize this discussion.    Regarding the debate in general, was very entertaining.  I'll give Fox credit, they asked tough, pointed questions that didn't leave room for ambiguity.  Now, whether or not the politicians actually answered the questions is another story.  Overall, I hope that line of questioning continues on both sides, up to, and including, the national debates.  

And yet, Trump has gladly accepted 4 handouts in the form of bankruptcy protection...and yes, I know we are talking about corporate bankruptcy and not personal, but there's no denying it helped him financially.

Did aliens create this thread?

This article is amazingly well written and a very fun to contemplate.  Talks about the Fermi Paradox... http://waitbutwhy.com/2014/05/fermi-paradox.html   The idea of the Fermi Paradox is:   Basically, the article looks at the fact that 1: “So there are 100 Earth-like planets for every grain of sand in the world. Think about that next time you’re on the beach.”   2. Moving forward, we have no choice but to get completely speculative. Let’s imagine that after billions of years in existence, 1% of Earth-like planets develop life (if that’s true, every grain of sand would represent one planet with life on it). And imagine that on 1% of those planets, the life advances to an intelligent level like it did here on Earth. That would mean there were 10 quadrillion, or 10 million billion intelligent civilizations in the observable universe. Moving back to just our galaxy, and doing the same math on the lowest estimate for stars in the Milky Way (100 billion), we’d estimate that there are 1 billion Earth-like planets and 100,000 intelligent civilizations in our galaxy.[1]   3. If we’re right that there are 100,000 or more intelligent civilizations in our galaxy, and even a fraction of them are sending out radio waves or laser beams or other modes of attempting to contact others, shouldn’t SETI’s satellite array pick up all kinds of signals? But it hasn’t. Not one. Ever. Where is everybody?   4. Welcome to the Fermi Paradox. We have no answer to the Fermi Paradox—the best we can do is “possible explanations.” And if you ask ten different scientists what their hunch is about the correct one, you’ll get ten different answers. You know when you hear about humans of the past debating whether the Earth was round or if the sun revolved around the Earth or thinking that lightning happened because of Zeus, and they seem so primitive and in the dark? That’s about where we are with this topic.

Well, one could easily argue he should...still amazed this story didn't get more traction: : http://deadspin.com/5651355/sexual-assault-allegations-against-two-michigan-state-players-why-arent-charges-being-brought

Is anyone else concerned that Scott Skiles is Vic's coach?

I seem to be in a posting mood...anybody see Ex Machina?  Thoughts on it?   Also, I've heard a lot about Orphan Black.  Is that a show worth getting into?

Also, saw Jurassic World.  Was a solid movie, definitely a summer flick.  If I had to choose between Jurassic World and Mad Max though, it'd easily be Mad Max.  That movie was just so much fun.  

Heck yea!

Finally saw Mad Max Fury Road, and it did not disappoint in any way, shape or form.  That movie was fantastic; thanks to all that recommended it!

Any particular reason his production is down so much?

Any chance he'd reconsider IU?  I didn't follow his recruitment all that closely, so I'm not of what his interest level was to us originally.  

Like your list.  Only change I would make is Chris Paul over Russell Westbrook.  Westbrook is such a wild card, he could forget he has Curry and Durant playing alongside him and jack up 30 shots.  Paul is just so incredibly consistent.

  Wow, thanks!  Certainly did not expect this.  I'm assuming there's more to the story; like AKHoosier said, seems excessive to kick him out just for hanging out with DD. Now, if he was in the room while DD was lighting up, then I get it...otherwise...

Completely agree.     Certainly did not expect Perea to pass the drug test.  Not sure if I'd take his word on it though...

1)Maryland 2)MSU 3)Wisconsin 4)Purdue 5)Michigan 6)Indiana --> Hope this doesn't happen, would be disappointing given the talent on this team.  But until we care about defense, I see no way we are better than 6th 7)Iowa 8)OSU 9)Illinois 10)Northwestern 11)Minnesota 12)Nebraska 13)Rutgers (just to change things up) 14)PSU

Anyone see the new Mad Max?  And if so, how was it?

Thanks!  Definitely going to check it out.  Just need it to hurry up and get released on Blu Ray or DVD.  

Did anyone see "It Follows."  And if so, what'd you think of it?

  Literally laughed out loud when I read that hahahahah...oh man, epic.  How you feeling this afternoon?

Could you elaborate?